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Inferential Statistics, Point Estimation, Unbiased Statistic, Interval Estimation, Hypothesis Testing, Steps in Hypothesis Testing, Decision Rule about the Probability are some points from this helpful lecture notes.
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Ch. 3. Inferential Statistics I. Point Estimation: Using an unbiased statistic as the estimation of a parameter.
II. Interval Estimation
A. X ยฑ cv(SE)
III. Hypothesis Testing A. Definition: an inferential procedure to evaluate a hypothesis by computing the probability associated with a statistic through the sampling distribution of the statistic. B. Steps in Hypothesis Testing
*Underlying logic: The farther we go away from the mean, the larger the t-value, and the smaller the probability cut off by the t-value.
C. Example
VI. Type I and Type II Errors A. We never know if we draw a correct decision, but we could compute the probability associated with the correctness of our decision. B. There are two possible "True State of the World"; Ho is true or H1 is true C. There are two possible Decisions: Reject Ho or Fail to Reject Ho. D. 2 x 2 Table
True World Ho true H1 true โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโฌโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ REJECT โ Mistake โ Correct Decision โ Ho โ Type I error โ p ( ) = 1 - ฮฒ โ โ p ( ) = ฮฑ โ = power โ โ โ โ DECISION โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโผโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโค โ โ โ FAIL TO โ Correct Decision โ Mistake โ REJECT โ p ( ) = 1 - ฮฑ โ Type II error โ Ho โ โ p ( ) = ฮฒ โ โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโดโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
E. Geometric Portrayal