Finite Population Correction - Survey Sampling Techniques - Lecture Slides, Slides of Survey Sampling Techniques

Survey Sampling Techniques course is one of important courses in Statisitics. Major poiuts of this course are: probability sampling, confidence intervals, Two-stage cluster sampling, Two-stage cluster sampling, estimation for mean, choosing strata, allocation across strata, ratio estimation, domain estimation, Two-stage cluster sampling. Keywords in these slides are: Finite Population Correction, Sampling Fraction, Finite Population Correction, Sampling Fraction, Population Total, Population, E

Typology: Slides

2012/2013

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Finitepopulationcorrectionfactor(FPC)
Samplingfractionistheproportionofthepopulation
sampled,orn/N
Notethatalargersamplesizen
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Smallervarianceofsamplemean
IgnoringtheFPCleadstoconservativeestimateofthe
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FPC
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Finite

population

correction

factor

(FPC)

Sampling

fraction

is

the

proportion

of

the

population

sampled,

or

n/N

Note

that

a

larger

sample

size

n

Larger

fraction

of

population

is

sampled

Smaller

FPC

Smaller

variance

of

sample

mean

Ignoring

the

FPC

leads

to

conservative

estimate

of

the

variance

]

[

2

n N

s n

y

V

n N

FPC

1

Finite

population

correction

factor

(FPC)

However,

if

Sampling

fraction

is

very

small

(n/N

is

very

small)

FPC

is

very

close

to

1

then

FPC

has

no

practical

effect

on

the

standard

error

(SE)

or

estimated

variance

of

an

estimate

Example:

sample

of

3000

households

from

total

of

1,200,

households

(^99975).

(^00025).

1

(^000) ,

(^200) , 1

3000

1

1

(^00025). 0

(^000) ,

(^200) , 1

3000

fraction

Sampling

      

n N

FPC

n N

s n

n N

s n

y

V

2

2

]

[

Properties

of

the

estimator

for

population

total

t

using

SRS

Assume

we

have

a

SRS

sample

of

n

SUs

from

a

population

of

N

SUs

Under

SRS

,^

the

population

total

t

is

estimated

by

Under

SRS,

the

estimator

for

the

total

is

an

unbiased

estimator

of

the

population

total

The

mean

of

the

sampling

distribution

for

the

sample

total

is

equal

to

the

population

total

y

N

t

Theoretical

derivation

Mean

of

sampling

distribution

for

estimating

population

total

t

under

SRS

Expectation

of

a

linear

function

of

a

random

variable

If

a

,^

b

are

constants

&

is

a

random

variable,

then

t y N y E N y N E t E

U } { } { } ˆ {

b

aE

b

a

E

} ˆ { } ˆ { 

ˆ

Properties

of

the

estimator

for

population

total

t

using

SRS

The

estimated

variance

for

the

total

estimator

under

SRS

is

The

estimated

variance

is

An

estimate

of

the

variance

of

the

sampling

distribution

for

the

estimated

total

under

SRS

A

measure

of

the

precision

of

the

estimated

total

as

an

estimator

of

the

population

total

1

] ˆ [ ˆ

2

2

 

 

n N

s n

N

t

V

] ˆ [ ˆ

t

V

Properties

of

the

estimator

for

population

total

t

using

SRS

The

estimated

standard

error

(SE)

for

the

estimated

total

under

SRS

is

A

measure

of

the

precision

of

the

estimated

total

as

an

estimator

of

the

population

total

n N

s n

N t V t E S

1 ] ˆ [ ˆ ) ˆ ( ˆ

Properties

of

estimated

proportion

under

SRS

Mean

of

sampling

distribution

for

estimator

of

population

proportion

p

under

SRS

Is

unbiased

for

p

ˆ p

p

p

E

ˆp

Properties

of

estimated

proportion

under

SRS

Unbiased

estimator

for

the

variance

of

the

sampling

distribution

for

Estimator

for

SE

ˆ p

  

  

 

n N

n

p

p

p

V

1

1

) ˆ 1 ( ˆ } ˆ { ˆ

  

  

 

n N

n

p

p

p

E

S

1

1

) ˆ 1 ( ˆ } ˆ { ˆ

Quality

of

estimates

Estimator

under

a

given

design

is

unbiased

On

average

over

a

large

number

of

samples,

the

mean

of

the

estimates

“hit”

the

target

population

parameter

(centered

on

the

bull’s

eye)

Estimator

under

a

given

design

is

precise

Over

a

large

number

of

samples,

estimates

will

tend

to

be

close

to

one

another,

indicating

that

the

variance

of

the

sampling

distribution

for

the

estimator

is

small

Clump

pattern,

but

may

not

be

centered

on

bull’s

eye

(precise

but

biased)

Estimator

under

a

given

design

is

accurate

Estimator

comes

close

to

hitting

target

and

is

precise

Assess

this

with

the

mean

squared

error

(MSE)

Mean

Squared

Error

an

Estimator

Mean

squared

error

(MSE)

of

Combines

bias

and

precision

to

provide

a

single

measure

of

the

quality

of

an

estimator

given

a

design

(accuracy

in

Lohr)

Sometimes

we’ll

accept

a

little

bias

to

get

a

more

precise

estimator,

leading

to

a

lower

MSE

If

2

2

] ˆ

Bias[

] ˆ [

ˆ

ˆ

MSE

V

E

ˆ 

] ˆ [

] ˆ

MSE[

then

0

] ˆ

Bias[

V

Population

Sampling

distribution

distribution

Basic

unit:

U={1,2,…,N}

Total

number

of

units:

N

Variable:

character

of

interest,

Y

Parameters:

characterize

the

target

population

Mean

,^

proportion

p

(central

tendency)

Total

t

Variance,

std

dev

S

2

,^

S

(spread

of

distn)

STATIC

for

a

given

Y

,^

pop

distribtn

is

the

object

of

inference

and

never

changes

with

design

or

estimator

Basic

unit:

sample

selected

using

a

specific

design

(

A

)

Total

number

of

units:

of

poss.

samples

given

design

Variable:

estimator

of

parameter,

Parameters:

characterize

the

quality

of

the

estimator

Mean

(used

to

assess

bias

of

the

estimator)

Variance,

SE

(precision

of

estimator)

DEPENDS

on

population

parameter,

estimator

of

population

parameter,

sample

design

ˆ  ˆ^ } {

E

} ˆ { ˆ

}, ˆ {

E S

V

U y

docsity.com

Confidence

intervals

(CIs)

Making

inference:

a

confidence

interval

(CI)

to

express

precision

of

estimate

Need

estimated

variance

or

SE

of

estimator

for

a

population

parameter

under

a

specific,

which

provides

precision

of

the

sampling

distribution.

How

many

samples?

Number

of

possible

SRS

samples

of

size

4

from

a

population

of

size

8

Probability

of

obtaining

one

of

these

samples?

Exact

confidence

level

Interval

(not

the

usual

CI)

Note

whether

or

not

interval

covers

true

value

of

population

total,

t

intervals

cover

do

not

confidence

level

s

t

4

ˆ