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The concept of probability in the context of binomial distribution. The author derives the formula for the probability of having an equal number of heads and tails in a binomial experiment, and discusses the stirling approximation for large values of n. The document also compares the behavior of the probability when p = q = 1/2 and when p ≠ q.
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Chapter 3 Problems
Pr{match} = Pr(R 1 ∩ R 2 ) + Pr(M 1 ∩ M 2 ) + Pr(A 1 ∩ A 2 )
=
2
2
2
2
2
2
Pr(A) = |H| · pn(1 − p)n^ = |H|(pq)n,
where |H| denotes the number of elements of H and q = 1 − p, as usual. It should now be clear that |H| is the number of ways we can distribute n heads—and hence also n tails—in 2n slots. Thus, |H| =
( 2 n n
. Therefore,
Pr(A) =
2 n n
(pq)n. (1)
This is the desired formula. In order to approximate this expression for large values of n, we need the Stirling formula (p. 96 of your text):
n! ∼ (n/e)n
2 πn, (2)
where an ∼ bn means limn→∞(an/bn) = 1. We apply (2) to find that ( 2 n n
(2n)! (n!)^2
(2n/e)^2 n
4 πn { (n/e)n
2 πn
(2n/e)^2 n
4 πn 2 πn · (n/e)^2 n^
22 n √ πn
=
4 n √ πn
Plug this into (1) to find that
Pr(A) ∼
(4pq)n √ πn
as n → ∞.
An interesting feature of this is that when p = q = 1/2, then Pr(A) ∼ 1 /
πn goes to zero as n → ∞, but rather slowly. On the other hand,
when p 6 = q, then Pr(A) goes to zero exponentially fast as n → ∞. Does this make physical sense to you? [It should if you think about it for a while.]
∑^ n
k=
(−1)k
n k
= (1 + (−1))n^ = 0.
(b) This was worked out during the lectures. (c) Let us write n = 2m, since n is even. Then, the method that led to the answer of (b) shows that
∑^ m
k=
2 m 2 k
= the number of even-sized subsets of { 1 ,... , 2 m}
× the total number of subsets of { 1 ,... , 2 m}
=
× 22 m.
Clearly, this is the same as 2n−^1. (d) The same as (c), but now we are counting the total number of odd- sized subsets of { 1 ,... , n}.