Inferential Statistics - Basic Statistics for Behavioral Sciences - Lecture Notes, Study notes of Statistics for Psychologists

Inferential Statistics, Point Estimation, Unbiased Statistic, Interval Estimation, Hypothesis Testing, Steps in Hypothesis Testing, Decision Rule about the Probability are some points from this helpful lecture notes.

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Ch. 3. Inferential Statistics
I. Point Estimation: Using an unbiased statistic as the
estimation of a parameter.
II. Interval Estimation
A.
X
ยฑ cv(SE)
III. Hypothesis Testing
A. Definition: an inferential procedure to evaluate a
hypothesis by computing the probability associated
with a statistic through the sampling distribution of
the statistic.
B. Steps in Hypothesis Testing
1. Define two mutually exclusive hypotheses
a) Null Hypothesis (Ho): The hypothesis we do
not want to believe, which we want to
reject.
b) Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The hypothesis
we want to believe.
2. Define the decision rule about the probability of
the statistic (Called ฮฑ = .05 or .01) and obtain
the critical value of the ฮฑ (tcrit).
3. Compute the test statistic (tobs) from the sample
statistic
4. Make a decision by comparing tobs to tcrit.
If tobs
โ‰ฅ
tcrit, then reject Ho.
*Underlying logic: The farther we go away from the
mean, the larger the t-value, and the smaller the
probability cut off by the t-value.
C. Example
1. One-Sample z-test
2. One-Sample t-test
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Ch. 3. Inferential Statistics I. Point Estimation: Using an unbiased statistic as the estimation of a parameter.

II. Interval Estimation

A. X ยฑ cv(SE)

III. Hypothesis Testing A. Definition: an inferential procedure to evaluate a hypothesis by computing the probability associated with a statistic through the sampling distribution of the statistic. B. Steps in Hypothesis Testing

  1. Define two mutually exclusive hypotheses a) Null Hypothesis (Ho): The hypothesis we do not want to believe, which we want to reject. b) Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The hypothesis we want to believe.
  2. Define the decision rule about the probability of the statistic (Called ฮฑ = .05 or .01) and obtain the critical value of the ฮฑ (tcrit).
  3. Compute the test statistic (tobs) from the sample statistic
  4. Make a decision by comparing tobs to tcrit. If tobs โ‰ฅ tcrit, then reject Ho.

*Underlying logic: The farther we go away from the mean, the larger the t-value, and the smaller the probability cut off by the t-value.

C. Example

  1. One-Sample z-test
  2. One-Sample t-test

VI. Type I and Type II Errors A. We never know if we draw a correct decision, but we could compute the probability associated with the correctness of our decision. B. There are two possible "True State of the World"; Ho is true or H1 is true C. There are two possible Decisions: Reject Ho or Fail to Reject Ho. D. 2 x 2 Table

True World Ho true H1 true โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ฌโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ” REJECT โ”‚ Mistake โ”‚ Correct Decision โ”‚ Ho โ”‚ Type I error โ”‚ p ( ) = 1 - ฮฒ โ”‚ โ”‚ p ( ) = ฮฑ โ”‚ = power โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ DECISION โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ FAIL TO โ”‚ Correct Decision โ”‚ Mistake โ”‚ REJECT โ”‚ p ( ) = 1 - ฮฑ โ”‚ Type II error โ”‚ Ho โ”‚ โ”‚ p ( ) = ฮฒ โ”‚ โ””โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ดโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”˜

  1. Type I error occurs if we reject Ho when Ho is true.
  2. Type II error occurs if we fail to reject when H is true.
  3. 1 - ฮฒ is called power: the probability of rejecting Ho when H1 is true.

E. Geometric Portrayal