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Final Exam Review Material Type: Notes; Professor: Jones; Class: Quantitative Methods; Subject: Business Information Technology; University: Virginia Polytechnic Institute And State University; Term: Fall 2008;
Typology: Study notes
1 / 35
Final Exam Preparation
Final Exam Preparation
Chapters 1 through 11.
Chapters 1 through 11.
Day Content Time/Location
Monday &
Tuesday
Review for Final
Regular class hours &
locations
Tuesday &
Wednesday
Help Sessions
Test 1, 2, & 3
Questions
TR 4:15 pm PAM 2030
F 10:10 am PAM 32
F 1:25 pm PAM 30
Thursday & Friday
Reading Day and
Exams Begin
Help Sessions:
Help Sessions:
Times & Places Posted
Times & Places Posted
on Blackboard in
on Blackboard in
Announcements
Announcements
Picture Day
Picture Day
Picture Day
Picture Day
Hawkes 10.xHawkes 10.x
Modules Due
Modules Due
Monday at 11:59pm
Monday at 11:59pm
Hawkes 10.x
Hawkes 10.x
Modules Due
Modules Due
Monday at 11:59pm
Monday at 11:59pm
DiscussionDiscussion
Board is
Board is
Open on BB
Open on BB
Discussion
Discussion
Board is
Board is
Open on BB
Open on BB
Day Content Time/Location
Monday &
Tuesday
December 15 & 16
No Class
Other Exams
Wednesday:
December 17
Help Sessions:
Help Sessions:
Times & Places Posted
Times & Places Posted
on Blackboard in
on Blackboard in
Announcements
Announcements
100
%
HomeworkPo ints%
10
i 1
i
GradeHW
3
%
QuizMean%
3
i 1
i
QuizGrade
Quiz & Homework Grade = QuizMean + HomeworkPoints
Quiz & Homework Grade = QuizMean + HomeworkPoints
Maximum Possible Grade Example:
Maximum Possible Grade Example:
00% on all three Quizzes & 100% on all 10 Optional Homework Se
00% on all three Quizzes & 100% on all 10 Optional Homework Se
100
1 , 000
100
100
HomeworkPo ints%
10
i 1
i
100 %
3
300
3
100
QuizMean%
3
i 1
i
Quiz & Homework Grade = 100% + 10.0% = 110%
Quiz & Homework Grade = 100% + 10.0% = 110%
30 Hawkes Certifications Are Assigned
30 Hawkes Certifications Are Assigned
Points are assigned to each depending on when
Points are assigned to each depending on when
the certification was submitted
the certification was submitted
10 points for on-time
10 points for on-time
5 points for 1-day late
5 points for 1-day late
0 points for more than 1-day late or NOT
0 points for more than 1-day late or NOT
submitted
submitted
Lowest 3 scores are dropped
Lowest 3 scores are dropped
270
Points
HawkesGrad e%
27 Highest
i 1
i
Maximum Possible Grade Example:
Maximum Possible Grade Example:
10 Points on 27 Certifications = 270/270 = 100%
10 Points on 27 Certifications = 270/270 = 100%
If You Were Excused from One of the 3
If You Were Excused from One of the 3
Tests, Your Final Exam Counts 35%
Tests, Your Final Exam Counts 35%
of your Total Grade.
of your Total Grade.
Hawkes
Hawkes
Approximately 50 Multiple Choice Questions
Approximately 50 Multiple Choice Questions
95% Confidence Interval Estimate
95% Confidence Interval Estimate
45 ≤ #Questions ≤ 55
45 ≤ #Questions ≤ 55
Covers Chapters 1 through 11.
Approximately 15 questions each for the first
Approximately 15 questions each for the first
3 tests.
3 tests.
Approximately 10 questions on Chapter 10.
Approximately 10 questions on Chapter 10.
Mostly “calculations” with looking up in Tables
2 Hours to Complete
2 Hours to Complete
To Understand HOW, Review
To Understand HOW, Review
Optional Homework Problems: ~200 questions
Quizzes: ~75 questions
Frequently Missed Questions (FMQs) from Tests
Frequently Missed Questions (FMQs) from Tests
1, 2 & 3 on Blackboard
1, 2 & 3 on Blackboard
Lecture slides especially Test 1, 2 & 3 Prep PPTs
Hawkes: Do practice problems to remember
Do practice problems to remember
how to work problems for any of the topics.
how to work problems for any of the topics.
The VIDEO button during INSTRUCT is very
The VIDEO button during INSTRUCT is very
helpful on how to work problems.
helpful on how to work problems.
The online Quizzes & Optional Homework sets are
The online Quizzes & Optional Homework sets are
available through “My Grades” on Blackboard. Click
available through “My Grades” on Blackboard. Click
on your grade and you will be able to see your
on your grade and you will be able to see your
Figure out what you Don’t Know & Come to the Help
Figure out what you Don’t Know & Come to the Help
Sessions
Sessions
Review the questions you missed on Tests 1, 2, & 3
Review the questions you missed on Tests 1, 2, & 3
Ask questions on how to work problems
I will post a PowerPoint video on Hypothesis Testing
I will post a PowerPoint video on Hypothesis Testing
this week.
this week.
I will email you when that’s posted.
I will email you when that’s posted.
I will revise the Final Exam Formula Sheet to add
I will revise the Final Exam Formula Sheet to add
some DESCRIPTIONS to help you identify formulas
some DESCRIPTIONS to help you identify formulas
I will email you when that’s posted.
Chapter 1: Data and Statistics
Chapter 1: Data and Statistics
Know Population Parameters and Sample Statistics
Know Population Parameters and Sample Statistics
e.g., σ compared to s
Scales of Measure
Scales of Measure
e.g., Interval vs Ratio: Categorical vs Quantitative
Chapter 2: Descriptive Statistics
Chapter 2: Descriptive Statistics
Summarize Categorical and Quantitative Data
Summarize Categorical and Quantitative Data
Frequency Distribution
Relative Frequency & Percent Relative Frequency
Cumulative Relative Frequency & Cumulative
Percent Relative Frequency
Percent Relative Frequency
Tables not
Tables not
Graphs
Graphs
Chapter 3: Numerical Measures
Chapter 3: Numerical Measures
Measures of Location
Measures of Location
Calculate mean, mode, median, percentiles,
and quartiles
and quartiles
Measures of Variance
Measures of Variance
Calculate range, interquartile range,
variance, standard deviation, and coefficient
variance, standard deviation, and coefficient
of variation
of variation
Measures of Shape
Measures of Shape
No z-scores, skewness, Chebychev’s,
Emperical Rule nor Detecting Outliers
Emperical Rule nor Detecting Outliers
Chapter 4: Introduction to Probability
Chapter 4: Introduction to Probability
Understand experiment, sample space, sample
Understand experiment, sample space, sample
points, & events
points, & events
Probability ranges from 0 to 1
Percent Probability ranges from 0 to 100
Counting rules for
Counting rules for
Multistep
Combination
Permutation
Permutation
Assigning Probabilities
Assigning Probabilities
Uniform
Relative Frequency
Subjective
Subjective
Chapter 4: Introduction to Probability
Chapter 4: Introduction to Probability
Events and their Probabilities
Events and their Probabilities
Sum of the probabilities of the sample points
in the event
in the event
Relationships of Events
Relationships of Events
Compliment
Union & Intersection of 2 events
Chapter 4: Introduction to Probability
Chapter 4: Introduction to Probability
Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually Exclusive Events
Independent Events
Independent Events
Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
If events
If events A
A and
and B
B are
are
mutually exclusive,
mutually exclusive,
P
P (
( A
A
B
B
= 0.
= 0.
If events
If events A
A and
and B
B are
are
mutually exclusive,
mutually exclusive,
P
P (
( A
A
B
B
= 0.
= 0.
IF
IF
P
P (
( A
A
B
B ) =
) = P
P (
( A
A )
) P
P (
( B
B )
)
Then A and B are INDEPENDENT
Then A and B are INDEPENDENT
IF
IF
P
P (
( A
A
B
B ) ≠
) ≠ P
P (
( A
A )
) P
P (
( B
B )
)
Then A and B are DEPENDENT
Then A and B are DEPENDENT
IF
IF
P
P (
( A
A
B
B ) =
) = P
P (
( A
A )
) P
P (
( B
B )
)
Then A and B are INDEPENDENT
Then A and B are INDEPENDENT
IF
IF
P
P (
( A
A
B
B ) ≠
) ≠ P
P (
( A
A )
) P
P (
( B
B )
)
Then A and B are DEPENDENT
Then A and B are DEPENDENT
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Random Variable
Random Variable x
x
Discrete Probability Distribution Function
Discrete Probability Distribution Function
Expected Value
Expected Value
Variance
Variance
f
f (
x
x )
f 0
f (
x
x )
f
f (
x
x ) = 1
f
f (
x
x ) = 1
x
x ) =
xf
xf (
x
x )
x
x ) =
xf
xf (
x
x )
f
f (
x
x ) = 1/
n
f n
f (
x
x ) = 1/
n
n
Discrete Uniform
Discrete Uniform
Distribution
Distribution
Var(
Var( x
x ) =
22
x
x
22
f
f (
x
x )
Var( )
Var( x
x ) =
22
x
x
22
f
f (
x
x )
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Binomial Probability Distribution
Binomial Probability Distribution
Recognize Binomial Experiments
Recognize Binomial Experiments
Denote x
x as the number of successes in the
as the number of successes in the n
n
trials
trials
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Binomial Probability Distribution
Binomial Probability Distribution
Binomial Probability Function
where:
where:
f
f (
x
x ) = the probability of
) = the probability of x
x successes in
successes in n
n trials
trials
n
n = the number of trials
= the number of trials
p
p = the probability of success on any one trial
= the probability of success on any one trial
with
with
x n x
p p
x
n
f X x
( ) ( 1 )
! !
!
x n x
n
x
n
Don’t confuse n and p
Don’t confuse n and p
with sample size
with sample size
and proportion.
and proportion.
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Binomial Probability Distribution
Binomial Probability Distribution
Expected Value
Variance
Standard Deviation
x
x ) =
np
np
2
2
np
np (
p
p )
Chapter 6.2: Normal Probability Distribution
Chapter 6.2: Normal Probability Distribution
Understand Characteristics
Understand Characteristics
Mean, Mode, Median
Mean, Mode, Median
Chapter 6.2: Normal Probability Distribution
Chapter 6.2: Normal Probability Distribution
Understand characteristics, for example
Understand characteristics, for example
Symmetrical
Defined by 2 parameters, Mean and
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Convert X values to Standard Normal
Convert X values to Standard Normal
Distribution
Distribution
Calculate and look up probabilities
X
z
Chapter 7: Sampling and Sampling Distributions
Chapter 7: Sampling and Sampling Distributions
Point Estimation
Point Estimation
Sampling Distributions of sample mean and
Sampling Distributions of sample mean and
sample proportion.
sample proportion.
If , use otherwise
x
x
n
x
n
x
0. 05
N
n
x
x
x
z
Chapter 8: Interval Estimation
Chapter 8: Interval Estimation
Population Mean
Population Mean σ
σ known
known
Population Mean
Population Mean σ
σ unknown
unknown
Determining the Sample Size to achieve a specific
Determining the Sample Size to achieve a specific
Margin of Error
Margin of Error
Population Proportion
Population Proportion
p* is the planning number
Use 0.5 if no better estimate is available
Point Estimate +/
Point Estimate +/
Margin of Error
Margin of Error
If the calculated value of n is not a
If the calculated value of n is not a
whole number, ROUND UP!
whole number, ROUND UP!
2 * *
/ 2
2
2 * *
/ 2
2
Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing
Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing
Population Mean:
Population Mean: σ
σ known
known
Population Mean:
Population Mean: σ
σ unknown
unknown
Population Proportion
Population Proportion
Chapter 11.1 Population Variance
Chapter 11.1 Population Variance
Population Variance and Standard Deviation
Population Variance and Standard Deviation
Interval Estimate
Hypothesis Testing
Interval Estimation:
Interval Estimation:
/ ( / )
2
2
2
2
2
1 2
2
/ ( / )
2
2
2
2
2
1 2
2
2 2
2 2
/ 2 (1 / 2)
2 2
2 2
/ 2 (1 / 2)
2
2
Only
Only σ
σ
22
&
& σ
σ
Determine whether it’s variance or standard
deviation
deviation
Calculate
Calculate α
α /2 and the Degrees of Freedom (d.f.)
/2 and the Degrees of Freedom (d.f.)
(n-1)
(n-1)
Look up the two X
2
2
values and
values and
Crunch the numbers.
Crunch the numbers.