Math 431 Spring 2008 - Probability Theory Solutions, Assignments of Probability and Statistics

Solutions to selected problems from chapters 6 and 7 of a university-level probability theory course, math 431, taught in spring 2008. The solutions cover topics such as joint distribution functions, transformations of random variables, and expectations.

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Math 431 Spring 2008
Solutions 12
Problems from Chapter 6:
51. Although one could use the formula for the joint density of functions of random
variables, it is actually easier to compute this directly. We calculate the joint dis-
tribution function first:
FR,Θ(r, θ) = P(Rr, Θθ) = P(pX2+Y2r, tan1(Y/X )θ)
{Rr, Θθ}describes the points in polar coordinate for which the radius is
at most rand the angle is in [π/2, θ][π/2, π +θ]. Since we have a uniform
distribution on the unit disk, the probability (which is the are divided by π) is
FR,Θ(r, θ) = r2(π/2 + θ)1
π
Differentiating this wrt rand θgives the joint density:
f(r, θ) = 2r
π
Note: if instead of tan1Y/X we use the angle of (X, Y ) (i.e. a number in [0,2π])
then we get r/π instead.
54. a) We use the formula covered in class.
g1(x, y) = xy, g2(x, y ) = x/y
h1(u, v) = uv, h2(u, v ) = pu/v
(we can take the positive square roots as X, Y 1. Also
xg1=y, yg1=x, xg2= 1/y, yg2=x/y2
and
J(x, y) =
y x
1/y x/y2
=2x/y
Thus
fU,V (u, v) = f(x, y)|J(x, y )|1=1
x2y2
y
2x=1
2u2v
Here u, v must satisfy uv 1, u/v 1 and u, v > 0.
Problems from Chapter 7:
5.
E(|x|+|y|) = E|x|+E|y|= 2E|x|= 2 Z1.5
1.5
1
3|x|dx = 3/2
6. The expectation of the sum is the sum of the expectations 10 ×7/2 = 35.
pf2

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Math 431 – Spring 2008

Solutions 12

  • Problems from Chapter 6:
    1. Although one could use the formula for the joint density of functions of random variables, it is actually easier to compute this directly. We calculate the joint dis- tribution function first:

FR,Θ(r, θ) = P(R ≤ r, Θ ≤ θ) = P(

X^2 + Y 2 ≤ r, tan−^1 (Y /X) ≤ θ)

{R ≤ r, Θ ≤ θ} describes the points in polar coordinate for which the radius is at most r and the angle is in [−π/ 2 , θ] ∪ [π/ 2 , π + θ]. Since we have a uniform distribution on the unit disk, the probability (which is the are divided by π) is

FR,Θ(r, θ) = r^2 (π/2 + θ)

π Differentiating this wrt r and θ gives the joint density:

f (r, θ) =

2 r π

Note: if instead of tan−^1 Y /X we use the angle of (X, Y ) (i.e. a number in [0, 2 π]) then we get r/π instead.

  1. a) We use the formula covered in class.

g 1 (x, y) = xy, g 2 (x, y) = x/y h 1 (u, v) =

uv, h 2 (u, v) =

u/v

(we can take the positive square roots as X, Y ≥ 1. Also

∂xg 1 = y, ∂yg 1 = x, ∂xg 2 = 1/y, ∂yg 2 = −x/y^2

and J(x, y) =

y x 1 /y −x/y^2

∣ =^ −^2 x/y

Thus fU,V (u, v) = f (x, y)|J(x, y)|−^1 =

x^2 y^2

y 2 x

2 u^2 v Here u, v must satisfy uv ≥ 1 , u/v ≥ 1 and u, v > 0.

  • Problems from Chapter 7:

E(|x| + |y|) = E|x| + E|y| = 2E|x| = 2

− 1. 5

|x|dx = 3/ 2

  1. The expectation of the sum is the sum of the expectations 10 × 7 /2 = 35.
  1. b) Let Ij be the indicator of the event that the jth^ object is not chosen by either A or B. Then we need the expectation of X = I 1 + I 2 +... I 10. But

EIj = P(j is not chosen by either A or B) =

[ ( 9

3

3

] 2

so EX = 10 × .49 = 4. 9

  1. a) X = I 1 + I 2 +... In where Ij is the indicator that the jth^ urn is empty.

EIj = P(all the balls go to the other urns) = (n − 1)n/nn

which give EX = nEI 1 = (n − 1)n/nn−^1.

  1. b) X = I 1 + · · · + In where Ij is the indicator that the jth^ man has a women next to him.

EIj = P( the jth^ man has a women next to him) = 1 − P( the jth^ man doesn’t have a women next to him)

= 1 −

(n − 1)(n − 2)((2n − 3)!) (2n − 1)!

n − 2 2(2n − 1)

3 n 4 n − 2

which gives EX = 3 n

2 4 n− 2. Note: to compute the probability we note that the size of the sample space is (2n − 1)! (it is enough to order the 2n − 1 other persons) and the size of the event is (n − 1)(n − 2)((2n − 3)!) (choose a man to the left, a man to the right neighbor and order the other 2n − 3 persons).

  • Theoretical Exercise 1 from Chapter 7:

E(x−a)^2 = E(X−EX+EX−a)^2 = E(X−EX)^2 +E(EX−a)^2 +E [(X − EX)(EX − a)]

The first term is V ar[X], the second term is a just the number (EX − a)^2 and the third term is 0 because

E [(X − EX)(EX − a)] = (EX − a)E[X − EX] = (EX − a)0 = 0.

Thus E(x − a)^2 = V ar[X] + (EX − a)^2 ≥ V arX = E(X − EX)^2

which shows that the minimum is achieved at a = EX. Alternate solution: E(X − a)^2 = a^2 − (2EX)a + EX^2

This is a quadratic function in a which we can minimize by finding the critical values. The derivative is 2a − 2 EX so only critical value is a = EX which is a global minimum (since the second derivative is 2 which is positive.