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A cheat sheet for various probability distributions, including bernoulli, binomial, geometric, poisson, uniform, exponential, normal, pascal, erlang, and n-dimensional gaussian distributions. It includes probability mass functions (pmf), moment generating functions (mgf), moments, and formulas for independence and sums.
Typology: Lecture notes
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px(1 − p)n−x, x ∈ { 0 ,... , n}. MGF: MX (s) = (1 − p + p exp s)n. Moments: E[X] = np, var X = np(1 − p).
2 πσ)−^1 exp{−(x − μ)^2 /(2σ^2 )}. CDF: FX (x) = Φ(x). MGF: MX (s) = exp(μs + σ^2 s^2 /2). Moments: E[X] = μ, var X = σ^2. X, Y independent, X ∼ N (μ 1 , σ 12 ), Y ∼ N (μ 2 , σ^22 ) =⇒ X + Y ∼ N (μ 1 + μ 2 , σ^21 + σ 22 ).
Continued:
pk(1 − p)x−k, x = k, k + 1, k + 2,....
Tail Sum: For X ≥ 0, E[X] =
0 P(X^ ≥^ x) dx. Variance: var X = E[(X − E[X])^2 ] = E[X^2 ] − E[X]^2. Sum: var ∑n i=1 Xi^ =^
∑n i=1 var^ Xi^ +^
i 6 =j cov(Xi, Xj^ ). Covariance: cov (X, Y ) = E[XY ] − E[X] E[Y ]. Matrix: If X = (X 1 ,... , Xn), (cov X)i,j = cov(Xi, Xj ). Correlation: ρ(X, Y ) = cov(X, Y )/
(var X)(var Y ). Entropy: H(X) = − ∑ x∈X p(x) log 2 p(x) = − E[log 2 p(X)]. Order Statistics: fX(i) (x) = n (n− 1 i− 1
f (x)F (x)i−^1 (1 − F (x))n−i. MGF: MX (s) = E[exp(sX)]. Markov: For X ≥ 0, x > 0, P(X ≥ x) ≤ E[X]/x. Chebyshev: For x > 0, P(|X − E[X]| ≥ x) ≤ (var X)/x^2. LLSE: L[X | Y ] − E[X] = [cov(X, Y )/(var Y )](Y − E[Y ]).
Kalman Dynamics: For n ∈ N,
Xn+1 = AXn + Vn, Yn = CXn + Wn,
where X 0 , (Vn, n ∈ N), (Wn, n ∈ N) are zero mean, orthogonal, with cov Vn = ΣV , cov Wn = ΣW for all n ∈ N.
Kalman Filter: Assume ΣW is invertible.
Xˆn|n := L[Xn | Y 0 , Y 1 ,... , Yn] = Xˆn|n− 1 + Kn Y˜n, X^ ˆn|n− 1 := L[Xn | Y 0 , Y 1 ,... , Yn− 1 ] = A Xˆn− 1 |n− 1 , Y^ ˜n := Yn − L[Yn | Y 0 , Y 1 ,... , Yn− 1 ] = Yn − C Xˆn|n− 1 , Kn = Σn|n− 1 CT(CΣn|n− 1 CT^ + ΣW )−^1 , Σn|n− 1 := cov(Xn − Xˆn|n− 1 ) = AΣn− 1 |n− 1 AT^ + ΣV , Σn|n := cov(Xn − Xˆn|n) = (I − KnC)Σn|n− 1.