Four Steps of Hypothesis Testing, Lecture notes of Statistics

Usually the hypothesis concerns the value of a population parameter. How to express null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis in symbolic form. Identify H1 ...

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Step one: State null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis in symbolic form.
Usually the hypothesis concerns the value of a population parameter.
How to express null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis in symbolic form
Identify H1 first. If the original claim of the question uses words such as “greater, larger,
increased, improved and so on”, use “>for H1. If it uses words such as “less, decreased,
smaller and s o on”, apply “<” for H1. If words such as “the same, change,
different/difference and so on” appear in the cl aim, use “≠” for H1. The oppos ite symbol
wil l be used for H0. (Note: For MATH 1257, always use “=” for H0.)
Step two: Compute the test statistics value.
Step three: Identify the critical value or the P-value by the tables.
Be aware of how many tails exist when you l ook up the critical value in the tabl e. If the
symbols “>,<,≥,” are used in H1, it is one-tailed. If the symbol “≠” is used in H1, two-
tailed.
The significance levels 1%, 5% and 10% are commonly used.
Confidence Level + Significance Level = 1 i.e. Confidence Level = 1 Signi ficance Level
Therefore, when si gnificance l evel equals 1%, 5% or 10%, confidence level equals 99%,
95% or 90% respectively. The corresponding critical z values are shown as follows:
Significance Level
Confidence Level
Critical z Value
1%
99%=0.99
2.575
5%
95%=0.95
1.96
10%
90%=0.90
1.645
Step four: Draw a graph included the test statistics value, the critical value
and the critical region(s) or compare the P-value with the significance level
α. And then make a conclusion of the hypothesis.
Four Steps of Hypothesis Testing
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 Step one: State null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis in symbolic form.

Usually the hypothesis concerns the value of a population parameter.

How to express null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis in symbolic form Identify H 1 first. If the original claim of the question uses words such as “greater, larger, increased, improved and so on”, use “>” for H 1. If it uses words such as “less, decreased, smaller and so on”, apply “<” for H 1. If words such as “the same, change, different/difference and so on” appear in the claim, use “≠” for H 1. The opposite symbol will be used for H 0. (Note: For MATH 1257, always use “=” for H 0 .)

 Step two: Compute the test statistics value.

 Step three: Identify the critical value or the P-value by the tables.

Be aware of how many tails exist when you look up the critical value in the table. If the symbols “>,<,≥,≤” are used in H 1 , it is one-tailed. If the symbol “≠” is used in H 1 , two- tailed. The significance levels 1%, 5% and 10% are commonly used. Confidence Level + Significance Level = 1 i.e. Confidence Level = 1 – Significance Level Therefore, when significance level equals 1%, 5% or 10%, confidence level equals 99%, 95% or 90% respectively. The corresponding critical z values are shown as follows:

Significance Level Confidence Level Critical z Value 1% 99%=0.99 2. 5% 95%=0.95 1. 10% 90%=0.90 1.

 Step four: Draw a graph included the test statistics value, the critical value

and the critical region(s) or compare the P-value with the significance level

α. And then make a conclusion of the hypothesis.

Four Steps of Hypothesis Testing

Traditional Method : If the test statistics value falls in the critical region(s), reject H 0. If the test statistics value does not fall in the critical region(s), fail to reject H 0. P-value Method: If P-value is less than or equal to the significance level α, reject H0. If P- value is greater than the significance level α, fail to reject H 0.

Example:

The true value of one type of degree or diploma cannot be quantitatively measured, but we can measure its relative impact on starting salary. Graduates from Quebec universities with a B.A. or B.Sc. degree have a mean annual starting salary of $28,300. Sixty-six Quebec graduates with a civil engineering degree are randomly selected. Their starting salaries have a mean of $29,100. If the standard deviation is $1670, use a 0. level of significance to test the claim that Quebec graduates with a civil engineering degree have a mean starting salary that is greater than the mean for graduates with a B.A. or B.Sc. degree from Quebec.

Solution:

Given information in the question: μ=28, n= 𝑥=29, S= Α=0.

Step one : H 0 : μ=28, H 1 : μ>28,

Step two : parametric one group of samples  σ unknown but s is known

Therefore, we use t test with the formula 𝑡 = 𝑥−μ 𝑠 √𝑛

Calculate the test statistics t value: 𝑡 = 𝑥−μ 𝑠 √𝑛

Step three : Identify the critical value or P-value. We find the critical t value 2.385 by df=n-1=66-1=65, α=0.01 in t Distribution Table. Or, we find P-value=0.0001 by using the test statistics t=3.89,