Exercise: Empirical Rule, Study notes of Statistics

Exercise: Empirical Rule. 1. Use the empirical rule to answer the following: ▫ Monthly maintenance costs are distributed normally with a µ=$250 and σ=$50.

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Exercise: Empirical Rule
1
Use the empirical rule to answer the following:
!Monthly maintenance costs are distributed
normally with a µ=$250 and σ=$50
"1) What percent of months have maintenance
costs in the range of $200 to $300?
"2) What is the chance (i.e. probability) that a
randomly chosen month has a maintenance
cost of $150 or less?
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Exercise: Empirical Rule

Use the empirical rule to answer the following: ! Monthly maintenance costs are distributed normally with a μ=$250 and σ=$ " 1) What percent of months have maintenance costs in the range of $200 to $300? " 2) What is the chance (i.e. probability) that a randomly chosen month has a maintenance cost of $150 or less?

Answer:

" 1) " 2)

! What if we’re 1.5 standard deviations

up from the mean? How do we

compute such a percentile?

! Solution: Standard Scores

Normal Percentiles

Standard Scores

The number of standard deviations a data value lies above or below the mean is called its standard score (or z-score), defined by z = standard score = The standard score is positive for data values above the mean and negative for data values below the mean. data value – mean standard deviation

Standard Scores

! What percentile are the following IQ scores? " 85 (standard score: z = -0.94) " 100 (standard score: z = 0) " 125 (standard score: z = 1.56) ! We can’t use the empirical rule here. ! We’ll have to use a table to find the percentages (Appendix A in our book).

A subset of Appendix A (shown here) is provided in Section 5.2 in the book. This table shows the percentage of observations below any given standard score.

What percent of observations are below a standard score of z = 0? Ans: 50% A standard score of 0 is at the 50 th percentile. 50% shaded

What percent of observations are below a standard score of z = 1.56? This standard score lies between 1.5 and 1.6 on the table. We can approximate the percentile for this standard score as (93.32% + 94.52%) 2 Or 93.92%, which is the 93. nd percentile. 94% shaded

! We will use Appendix A from the book (a subset of that table was shown above) to compute percentiles and probabilities because it has finer resolution (more decimals). ! THIS TAKES PRACTICE! ! Active work: See worksheet on normal curve scores.

Standard Scores

13

More Exercises: z-scores

! Assume you have a normal distribution. Use the z-score table in Appendix A to answer: " 1) What percent of observations lie below a z- score of 0? " 2) What percent of observations lie below a z- score of 1.72?

5.2 Properties of the

Normal Distribution

part 3 ! Connecting z-scores to probabilities.

! Example : The Stanford-Binet IQ test is normally distributed and scaled so that scores have a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 16.

! Example : The Stanford-Binet IQ test is normally distributed with a mean of 100 and standard deviation of 16. Let X be an IQ score of a person. Short-hand notation: X ~ N(μ=100,σ=16) Normal 19 The 2 parameters needed to define a normal distribution. “is distributed”

" If you draw someone at random, what is the probability that they have an IQ score of 90 or less? " We need to answer: When X ~ N(μ=100,σ=16), what is P(X ≤ 90)? X is a data value (or IQ score in this case). We will convert it to a z-score…