Expected Value - Probability - Exam, Exams of Probability and Statistics

This is the Exam of Probability which includes Maximum, Hazard Rate Function, Continuous Random Variable, Density Function, Definition, Compute, Geometric, Geometric Random Variable etc. Key important points are: Expected Value, Probability, Randomly Selected, Different, Interval, Different Pairs, Individual Pair, Expectations, Core Problems, Spark Plug

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2012/2013

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MATH 115 Sample Final Exam 2
1. What is the probability that three randomly-selected people were born on different
days of the week? (Assume that the chance of someone being born on a given day
of the week is 1/7).
(a) 1
343 (b) 1
27 (c) 30
343 (d) 30
49 (e) 35
81 (f) 1
3(g) 3
7(h) 1
720
2. What are the expected value µand the variance σ2of a random variable Xdis-
tributed on the interval [0,2] with the probability density function f(x)=x/2for
0x2?
(a) µ=4/3, σ2=2 (b)µ=4/3, σ2=2/9(c)µ=4/3, σ2=1/3
(d) µ=3/2, σ2=2 (e)µ=3/2, σ2=2/9
(f) µ=3/2, σ2=1/3(g)µ=1,σ2=2 (h)µ=1,σ2=1/3
3. Six different pairs of socks are put in the laundry (12 socks in all, and each sock
has only one mate), but only 7 socks come back. What is the expected number of
pairs of socks that come back? (Hint: This is the sum of the expectations of the
number, 0 or 1, of each individual pair that come back.)
(a) 7
22 (b) 15
8(c) 15
22 (d) 30
11 (e) 15
4(f) 21
11 (g) 23
8(h) 51
22
4. A student knows how to do 15 out of the 20 core problems for a given chapter. If
the TA chooses 3 of the core problems at random for a quiz, what is the probability
that the student knows how to do exactly 2 of them?
(a) 27
64 (b) 35
228 (c) 5
114 (d) 35
76 (e) 55
64 (f) 5
38 (g) 137
228 (h) 9
64
5. 6% of Type A spark plugs are defective, 4% of Type B spark plugs are defective,
and 2% of Type C spark plugs are defective. A spark plug is selected at random
from a batch of spark plugs containing 50 Type A plugs, 30 Type B plugs, and 20
Type C plugs. The selected plug is found to be defective. What is the probability
that the selected plug was of Type A?
(a) 3
4(b) 10
23 (c) 1
3(d) 2
3(e) 15
23 (f) 2
23 (g) 1
2(h) 7
10
6. The response time of communications network WEQ is an exponentially dis-
tributed random variable with mean response time of 0.1 seconds. A computer
has already been waiting for 0.2 seconds for a response from WEQ. What is the
probability that the computer will have to wait more than another 0.3 seconds, so
that the total response time is more than 0.5 seconds?
(a) 0.5 (b) 0.5 (c) 1
5(d) e10 (e) 0.3(f)e2(g) e3(h) e5
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MATH 115 – Sample Final Exam 2

  1. What is the probability that three randomly-selected people were born on different days of the week? (Assume that the chance of someone being born on a given day of the week is 1/7). (a) 3431 (b) 271 (c) 34330 (d) 3049 (e) 3581 (f) 13 (g) 37 (h) 7201
  2. What are the expected value μ and the variance σ^2 of a random variable X dis- tributed on the interval [0, 2] with the probability density function f (x) = x/2 for 0 ≤ x ≤ 2? (a) μ = 4/3, σ^2 = 2 (b) μ = 4/3, σ^2 = 2/ 9 (c) μ = 4/3, σ^2 = 1/ 3 (d) μ = 3/2, σ^2 = 2 (e) μ = 3/2, σ^2 = 2/ 9 (f) μ = 3/2, σ^2 = 1/ 3 (g) μ = 1, σ^2 = 2 (h) μ = 1, σ^2 = 1/ 3
  3. Six different pairs of socks are put in the laundry (12 socks in all, and each sock has only one mate), but only 7socks come back. What is the expected number of pairs of socks that come back? (Hint: This is the sum of the expectations of the number, 0 or 1, of each individual pair that come back.)

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)

(f)

(g)

(h)

  1. A student knows how to do 15 out of the 20 core problems for a given chapter. If the TA chooses 3 of the core problems at random for a quiz, what is the probability that the student knows how to do exactly 2 of them?

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)

(f)

(g)

(h)

  1. 6% of Type A spark plugs are defective, 4% of Type B spark plugs are defective, and 2% of Type C spark plugs are defective. A spark plug is selected at random from a batch of spark plugs containing 50 Type A plugs, 30 Type B plugs, and 20 Type C plugs. The selected plug is found to be defective. What is the probability that the selected plug was of Type A?

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)

(f)

(g)

(h)

  1. The response time of communications network WEQ is an exponentially dis- tributed random variable with mean response time of 0.1 seconds. A computer has already been waiting for 0.2 seconds for a response from WEQ. What is the probability that the computer will have to wait more than another 0.3 seconds, so that the total response time is more than 0.5 seconds?

(a) 0.5 (b) 0.5 (c)

(d) e−^10 (e) 0. 3 (f) e−^2 (g) e−^3 (h) e−^5

  1. During business hours, the help desk for a company’s computer system receives an average of 10 calls per hour. What is the probability that fewer than 3 calls come in during a randomly chosen half-hour period during business hours? (a) 56 e−^10 (b) 152 e−^10 (c) 232 e−^10 (d) 372 e−^10 (e) 56 e−^5 (f) 152 e−^5 (g) 232 e−^5 (h) 372 e−^5
  2. A fair coin is flipped 400 times. What is the probability (to the nearest percent) that the number of heads that occurse is more than 210 and less than 240? (Use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution). (a) 5% (b) 12% (c) 16% (d) 29% (e) 45% (f) 55% (g) 62% (h) 79%
  3. The following is a contour plot of z = f (x, y).

1

2 y

–3 –2 –1 1 2 3 x

What is f (x, y)? (a) x^2 + y^2 (b) 2x^2 + y^2 (c) x^2 + 2y^2 (d) x^2 − y^2 (e) x^2 − 2 y^2 (f) 2x^2 − y^2 (g) xy (h) x + y

  1. Suppose f (x, y) = x^3 − 3 xy + y^3 + 2. Find the critical points of f and determine their types. (a) rel min at (0,0), rel min at (1,1) (b) rel min at (0,0), saddle at (1,1) (c) rel min at (0,0), rel max at (1,1) (d) saddle at (0,0), rel min at (1,1) (e) saddle at (0,0), saddle at (1,1) (f) saddle at (0,0), rel max at (1,1) (g) rel max at (0,0), rel min at (1,1) (h) rel max at (0,0), saddle at (1,1)
  2. Let f (x, y) =

x^2 + 2y^2. Approximating f (1. 1 , 1 .9) using the total differential of f at (1,2), one gets: (a) 3 (b) 3.1 (c) 2.9 (d) − 0. 1 (e) 2.9667(f) − 0. 0333 (g) 3.0333 (h) 0.

  1. Find the point on the parabola y = x^2 that is closest to the point (16, 12 ).

(a) (0,0) (b) (1,1) (c) (3,9) (d) (− 1 , 1) (e) (− 2 , 4) (f) (2,4) (g) (^12 , 14 ) (h) (^13 , 19 )

  1. Let∫∫ T be the triangle with vertices (0,0), (1,0) and (1,2). Compute the integral

T

30 x^2 y dA

(a) 0 (b) 1 (c) 2 (d) 3 (e) 5 (f) 12 (g) 15 (h) 30

  1. Suppose A is a 2 × 2 matrix and A^2 = AA =

[ 1 3 0 4

] and A^3 =

[ 1 7 0 8

]

. What is the entry in the second row, second column of A? (a) A 22 = 0 (b) A 22 = 1 (c) A 22 = − 1 (d) A 22 = 3 (e) A 22 = − 2 (f) A 22 = 2 (g) A 22 = 12 (h) A 22 = (^13)

  1. The maximum value of P = 3x + 4y subject to 2x + y ≤ 5, x + y ≤ 4 and x, y ≥ 0 is attained at (a) (0,5) (b) (0,4) (c) (0,0) (d) (1,3) (e) (2.5,0) (f) (4,0) (g) (2,1) (h) (2,2)