Impact of Inflation on Company Profitability: A Comparison of CC and HC Accounting, Exams of Cost Accounting

The findings of a study comparing the profitability of UK companies under Statement of Standard Accounting Practice No 16 (SSAP 16) Current Cost Accounting (CC) and Historic Cost Accounting (HC). The study highlights the differences between the two accounting methods, including the exclusion of overseas activities and non-trading income in national accounts data, and the treatment of depreciation, taxation, and extraordinary items. The document also provides information on the average return on capital employed and dividend cover for the sample of companies in different years.

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Current cost accounting
This article analyses the accounts of some 250 major companies, prepared according to current cost and
historic cost conventions, for the last three years.
Historic cost accounting generally overstates profitability-the average current cost pre-tax return on
capital is around half the historic cost figure. Industries most affected are textiles, motors, paper and
packaging and chemicals, while construction, engineering contracting and retailing are least affected.
Post-tax returns on equity are reduced even more using current cost accounting.
Around half the companies studied have paid dividends that were not fully covered by current cost profits.
Introduction
In recent years, various articles in the Bulletin have
discussed trends in the real profitability of industrial and
commercial companies (ICCs). (I) These articles were based
on national accounts data, and use aggregate figures for
ICCs;(2) they do not use companies' own current cost (CC)
adjustments. However, most major companies have by
now produced two, and in some cases three, years' results
on a CC basis under the Statement of Standard Accounting
Practice No 16 (SSAP 16) introduced with effect from
January 1980; their accounts, taken together, represent a
substantial body of information on the impact of inflation
on company results and on the effects on management
decisions of CC accounting. This article discusses some
findings of a recent study of the accounts of a sample of
almost 250 major companies, most of which have turnover
in excess of £ 1 00 million; in 1981 the total of their current
cost capital employed was some £165 billion. The aim was
to examine the impact of the SSAP 16 adjustments on
corporate p}ofitability, net earnings and dividend cover as'
reported on an historic cost (HC) basis, distinguishing
where possible between different industrial sectors.
The findings of this study are not directly comparable with
the estimates of company profitability derived from
national accounts data. There are a number of obvious
differences:
the national accounts data exclude overseas
activities, whereas the analysis described here is
based upon the reported consolidated results ofUK
company groups, including where applicable
overseas activities;
profitability measures based on national accounts
data exclude non-trading income, which is included
by companies in their accounts;
the national accounts figures make no allowance for
the accelerated write-off of obsolete or redundant
(I) See for example 'Profitability and company finance' in the June 1982 Bulletin.
plant and machinery-such write-offs by companies
in their accounts may have become increasingly
significant in recent years;
the companies included in this study are major listed
companies, while the national accounts data seek to
cover the whole corporate sector;
differences arise between the financial information
reported by companies and the data collected in the
national accounts because of the different treatments
of, inter alia, depreciation, taxation and
extraordinary items (eg redundancy payments);
the data do not cover identical time periods because
company accounting periods are not uniform and it
is impossible to aggregate company results according
to precise calendar years.
These variations in approach give rise to different absolute
levels of real profitability, but the trends identified in this
study are generally consistent with the trends in real
profitability calculated from national accounts data.
In preparing data for this analysis, the only adjustments
made to companies' reported financial information have
been to remove the effects of any prior-year deferred
taxation adjustments following the changes in stock relief
introduced by the Finance Act 1981; and to reverse,
wherever possible, the effects on the HC accounts of
any revaluations of fixed assets and of any additional
depreciation in the cases of companies which adopt a
modified HC convention. (3) The analysis covers the three
years 1979-81; company results were aggregated on the
basis of accounting periods most closely coinciding with
calendar years. Approximately half of the companies
reviewed chose not to publish comparable figures
for 1979 in their 1980 CC statements; this was permitted by
SSAP 16. Those companies whose real profitability was
most depressed were perhaps more likely to choose not to
(2) However, some work has been done on a sectoral breakdown of real profitability: see, N P Williams, influences on the
profitability 0/ twenty-two industrial sectors, Bank of England Discussion Paper No 1 S, March 1981.
(3) However, in the majority of cases where companies have incorporated revaluations into their He accounts, it has not been
possible to identify the effects, if any, on capital employed or on the depreciation charge, and the results should be interpreted
in this light.
376
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Download Impact of Inflation on Company Profitability: A Comparison of CC and HC Accounting and more Exams Cost Accounting in PDF only on Docsity!

This article analyses the accounts of some 250 major companies, prepared according to current cost and

historic cost conventions, for the last three years.

Historic cost accounting generally overstates profitability-the average current cost pre-tax return on

capital is around halfthe historic cost figure. Industries most affected are textiles, motors, paper and

packaging and chemicals, while construction, engineering contracting and retailing are least affected.

Post-tax returns on equity are reduced even more using current cost accounting.

Around halfthe companies studied have paid dividends that were not fully covered by current cost profits.

Introduction

In recent years, various articles in the Bulletin have

discussed trends in the real profitability of industrial and

commercial companies (ICCs). (I) These articles were based

on national accounts data, and use aggregate figures for

ICCs;(2) they do not use companies' own current cost (CC)

adjustments. However, most major companies have by

now produced two, and in some cases three, years' results

on a CC basis under the Statement of Standard Accounting

Practice No 16 (SSAP 16) introduced with effect from

January 1980; their accounts, taken together, represent a

substantial body of information on the impact of inflation

on company results and on the effects on management

decisions of CC accounting. This article discusses some

findings of a recent study of the accounts of a sample of

almost 250 major companies, most of which have turnover

in excess of £100 million; in 1981 the total of their current

cost capital employed was some £165 billion. The aim was

to examine the impact of the SSAP 16 adjustments on

corporate p}ofitability, net earnings and dividend cover as

reported on an historic cost (HC) basis, distinguishing

where possible between different industrial sectors.

The findings of this study are not directly comparable with

the estimates of company profitability derived from

national accounts data. There are a number of obvious

differences:

  • (^) the national accounts data exclude overseas

activities, whereas the analysis described here is

based upon the reported consolidated results ofUK

company groups, including where applicable

overseas activities;

  • profitability measures based on national accounts

data exclude non-trading income, which is included

by companies in their accounts;

  • the national accounts figures make no allowance for

the accelerated write-off of obsolete or redundant

(I) See for example 'Profitability and company finance' in the June 1982 Bulletin.

plant and machinery-such write-offs by companies

in their accounts may have become increasingly

significant in recent years;

  • the companies included in this study are major listed

companies, while the national accounts data seek to

cover the whole corporate sector;

  • differences arise between the financial information

reported by companies and the data collected in the

national accounts because of the different treatments

of, inter alia, depreciation, taxation and

extraordinary items (eg redundancy payments);

  • the data do not cover identical time periods because

company accounting periods are not uniform and it

is impossible to aggregate company results according

to precise calendar years.

These variations in approach give rise to different absolute

levels of real profitability, but the trends identified in this

study are generally consistent with the trends in real

profitability calculated from national accounts data.

In preparing data for this analysis, the only adjustments

made to companies' reported financial information have

been to remove the effects of any prior-year deferred

taxation adjustments following the changes in stock relief

introduced by the Finance Act 1981; and to reverse,

wherever possible, the effects on the HC accounts of

any revaluations of fixed assets and of any additional

depreciation in the cases of companies which adopt a

modified HC convention. (3) The analysis covers the three

years 1979-81; company results were aggregated on the

basis of accounting periods most closely coinciding with

calendar years. Approximately half of the companies

reviewed chose not to publish comparable figures

for 1979 in their 1980 CC statements; this was permitted by

SSAP 16. Those companies whose real profitability was

most depressed were perhaps more likely to choose not to

(2) However, some work has been done on a sectoral breakdown of real profitability: see, N P Williams, influences on the
profitability 0/ twenty-two industrial sectors, Bank of England Discussion Paper No 1 S, March 1981.
(3) However, in the majority of cases where companies have incorporated revaluations into their He accounts, it has not been

possible to identify the effects, if any, on capital employed or on the depreciation charge, and the results should be interpreted in this light.

publish CC results so the aggregates for 1979 may have a

degree of upward bias. In addition, a small number of

companies had not published their latest accounts when the

study was completed; however, it is unlikely that these

omissions materially affect the results for 1981.

Background to SSAP 16

After several years of discussion on the appropriate ways of

accounting for inflation, including the Sandilands Report,(I)

SSAP 16 was issued by the Accounting Standards

Committee in March 1980. The standard was introduced

for an initial three-year period and is effective for all

accounting periods starting on or after 1 January 1980. The

standard applies to almost all listed companies, and other

large companies satisfying certain criteria of size are also

affected.

It is estimated that some 5,500 companies (approximately

1 % of all live companies registered in theUnited Kingdom)

fall within its scope, although a significant number of the

companies not required to comply with SSAP 16 are

subsidiaries of companies which do comply.

This article does not attempt to review the arguments that

have been advanced for and against the detailed structure of

SSAP 16, but it may be useful to restate the fundamental

principle underlying inflation accounting. It is generally

accepted that the HC convention has failed to present

a realistic view of a company's state of affairs in an

inflationary climate, in that it has usually overstated

both the profitability achieved by industry and the profits

prudently available for distribution. A major purpose of CC

accounting is to provide a more realistic measure of the

profitability of a company's business, and to enable the

efficiency with which managements of different companies

use the assets entrusted to them to be compared more easily.

CC results for a particular year cannot strictly be compared

with those of previous years if the purchasing power of the

currency in which they are measured has changed. To

overcome this problem SSAP 16 suggests that when

comparing CC profits for a series of years, these should be

expressed in units of constant value. For individual years,

CC accounting is a practical and realistic way of adjusting

the accounts of companies to provide for the maintenance

of operating capacity in periods of inflation. It recognises

that the true cost to a going concern of producing goods or

providing services is the replacement cost of assets that are

consumed in the process, rather than the original cost of the

assets actually consumed. A company must maintain its

real capital base, necessarily involving expenditure at

current replacement costs, or its productive capacity will

inevitably decline, unless it can make more efficient use of

its assets or adopt improved production methods. These

principles are not new to management. For example, in

determining depreciation policies in the HC accounts,

companies have long recognised that depreciation charges

calculated on purely historic costs will not adequately

provide for the essential replacement of fixed assets. To an

extent this is reflected in managements' choices ofHC

depreciation rates which often bear little resemblance to

expected asset lives.

To provide for the maintenance of the capital base, SSAP 16

requires the following adjustments to profits arrived at on a

purely HC basis:

(a)

(b)

a depreciation adjustment which, together with the

HC depreciation charge, will write-off the current

replacement cost of fixed assets (as stated in the CC

balance sheet) over their expected useful lives;

a cost a/sales adjustment of an amount necessary to

ensure that stocks consumed by the business are

charged at the cost of replacement as at the date of

consumption;

(c) a monetary working capital adjustment to provide

for the additional funds needed to finance the

increase in net trade debtors arising from inflation

(or the corresponding gain where the business is a

net recipient of trade credit);

(d) a gearing adjustment to reflect realised gains

arising from inflation made by equity shareholders

at the expense of lenders-ie that proportion of the

adjustments (a) to (c) above which net borrowings

bear to total net capital employed.

Adjustments (a) to (c) are made in arriving at CC operating

profit; the gearing adjustment and interest charges (which

will tend to offset each other) are deducted to show the CC

profit before tax.

In addition to these adjustments to the profit and loss

account, revaluations of fixed assets and stocks are made in

the balance sheet. While these are entirely proper for the

purpose of calculating the real profitability of a business, it

is important to appreciate that, as with HC accounts, CC

accounts do not necessarily reflect the realisable value of

the underlying assets. For instance, the recent market

capitalisation of companies in the sample amounted to no

more than two-thirds of the net asset value in their CC

accounts.

The above CC adjustments may also be used in

management accounts. An earlier survey(2) on the

use made of inflation-adjusted accounts for internal

management purposes, carried out by the Bank in 1980 on

an admittedly small sample of listed companies, indicated

that IS of the 40 companies approached used CC

information either as the primary method of management

accounting or in parallel with or to supplement historic cost

management accounts; a further 9 companies intended

to introduce regular CC accounting information for

management purposes within the foreseeable future; the

remaining 16 companies surveyed had no such intentions. It

is to be hoped that in the intervening two years, experience

of reporting under SSAP 16 will have led more companies

to use CC accounting information in their management

accounts. The analysis described in this article suggests

(I) Inflation Accounting - Report of the Inflation Accounting Commillee (HM Stationery Office. Cmnd 6225. September 1975).

(2) See 'Inflation and management accounting' in the June 1980 Bulletin.

Table B

Rates of return on equity(a)

Percentages 1979 1980 1981

HC CC HC CC HC CC Arithmetic averages Textiles (^) 10.4 -1.4 -2.9 -9.6 -0.8 -6. Motors 13.1 (^) 5.1 -2.8 -9.6 -1.5 -6. Packaging and paper (^) 15.9 3.2 0.7 -4.7 1.2 -5. Mechanical engineering 12.7 (^) 2.5 5.9 -1.9 2.3 -3. Metals (^) 13.3 4.9 5.7 -1.0 3.8-1. Chemicals ILl (^) 1.9 3.3 -2.9 5.2 -1. Building materials 16.7 (^) 4.4 10.6 1.6 7.7 -0. Other industrial materials (^) 13.1 3.7 8.2 0.3 6. Brewers and distillers (^) 12.6 4.2 10.2 3.2 10.2 3. Food manufacturing 14.7 (^) 4.4 12.6 2.5 12.5 4. Oils (^) 30.0 10.2 28.3 8.0 20.4 4. Stores 16.6 8.4 11.6 4.0 10.8 4. Electricals (^) 14.4 4.4 12.0 4.7 12.9 4. Leisure (^) 12.9 6.3 5.9 1.4 10.4 5. Health and household products 15.3 2.6 11.8 1.7 20.0 7. Contracting and construction (^) 15.5 7.5 17.3 9.3 13.5 7. Engineering contractors (^) 17.3 8.8 14.7 8.1 14.6 8. Food retailing (^) 22.6 11.7 18.0 8.6 19.5 10.

All companies 15.3 4.9 9.3 1.1 8.8 1. Weighted averages(b) Non-oils 14.7 4.2 9.3 1.5 9.5 2. Oils 30.3 7.2 21.1 5.4 14.0 2. All companies 20.7 5.5 12.9 2.8 11.0 2.

(a) Post-tax profits attributable to shareholders as a percentage of closing shareholders' funds, excluding goodwill.

(b) The sum of attributable profits of all companies in the sample divided by the

total of their shareholders' funds.

The general level of real profitability (measured as the

pre-tax return on current cost capital employed) appears to

be much higher for the sample companies than in the

national accounts data, whereas reported returns to the

equity interests appear to be rather lower. Thus, while

estimates based on the national accounts data indicate that

real post-tax returns on equity for non-North Sea ICCs over

the last three years were about 8%, 5 % and 4%, the

average returns for the companies analysed were 4%, 1�%

and 2 % respectively. The principal reason for the

discrepancy is probably that the national accounts data

assume that full utilisation is made of stock relief and

capital allowances. In practice, a number of companies are

unable to do this, so that total taxation accruals actually

made by companies are higher. The Green Paper on

Corporation Tax(l) estimated that unused tax reliefs and

allowances carried forward, then standing at some £

billion (excluding public corporations), are increasing by

roughly £5 billion a year; these figures may be compared

with the total yield from all taxes on company income of

some £6.7 billion in 1980/81. A further reason for

differences between the two analyses is that companies have

reported their results under SSAP 16, whereas the statistics

based on the national accounts assume a 'natural' gearing

adjustment in arriving at the real post-tax return on

equity.(2)

The much sharper drop in post-tax equity profitability

between 1979 and 1980 when compared with the fall in

pre-tax return on capital employed probably reflects the

increased propensity of companies to charge redundancy

payments and other closure costs as extraordinary items

in recent years. It can be argued that, where business

rationalisation costs secure higher labour productivity and

the more efficient utilisation of the remaining trading assets

(I) HM Stationery Office. Cmnd 8456, January 1982.

in future years, such expenditure could be regarded in

economic terms as capital in nature, except for instance

where a complete operation is closed. In this latter case no

direct benefit from greater utilization of trading assets is

obtained and such expenditure might be more properly

regarded as revenue in nature. Either way these charges

represent an erosion of shareholders' funds; and in most

cases clearly affect the liquidity of companies and their

ability to service their capital.

A more obvious cause of the poor returns on equity

prevailing in recent years is, of course, the high cost of

borrowing. At the same time there has been a decline in

profits at the operating level because industry and

commerce has become less competitive and because of the

general economic recession, and the combination of these

factors has left a much smaller share of profits available for

shareholders.

Those same sectors where pre-tax and interest returns are

substantially affected by CC adjustments also display poor

post-tax returns on equity. Motors and textiles typically

show net losses, not only in CC terms, but also in HC terms,

while mechanical engineering, metals, packaging and

paper, and chemicals also show net losses in CC terms.

Conversely, as might be expected, sectors which are least

affected by CC adjustments at the operating level show

better real returns on equity.

C urrent cost adjustments

The total CC adjustments to profits of all companies

analysed are shown in Table C, expressed as a percentage of

HC operating profits. The relative increase in CC operating

profits from 56% ofHC profits in 1979 to 65% in 1981

reflects the lower general level of price increases in later

years; but the individual CC adjustments need to be

examined more closely. The depreciation adjustment in

particular has increased in importance over the last three

TableC

HC andCC profits(a)

Percentage of operating profits 1979 1980 1981

HC CC HC CC HC CC

Operating profits (HC) lOO lOO lOO 100 lOO lOO CC adjustments: depreciation -14 -16 - working capital(b) -27 -20 - other(c) -^2 -^2 -^ I

Operating profits lOO 56 lOO 62 lOO^65 Finance charges -12 -12 -17 -17^ -20^ - Gearing adjustment II 9 9

Pre-tax profits 88 55 83 54 80 54 Taxation -28 -28^ -37^ -37^ -35^ -

Post-tax profits 60 27 46 17 45 19 Minority interests and extraordinary items - 6 - 5 -^5 -^3 -^8 -^7

Profits attributable to shareholders 54 22 41 14 37 12 Dividends -12^ -12^ -14^ -14^ -14^ -

Retained profits 42 10 27 23 -^2

(a) Aggregation of all companies surveyed (He operating profits^ =^ 100). (b) Cost of sales and monetary working capital adjustments. (c) Principally on disposals of fixed assets or the CC adjustments of associated companies.

(2) Rates of return on equity incorporating an SSAP^16 gearing adjustment are likely to be lower than estimates incorporating a

'natural' gearing adjustment. (See June 1980 Bulletin. page 193.)

Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin: September 1982

years, but probably because of the fall in total profits rather

than any increase in the average age of fixed assets which, in

CC accounts, would give rise to a higher depreciation

adjustment. On the other hand, the working capital

adjustments have become less important, even expressed

as a proportion of declining profits, reflecting the much

sharper reduction in the rate of increase of labour and

material input costs to manufacturing industry, and also

declining stock levels. The reasonably stable gearing

adjustment over the three years is consistent with the more

or less stable level of capital gearing during that time

(Table D), although there is evidence that both the average

capital gearing, and consequently the gearing adjustment,

were marginally higher in 1981 because of increased net

borrowings. This appears to support the observation in the

June 1982 Bulletin that the underlying financial position of

ICCs may not have improved much in 1981, especially

when account is taken of the increase in the sterling value of

foreign currency liabilities following the depreciation of

sterling.

TableD

Capital gearing

Percentages

Debt/equity ratio(a): historic cost current cost

1979 1980 1981

35.1 34.6 35. 25.5 25.1 26.

(a) Defined as the ratio of total borrowings (including overdrafts less liquid

funds) 10 shareholders' funds.

Dividend cover

While some 80% of dividends paid by the companies

analysed were fully covered by HC profits in 1980 and 1981,

only half of all companies in the sample covered their

dividends in current cost terms (Table E). Out of the

smaller sample of companies disclosing comparable figures

Table E

Extent of dividend cover(a)

_

19 _ 7 _ (^9) __ -, 19 ....:. 8 ..:... 0 __ ::..:. 19 ...:. 8 ..:...

1 __

HC CC HC CC HC CC

Dividend cover Average(b) (^) 3.5 1.7 2.7 1.3 2.6 1. Weighted average(c) (^) 4.5 1.8 2.9 1.0 2.5 0. Percentage of companies Fully covered(d) (^9463 79 51 81 ) Partly covered (^5 15 7 15 5 ) Wholly uncovered (^) I 22 14 34 14 36

100 100 100 100 100 100

(a) Profits available for distribution divided by dividends declared. (b) Arithmetic mean of individual companies. taking the dividend cover of companies paying wholly uncovered dividends as 'nil'.

(c) The sum of total profits l(!Ss losses divided by total dividends declared.

(d) Including a small proportion of companies which paid no dividends.

for 1979, the proportion of companies reporting fully

covered dividends in both HC and CC terms was higher,

but again this may partly reflect a slight bias in the sample

of companies disclosing current cost results when SSAP 16

was not mandatory, even though profits achieved in 1979

were generally better. In all three years, however, the

average dividend cover calculated on CC profits

attributable to shareholders is found to be less than half the

cover based on HC profits. (I) A weighted average dividend

cover, based on an aggregation of the profit and loss

accounts of the companies analysed, shows dividend cover

to have worsened in real terms from 1.8 in 1979 to 0.7 in

1981. While dividends paid were, in aggregate, fully

covered by CC profits in 1979 and 1980, they were only

partly covered by profits available in 1981.

These calculated levels of dividend cover make no

adjustment for cases where companies have insufficient

corporation tax liabilities against which to offset the

advance corporation tax payable when distributions are

made. To the extent that this advance corporation tax

cannot be recovered in the foreseeable future, and has not

been written-off as part of the total tax charge, the real cost

of paying a dividend would be that much higher.

Industrial sectors where the payment of dividends out of

capital in CC terms appears to have been the rule rather

than the exception include motors, metals, packaging and

paper, textiles and, to a lesser extent mechanical

engineering, chemicals and other industrial materials.

Without further injections of equity capital, the real

operating capacity of companies which have paid

uncovered dividends can be maintained only by further

borrowings, as the increased capital gearing in certain

sectors testifies. Conversely, those companies which have

continued to pay dividends despite incurring real losses,

and which have not been able to raise further equity or

increase their borrowings, will necessarily have contracted

their trading base. To the extent that these companies are in

declining industries, the payment of dividends out of

reserves may theoretically be justified on the grounds that

the shareholders may be able to obtain a better return by

reinvesting their capital elsewhere. But it is likely that

directors will in practice have been more influenced by a

concern to minimise the risk of any weakening in their share

price, and thus of increased exposure to takeover, in

circumstances in which, for many companies, market

valuations have been materially below net asset value at

replacement cost.

Conclusions

While experience so far with inflation-adjusted company

accounts is generally limited to two or at most three years,

there is now ample evidence of the effects of SSAP 16 on the

reported results of major industrial companies.

  • (^) As measured by the returr? on capital employed, the

profitability of companies on a CC basis is only half

the apparent profitability suggested by the HC

convention which overstates pre-tax profits and

understates the value of the assets employed in a

business.

  • (^) The post-tax return attributable to the equity

interests of the sample in the last two years is almost

eliminated when stated in CC terms, in sharp

contrast to the situation revealed by HC accounting.

(I) All these averages may be overstated in absolute terms because some companies have declared dividends which are not only uncovered but which have been paid in spite of substantial losses; for the purposes of calculating an arithmetic mean, such companies have been taken to have nil dividend cover.