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Macroeconomic
Problems,
Microeconomic
Solutions
Peter J. Boettke
Econ 881/Spring 2005
February 28
Main Points to Stress
Macroeconomic problems are coordination problems
Production plans must mesh with consumption demands
Capital and Labor
Incentives must be aligned and capabilities must be
exploited
Incentive problems are knowledge problems and knowledge
problems are incentive problems
Changing circumstances result in disturbances, but
the crucial question is one of adjustment
Feedback and learning through time
What is the solution to these problems?
Classical
Market discipline
Keynesian
Government correctives
Fiscal policy
Mix of fiscal and monetary policy
After Keynes
Market equilibrium
Fiscal Policy Versus Monetary Policy as a Corrective Keynesian World View Monetarist World View
LM
IS
IS
LM
Y Y
r r Liquidity trap makes monetary policy ineffective Crowding out makes fiscal policy ineffective
What is Wrong With this
Picture?
Unconnected to the Choices of Individuals
Labor Market
Money Illusion
Capital Market
Fiscal Illusion
Autonomous Investment
Capital Goods Market
Time and the Process of Production
Complementarity and Substitutability in the chain of
production
Labor Market Response
Workers do not persistently suffer from money illusion N
W/P
W/P 0
W/P 1
N 0 N 1
Lucas Critique of Keynesian
System
Adaptive Expectations → Rational Expectations
Bayesian Learning
Expectations on underlying distribution
Methodological Rule --- economist cannot assume a level
of knowledge greater than the participants in the economy
Equilibrium Theory of the Business Cycle
Monetary Neutrality and Market clearing
Noise and disturbances to the system (signal extraction)
Invariance proposition
Upshot of Lucas Critique
Short Run and Long Run Phillips Curve are the same
Microfoundations of Macroeconomics provides coherence to the discipline
General Competitive Equilibrium
Optimizing behavior
Continuous Market Clearing
The Classic Austrian Theory of the Cycle r Q
D
So S 1 r Q S/C Higher Order Goods Lower Order Goods
Main Tenets of the ABTC
Non-neutrality of Money
Injection effects through Relative price adjustments
Capital Structure
Heterogeneous and multi-specific goods
Capital maintenance and entrepreneurial decision making
Intertemporal Coordination and Monetary
mechanism
Interest rates as signals between present and future
Complimentarity of Capital and Labor
Employment of scarce resources