
Political Science 3, Spring 2003
Homework Assignment #3: Statistical Significance Tests
Due at the beginning of class on Thursday, April 3
1. In January, Gallup surveyed a random sample of 1000 individuals from the population of
American adults. The survey asked individuals whether they think of themselves as Democrats,
Republicans, or Independents. It also asked individuals what they believed to be the most
important problem facing the country. A researcher hopes to test the hypothesis that partisanship
leads individuals to identify different problems as important. The results were as follows:
Partisanship
Democrat Independent Republican Total
Most Important
Problem:
The Economy 190 150 120 460
Iraq 110 150 140 400
North Korea 50 30 60 140
Totals 350 330 320 1000
a. Perform a chi-square test to assess whether the relationship between partisanship and the most
important problem identified by respondents is statistically significant. Specify what the null
hypothesis is and whether you can reject that hypothesis with 95% confidence. Show your
work. Can we conclude from these results that, among the population of American adults,
partisanship is related to perceptions of the most important problem?
b. Construct a 99.7% confidence interval for the proportion of American adults who claim that
the economy is the most important problem facing the country. Show your work and interpret
the results.
c. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of American adults who are
Democrats. Show your work and interpret the results.
2. In a follow-up study to the Green and Gerken analysis of self-interest and support for smoking
restrictions, Professor Z surveyed 1300 Californians, asking them what they believe is the
appropriate level of taxes on cigarette purchases. The mean level of cigarette taxes supported by
the 400 smokers in the sample was 70 cents a pack, with a standard deviation of 10 cents. The
mean level of cigarette taxes supported by the 900 non-smokers in the sample was 90 cents a
pack, with a standard deviation of 15 cents.
a. Construct a 99.7% confidence interval for the mean level of cigarette taxes supported by
California smokers. Show your work and interpret the results.