Discrete Probability Distribution - Lecture Notes | STAT 104, Study notes of Statistics

Material Type: Notes; Class: INTRO TO STATISTICS; Subject: STATISTICS; University: Iowa State University; Term: Unknown 1989;

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Chapter 6
Discrete
Probability
Distributions
Section 6.1
Probability
Distributions
In Chapter 5, we presented the concept of an experiment and the outcomes
of an experiment. When experiments are conducted in a way such that the
outcome is a numerical result, we say the outcome is a random variable.
A random variable is a numerical measure of the outcome of a probability
experiment, so its value is determined by chance. Random variables are
denoted using capital letters such as X. Each of the observed values are
denoted with a small letter such as x.
A discrete random variable is a random variable that has either a finite
number of possible values or a countable number of possible values.
A continuous random variable is a random variable that has an infinite
number of possible values that is not countable.
The probability distribution of a random variable X provides the possible
values of the random variable and their corresponding probabilities. A
probability distribution can be in the form of a table, graph, or mathematical
formula.
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Chapter 6

Discrete

Probability

Distributions

Section 6.

Probability

Distributions

In Chapter 5, we presented the concept of an experiment and the outcomes of an experiment. When experiments are conducted in a way such that the outcome is a numerical result, we say the outcome is a random variable. A random variable is a numerical measure of the outcome of a probability experiment, so its value is determined by chance. Random variables are denoted using capital letters such as X. Each of the observed values are denoted with a small letter such as x. A discrete random variable is a random variable that has either a finite number of possible values or a countable number of possible values. A continuous random variable is a random variable that has an infinite number of possible values that is not countable. The probability distribution of a random variable X provides the possible values of the random variable and their corresponding probabilities. A probability distribution can be in the form of a table, graph, or mathematical formula.

Requirements for a Discrete Probability Distribution Let P(X = x ) denote the probability the random variable X equals x , then

  1.  P(X = x ) = 1
  2. 0  P(X = x )  1 Example Determine which of the following are probability distributions. x P(X = x ) 0 0. 1 0. 2 0. 3 0. 4 0. x P(X = x ) 10 0. 20 0. 30 0. 40 0. 50 -0. x P(X = x ) 100 0. 200 0. 300 0. 400 0. 500 0.

X P(X = x ) x*P(X=x) x^2 x^2 *P(X=x) 0 0. 1 0. 2 0. 3 0. 4 0. Totals

Section 6.

The Binomial

Probability Distribution

Criteria for a Binomial Probability Experiment An experiment is said to be a binomial experiment provided

  1. The experiment is performed a fixed number of times. Each repetition of the experiment is called a trial.
  2. The trials are independent. This means the outcome of one trial will not affect the outcome of the other trials.
  3. For each trial, there are two mutually exclusive outcomes: success or failure.
  4. The probability of success is fixed for each trial of the experiment. Notation Used in the Binomial Probability Distribution  There are n independent trials of the experiment.  Let p denote the probability of success so that q = 1 – p is the probability of failure.  Let X denote the number of successes in n independent trials of the experiment. So, 0  xn.

The probability of obtaining x successes in n independent trials of a binomial experiment where the probability of success is p is given by px^ qn^ x x n P X x        (  )  where x = 0, 1, 2, … , n Mean and Standard Deviation of a Binomial Random Variable A binomial experiment with n independent trials and probability of success p will have a mean and standard deviation given by the formulas

X = np and  X  npq

Example:

Singulair is a medication for controlling asthma attacks. In clinical trials of Singulair, 18.4% of the patients in the study experienced headaches as a side effect. Let X = the number of

  1. Compute the mean and standard deviation of X, the number of patients experiencing headaches in 400 trials of the probability experiment.
  2. Interpret the mean.
  3. Define p.
  4. What is the distribution of X.
  5. Give an expression for the probability that exactly 70 patients in (1) experience headaches.
  6. Give an expression for the probability that 100 or more patients experience headaches
  7. Give an expression for the probability that between 90 and 110 patients experience headaches.
  8. Would it be unusual if 100 or more patients experience headaches in this study?