Homework 4 Solutions - Engineering Statics | STAT 305, Assignments of Statics

Material Type: Assignment; Class: ENGINEERING STAT; Subject: STATISTICS; University: Iowa State University; Term: Fall 2007;

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STAT 305B Fall 2007
Homework 4–Solutions
Problem 1:
(a) Let {N1, N2}be the nuts selected, a=1
2in. bolt and b=9
16 in. bolt, then the sample
space contains all the possible outcomes which are A1={a, a},A2={a, b}and
A3={b, b}. I assume here that the order of N1and N2does not matter. See part (b)
for the probability associated with each outcome.
(b) Let X=
1 if {N1, N2}=A1
2 if {N1, N2}=A2
3 if {N1, N2}=A3
, then by the condition given, the random variable X
is defined by x1 2 3
f(x) 0.09 0.42 0.49 .
(c) The sample space contains all the possible pairs of the nut and bolt . P(A)=P({1
2in.
pair or 9
16 pair})=0.3×0.4 + 0.7×0.6 = 0.54.
(d) If nuts of the same size are not distinguishable, then the total number of distinct
samples are only 11, i.e. from no 1
2in. nut to 10 1
2in. nuts. If the nuts of the same size
are distinguishable, then the total number of distinct samples are
30
070
10+30
170
9+···+30
1070
0=100
10 .
(e) Considering that the order of the selected iterms does not matter, P(B) = (30
10)
(100
10 ).In this
problem, if considering the order of the selcted items does matter, the following answer
is also valid, P(B) = 30×29×···×21
100×99×···×91 .
Problem 2:
(a) k= 0.7, as k+ 0.1 + 0.2 = 1 by Axioms. The arguments are the sample space
S={1,2,3}, so P(S) = P({X= 1 or X= 2 or X= 3}) = 1. Since {X= 1},
{X= 2}and {X= 3}are mutually exclusive, P({X= 1 or X= 2 or X= 3}) =
P({X= 1}) + P({X= 2}) + P({X= 3}).
(b) P(C) = P(X= 1 or X= 2) = 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.3.
(c) P(D) = 1.
(d) P(E) = P(T > 0) = P(X > 2.5) = P(X= 3) = 0.7.
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STAT 305B Fall 2007

Homework 4–Solutions

  • Problem 1:

(a) Let {N 1 , N 2 } be the nuts selected, a = 12 in. bolt and b = 169 in. bolt, then the sample space contains all the possible outcomes which are A 1 = {a, a}, A 2 = {a, b} and A 3 = {b, b}. I assume here that the order of N 1 and N 2 does not matter. See part (b) for the probability associated with each outcome.

(b) Let X =

1 if {N 1 , N 2 } = A 1 2 if {N 1 , N 2 } = A 2 3 if {N 1 , N 2 } = A 3

, then by the condition given, the random variable X

is defined by

x 1 2 3 f (x) 0.09 0.42 0.

(c) The sample space contains all the possible pairs of the nut and bolt. P (A)=P ({^12 in. pair or 169 pair})=0. 3 × 0 .4 + 0. 7 × 0 .6 = 0.54. (d) If nuts of the same size are not distinguishable, then the total number of distinct samples are only 11, i.e. from no 12 in. nut to 10 12 in. nuts. If the nuts of the same size are distinguishable, then the total number of distinct samples are ( 30 0

(e) Considering that the order of the selected iterms does not matter, P (B) = (

(^10010 ).^ In this problem, if considering the order of the selcted items does matter, the following answer is also valid, P (B) = 10030 ××^2999 ×···××···×^2191.

  • Problem 2:

(a) k = 0.7, as k + 0.1 + 0.2 = 1 by Axioms. The arguments are the sample space S = { 1 , 2 , 3 }, so P (S) = P ({X = 1 or X = 2 or X = 3}) = 1. Since {X = 1}, {X = 2} and {X = 3} are mutually exclusive, P ({X = 1 or X = 2 or X = 3}) = P ({X = 1}) + P ({X = 2}) + P ({X = 3}). (b) P (C) = P (X = 1 or X = 2) = 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.3. (c) P (D) = 1. (d) P (E) = P (T > 0) = P (X > 2 .5) = P (X = 3) = 0.7.

STAT 305B, Fall 2007 Homework 4-Solutions

  • Problem 3:

(a) For choosing 4 meters, the total number of possibilities is

4

, the total number of outcomes with exactly only one miscalibrated meter is

1

3

, therefore the probability that among the first 4 meters, exactly one are miscalibrated is given by (

(^104 ) =^

1

(b) ∗ Solution 1: Consider that the order of the chosen meters matters. Then use the permutation way. The total number of permutations is given by 10× 9 ×· · ·×6, the total number of permutations satisfies (b) is 4 × (3 × 7 × 6 × 5) × 2. Therefore, the probability of the fifth choice being the second miscalibrated one is 4 ×(3 10 ××^79 ××···×^6 ×5) 6 × 2 = 1

∗ Solution 2: Let event A={Exactly one miscalibrated meter in the first 4 choice}, B ={The 5th^ choice is miscalibrated}. Then P (B|A) = 2/6 (Upon A happens, 2 out of 6 of the remaining meters are miscalibrated), and therefore P (A and B) = P (B|A)P (A) = 1/6.

  • Problem 4:

(a) The probability is 12 × 12 × 12. (b) The probability is 10 × 1093 × 8. (c) The total number of ways choosing 3 different number out of 10 is

3

, among which two of the number sequences are either ascending or descending. So the probability is given by 2 ×(