Constant Force - Life Contingencies - Solved Assignment, Exercises of Mathematical Statistics

Its the important key points of solved assignment of Life Contingencies are: Constant Force, Assumption, Deaths Follow, Mortality Follows, Demoivre Law, Insurance Payable, Present Value, Distribution Function, Probability, Premium

Typology: Exercises

2012/2013

Uploaded on 01/11/2013

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Assignment 2 Solution
1 of 5
1) You are given that
a) Deaths follow the constant force assumption over each year of age,
b) qx = 0.06,
c) qx+1 = 0.07,
d) 054.0
1
:
1=
x
A
Find
2:
2
1
x
A.
2) Assume that the mortality follows the DeMoivre’s Law where w = 100. Let Z be the
present value of the payment of a 10-year term insurance payable upon death for (20).
Find
a) the Z-density, fZ(z)
b) the distribution function of Z, FZ(z)
c) E[Zk], k = 1, 2, 3, …
d) the probability that the premium is not sufficient.
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Assignment 2 Solution

1 of 5

  1. You are given that a) Deaths follow the constant force assumption over each year of age, b) qx = 0.06, c) qx+ 1 = 0.07, d) 0. 054 : 1

x

A

Find : 2

2 1 x

A.

  1. Assume that the mortality follows the DeMoivre’s Law where w = 100. Let Z be the present value of the payment of a 10-year term insurance payable upon death for (20). Find a) the Z- density, fZ(z) b) the distribution function of Z , FZ(z) c) E [ Zk ], k = 1, 2, 3, … d) the probability that the premium is not sufficient.

Assignment 2 Solution

Due: Friday, October 20, 2006 by 3pm

2 of 5

10 80

ln 10 80

70

10 (^7080)

z

v z

z v

z

z δ

δ

  1. An annual decreasing 10-year term insurance pay (60) benefit of $(10 – k ), k = 0, 1, 2, …, 9, if (60) dies in year k + 1. You are given that a) A 60 : 1 = 0. 96 ,

b) The actuarial present value (premium) for this insurance is 5 if q 60 = 0.1. Find the actuarial present value (premium) if q 60 = 0.15 and if qx is unchanged for all other ages. HINT: Use (^ )^ (^ )^ (^11) : 1

1 DA (^) x : n |= nvqx + vpx DAx + n

  1. Assume there is constant force of mortality μ and constant force of interest δ, let Z be the present value of one unit of whole life insurance that is payable at the end of the year of death bought by a life aged x. a) Find the mean of Z in terms of μ and δ. b) Find the variance of Z in terms of μ and δ.

Constant force of mortality: (^) k px = e −^ μ k , q (^) x + k = 1 − e −^ μ

( )

( ) ( )

( ) ( ) 0

( ) 0

( )

0

( 1 ) 0

1

[ ] 1

δ μ

δ δ

δ μ

μ δ μ

δ δ μ δ μ μ δ

δ μ μ

− +

− −

− +

− − +

− ∞

=

− + − ∞

=

− − +

=

− + − − ∞

=

∑ ∑

∑ ∑

e

e e

e

e

e

e e e e

A EZ v p q e e e

k

k k

k

k

k k k

k x x k k x

Assignment 2 Solution

Due: Friday, October 20, 2006 by 3pm

4 of 5

( )

  1. 218865987
  2. 15

30

  1. 15 1 30

110801

0

1 (^80) = 

= (^) ∑

− −

=

A a k

k

ii) (^) ∫

∞ (^) −

0 A (^) x E [ Z ] e δ ttpx μ( x t ) dt

( )

ln

[ ]

30

  1. (^150)

1

30 0

11080 0 80

^ =

^ =

= =∫ ∫

t

t t

A EZ dt dt

b)

( )

  1. 0795 ln

1

  1. 15

1 90

1

  1. 15

1 90

1 90

1

  1. 15

[ ]^1 90

  1. (^150) 1

90 0

90 0

^ = 

  

= 

 

  

=   

  

  

  

= (^) ∫ ∫

t

t t EZ dt dt

c)

( )

  1. 0221064 ln

1

  1. 15

1 80

1

  1. 15

1 80

1 80

1

  1. 15

1 [ ]

80

  1. (^1510) 1

80 10

80 10

^ = 

  

= 

 

  

=   

  

  

  

= (^) ∫ ∫

t

t t EZ dt dt

  1. A life insurance policy pays $1000 at the moment of death before age 65 and $2000 at the moment of death after age 65. Calculate the mean and variance of the present value of the benefits at age 50 under this policy if δ = 0.08 and μ ( x ) = 0.02 for all x.

T T

v T Z v T

[ ] (^1) 15| :

(^1000 2000) x x

E Z = A + A

[ 1.^5 ]

15 0

(^150). 08 0. 02 : (^15 )

A^1 x^ = (^) ∫ vttpx μ( x + t ) dt =∫ e −^ tet 0. 02 dt = − e

[ 1.^5 ] 15

  1. 08 0. 02 15 15 |

∞ ∞ (^) − − A x = (^) ∫ vttpx μ x + tdt =∫ e te t dt = e

[ ] (^1) 15| :

(^1000 2000) x x

E Z = A + A = 244.

Assignment 2 Solution

Due: Friday, October 20, 2006 by 3pm

5 of 5

E^ [ Z^2 ]^ = 10002 2 Ax : 15 + 20002152 | Ax

[ 2.^7 ]

15 0

(^1520). 08 0. 02 0

2 : 15

2

A^1 x^ = ∫ vttpx μ( x + t ) dt =∫ e −^ ⋅ te − t 0. 02 dt = − e −

[ 2.^7 ]

15

  1. 08 0. 02 15

(^215) | 2

∞ ∞ (^) −⋅ −

A x = ∫ vttpx μ x + tdt =∫ e te t dt = e

[ ] 1000 2000 133512. 9487

2 15 |

2 : 15

2 22 EZ = Ax + Ax =

[ ] [ ] ( [ ]) 133512. 9487 ( 244. 626 ) 73671. 05

2 2 2

VarZ = EZ − EZ = − =