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This case study provides an in-depth analysis of a book that covers the essential aspects of simulation modeling. The components of a simulation model, the steps involved in handbook simulation projects, and the techniques for problem formulation, project planning, system definition, input data collection, model translation, verification, validation, experimental design, analysis, and project reports. The document also discusses various project management techniques, input data analysis methods, simulation software selection, and statistical analysis techniques.
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AUTHOR: Christopher A. Chung ANALYSIS BY: SHAHZAD MALIK The “Introduction” (Chapter 1) begins with information on the application, advantages, and disadvantages of simulation modeling. The basic components of a simulation model are presented. These include: • Entities • Resources • Queues • Statistical measures of performance In the practical sections, the steps included in the handbook are: • Problem formulation • Project planning • System definition • Input data collection • Model translation • Verification, validation • Experimental design • Analysis • Presenting conclusions and results Chapter 2, “Problem Formulation,” includes material on project orientation issues and establishing the project objectives. Project objective selection techniques are presented to ensure that the most important problems are addressed in the study. Chapter 3, “Project Planning,” includes project management techniques that will assist the user in planning a successful simulation project. This includes organizing the simulation project tasks with a 1241_C00.fm Page vi Monday, September 15, 2003 11:42 AM © 2004 by CRC Press LLC work breakdown structure, assigning responsibility for the tasks with linear responsibility charts, and sequencing the tasks with Gantt charts. Chapter 4, “System Definition,” includes identification of the system components to be modeled in the simulation. These include identifying the important system processes, input data requirements, and output measures of performance. Chapter 5, “Input Data Collection and Analysis,” discusses collection of original data, use of existing data, and input data analysis techniques. Input data analysis techniques include the use of the chi- square goodness-of-fit test and currently available data-fitting software. Chapter 6, “Model Translation,” presents information on how to make simulation software selection decisions. Users will be able to understand the advantages and disadvantages of using general purpose programming languages versus simulation-specific software. This section also includes a brief summary of the capabilities of a few of the more established simulation-specific software packages that are available to practitioners. The section closes with guidance on programming the actual simulation model. Chapter 7, “Verification,” discusses a variety of techniques available for the user to help ensure that the simulation model operates as intended. These include the use of entity animation and variable displays for debugging purposes. Chapter 8, “Validation,” presents a variety of techniques to determine whether or not the model represents reality. This section includes both qualitative and quantitative techniques available to the user. The primary qualitative technique discussed is face validation. The quantitative techniques include F tests, t-tests, and nonparametric tests.
Chapter 9, “Experimental Design,” covers different techniques for determining which model alternatives will be beneficial to investigate. The section includes both simple one-to-one comparisons and multiple comparisons. Chapter 10, “Analysis,” includes techniques for making statistically robust comparisons between alternatives. This includes determining the number of simulation model replication runs that are necessary to conduct valid comparisons. It also includes confidence interval, analysis of variance, and Duncan multiple-range test statistical analysis techniques for comparing the alternatives identified in Chapter 9. This chapter section also includes information on performing economic comparisons of alternatives. Chapter 11, “Project Reports and Presentations” includes information on conducting appropriate presentations and how to report the results of the simulation study. This includes what content to include and how to prepare the presentation or report.