Stochastic Processes Homework: Markov Processes and Transitions, Assignments of Stochastic Processes

Utah state university ece 6010 homework #11 on stochastic processes, focusing on markov processes and transitions. It includes problems related to sample means, an urn model, bernoulli processes, autoregressive processes, and markov chains in various contexts.

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Utah State University
ECE 6010
Stochastic Processes
Homework #11
Due Friday Dec 10, 2004
These problems come from the Leon-Garcia text.
1. Let Mndenote the sequence of sample means from an i.i.d. random process Xn:
Mn=X1+x2+···+Xn
n
(a) Is Mna Markov process?
(b) If so, find the state transition p.m.f. fMn(x|Mn1=y)
2. An urn initially contains five black balls and five white balls. The following experiment is repeated
indefinitely. A ball is drawn from the urn; if the ball is white it is put back in the urn, otherwise it is
left out. Let Xnbe the number of black balls remaining in the urn after ndraws from the urn.
(a) Is Xna Markov process? If so, find the appropriate transition probabilities.
(b) Do the transition probabilities depend on n?
3. Let Xnbe the Bernoulli i.i.d. process and let Ynbe
Yn=Xn+Xn1.
(a) Show that Ynis not a Markov process.
(b) Now consider the vector process Zn= (Xn, Xn1). Show that Znis a Markov process.
(c) Find the state transition diagram for Zn.
4. Show that the following autoregressive process is a Markov process:
Yn=rYn1+Xn,
with Yn= 0, where Xnis an i.i.d. process.
5. Let Xnbe the Markov chain in problem 2.
(a) Find the one-step transition probability matrix Pfor Xn.
(b) Find the two-step transition probability matrix P2. Check your answer by computing p54(2) and
comparing it to the corresponding entry of P2
(c) What happens to Xnas n ? Use your answer to guess the limit of Pnas n .
6. Two players play the following game. A fair coin is flipped; if the outcome is heads, player A pays
player B $1, and if th outcome is tails, player B pays player A $1. The game is continued until one of
the players goes broke. Suppose initially that player A has $1 and player B has $2, so a total of $3 is
up for grabs. Let Xnbe the number of dollars held by player A after nrounds.
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Utah State University

ECE 6010

Stochastic Processes

Homework

Due Friday Dec 10, 2004 These problems come from the Leon-Garcia text.

  1. Let Mn denote the sequence of sample means from an i.i.d. random process Xn:

Mn = X^1 +^ x^2 + n^ · · ·^ +^ Xn (a) Is Mn a Markov process? (b) If so, find the state transition p.m.f. fMn (x|Mn− 1 = y)

  1. An urn initially contains five black balls and five white balls. The following experiment is repeated indefinitely. A ball is drawn from the urn; if the ball is white it is put back in the urn, otherwise it is left out. Let Xn be the number of black balls remaining in the urn after n draws from the urn. (a) Is Xn a Markov process? If so, find the appropriate transition probabilities. (b) Do the transition probabilities depend on n?
  2. Let Xn be the Bernoulli i.i.d. process and let Yn be

Yn = Xn + Xn− 1. (a) Show that Yn is not a Markov process. (b) Now consider the vector process Zn = (Xn, Xn− 1 ). Show that Zn is a Markov process. (c) Find the state transition diagram for Zn.

  1. Show that the following autoregressive process is a Markov process:

Yn = rYn− 1 + Xn, with Yn = 0, where Xn is an i.i.d. process.

  1. Let Xn be the Markov chain in problem 2.

(a) Find the one-step transition probability matrix P for Xn. (b) Find the two-step transition probability matrix P 2. Check your answer by computing p 54 (2) and comparing it to the corresponding entry of P 2 (c) What happens to Xn as n → ∞? Use your answer to guess the limit of P n^ as n → ∞.

  1. Two players play the following game. A fair coin is flipped; if the outcome is heads, player A pays player B $1, and if th outcome is tails, player B pays player A $1. The game is continued until one of the players goes broke. Suppose initially that player A has $1 and player B has $2, so a total of $3 is up for grabs. Let Xn be the number of dollars held by player A after n rounds.

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(a) Show that Xn is a Markov chain. (b) Draw the state transition diagram for Xn and give the one-step transition probability matrix P. (c) Use the state transition diagram to help you show that for n even, pii(n) = (1/2)n^ i = 1, 2 p 10 (n) = (2/3)(1 − (1/4)(n/2)) = p 23 (n) (d) Find the n-step transition probability matrix for n even using part c. (e) Find the limit of P n^ as n → ∞. (f) Find the probability that player A eventually wins.

  1. A machine consists of two parts that fail and are repaired independently. A working part fails during any given day with probability a. A part that is not working is repaired by the next day with probability b. Let Xn be the number of working parts in day n. (a) Show that Xn is a three-state Markov chain and give its one-step transition probability matrix P. (b) Show that the steady-state pmf π is binomial with parameter p = b/(a + b) (c) What do you expect is the steady-state pmf for a machine that consists of n parts?