Market Failures and Rational vs. Behavioral Decision Making, Essays (university) of Economic Analysis

Various market failures and the impact of rational vs. Behavioral decision making. Topics include sunk costs, loan officers, and framing effects. Insights into how people make decisions based on costs, benefits, and personal biases.

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2017/2018

Uploaded on 02/07/2018

Mahdiazhari-Austian
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Mahdiazhari Austian
11206004
Assignment 1 Market Failures
1. Most subjects would answer: C) Mr. Fry more likely to see the movie. They would think that
Mr. Munn would not want to pay to see the movie because he could have lost only extra $2 if he
bought the three-pack. So, spending $5 to see the movie while he could have only spent $2 extra
to see it seemed wasteful. Most participants would believe that Mr. Munn would be avoiding
waste by not paying the extra $5.
I believe that the rational answer is A) Equally likely. Firstly, we know that both Mr. Fry and Mr.
Munn are somewhat interested in seeing this movie. Secondly, the cost of them seeing the extra
movie is $5. Therefore, the costs and benefits are the same for these two gentlemen. Both Mr.
Munn and Mr. Fry both lose the same amount of money and gain the same amount of satisfaction
(because they are somewhat interested in the movie).
Most participants fall into the sunk-cost fallacy, they still take into account the fact that Mr.
Munn did not take the three-pack and have to pay extra $3 to watch the movie ($12 for three
movies in three-pack vs $15 for three movies without pack) compared to if he had gotten the
three-pack. While the situation being evaluated is that both Mr. Munn and Mr. Fry are interested
in seeing the movie and both did not have the three-pack.
2. The original loan officers are trapped in a sunk-cost fallacy. They know about the money
invested into the loan, therefore they would be committed to try and save the business at all costs
(continue a behavior as a result of previously invested resources). The consultants’
recommendation worked because assigning new officers would remove this fallacy. The new
officers assigned do not have a personal history of their involvement in the loan, therefore they
don’t have any attachments to the loan. As a result, they can make better decisions regarding the
loan, such as stopping the loan if it is a bad decision.
3. According to the principles of Rational Choice Theory, people would prefer to be Ms. B. If we
weigh the benefits by looking at the amount of money won, Ms. B won $150, while Ms. A only
won $100. Therefore, the most rational choice would be to choose to be Ms. B.
On the other hand, according to Behavioral Decision Studies, people would prefer to be Ms. A.
Because Ms. As story suggests that she is the special winner in the movie theater. Because there
are no one in Ms. As story who won more than her. While Ms. B won only $150, in comparison
to the woman in front of her, who won a much larger amount of $10,000.
This is an example of the framing effect. Ms. Bs story is presented in such a way that she
seemed to be having less of a win compared to Ms. A. Ms. Bs story suggests that she is only the
second winner. While if we compare it to Ms. A, Ms. B gained $50 more.
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Mahdiazhari Austian 11206004 Assignment 1 – Market Failures

  1. Most subjects would answer: C) Mr. Fry more likely to see the movie. They would think that Mr. Munn would not want to pay to see the movie because he could have lost only extra $2 if he bought the three-pack. So, spending $5 to see the movie while he could have only spent $2 extra to see it seemed wasteful. Most participants would believe that Mr. Munn would be avoiding waste by not paying the extra $5. I believe that the rational answer is A) Equally likely. Firstly, we know that both Mr. Fry and Mr. Munn are somewhat interested in seeing this movie. Secondly, the cost of them seeing the extra movie is $5. Therefore, the costs and benefits are the same for these two gentlemen. Both Mr. Munn and Mr. Fry both lose the same amount of money and gain the same amount of satisfaction (because they are somewhat interested in the movie). Most participants fall into the sunk-cost fallacy, they still take into account the fact that Mr. Munn did not take the three-pack and have to pay extra $3 to watch the movie ($12 for three movies in three-pack vs $15 for three movies without pack) compared to if he had gotten the three-pack. While the situation being evaluated is that both Mr. Munn and Mr. Fry are interested in seeing the movie and both did not have the three-pack.
  2. The original loan officers are trapped in a sunk-cost fallacy. They know about the money invested into the loan, therefore they would be committed to try and save the business at all costs (continue a behavior as a result of previously invested resources). The consultants’ recommendation worked because assigning new officers would remove this fallacy. The new officers assigned do not have a personal history of their involvement in the loan, therefore they don’t have any attachments to the loan. As a result, they can make better decisions regarding the loan, such as stopping the loan if it is a bad decision.
  3. According to the principles of Rational Choice Theory, people would prefer to be Ms. B. If we weigh the benefits by looking at the amount of money won, Ms. B won $150, while Ms. A only won $100. Therefore, the most rational choice would be to choose to be Ms. B. On the other hand, according to Behavioral Decision Studies, people would prefer to be Ms. A. Because Ms. A’s story suggests that she is the special winner in the movie theater. Because there are no one in Ms. A’s story who won more than her. While Ms. B won only $150, in comparison to the woman in front of her, who won a much larger amount of $10, 000. This is an example of the framing effect. Ms. B’s story is presented in such a way that she seemed to be having less of a win compared to Ms. A. Ms. B’s story suggests that she is only the second winner. While if we compare it to Ms. A, Ms. B gained $50 more.

a. According to Rational Choice Theory, both choices are identical. Penalty Option 1 is a loss of $100. Penalty Option 2 is a loss of: 1/2$0 + ½$ 200 = $100. Both choices have the same expected loss of $100. On the other hand, Prospect Theory says that giving something up is more painful than the pleasure we derive from receiving it. The question is framed in such a way that if we choose the second option, we have a chance of keeping all the money (framing effect). Most people do not want to give something up according to Prospect Theory. Therefore, more people would choose penalty option 2 instead of penalty option 1 from a Behavioral Decision Studies perspective. b. According to Rational Choice Theory, both choices are identical. Option 1 gain: $ Option 2 gain: ½$200 + ½0 = $ 100 Both choices have the same expected gain of $100. In comparison to question a), this question is framed differently. It is framed as a gain question. Prospect Theory says that a greater number of people would opt for the risk averse option in this question. Therefore, from a Behavioral Decision Studies perspective, a greater number of people would choose Option 1.