Simultaneous Equations and Planetary Orbit Determination, Papers of Spanish Language

The solution of simultaneous equations using matrix analysis and gauss's method of least squares. It also covers the application of this method to the determination of planetary orbits, specifically the discovery and orbit calculation of ceres. Explanations of kepler's laws of planetary motion and the steps involved in gauss's approach.

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Simultaneous equations
Simultaneous equations (Meyer, p. 1)
“Three sheafs of a good crop, two sheafs of a mediocre crop, and one sheaf of a bad crop are
sold for 39 dou. Two sheafs of good, three mediocre, and one bad are sold for 34 dou; and one
good, two mediocre, and three bad are sold for 26 dou. What is the price received for each
sheaf of a good crop, each sheaf of a mediocre crop, and each sheaf of a bad crop?”
Chapter VIII, Chiu-chang Suan-shu (Nine chapters on Arithmetic). circa 200 B.C.
Solution:
x1: good crop; x2: mediocre crop; x3: bad crop
Simultaneous equations Matrix form
3x1+ 2x2+x3= 39,
2x1+ 3x2+x3= 34,
x1+ 2x2+ 3x3= 26.
3 2 1
2 3 1
1 2 3
x1
x2
x3
=
39
34
26
.
Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.2
Introduction
Matrix Analysis and Computation
ECE 210a, CMPSC 211a, ME 210a, Math 206a, ChE 211a
Roy Smith
5117 Harold Frank Hall
(805) 893–2967
Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.1
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Simultaneous equations Simultaneous equations (Meyer, p. 1)

“Three sheafs of a good crop, two sheafs of a mediocre crop, and one sheaf of a bad crop are sold for 39 dou. Two sheafs of good, three mediocre, and one bad are sold for 34 dou; and one good, two mediocre, and three bad are sold for 26 dou. What is the price received for each sheaf of a good crop, each sheaf of a mediocre crop, and each sheaf of a bad crop?”

Chapter VIII, Chiu-chang Suan-shu (Nine chapters on Arithmetic). circa 200 B.C.

Solution:

x 1 : good crop; x 2 : mediocre crop; x 3 : bad crop

Simultaneous equations Matrix form

3 x 1 + 2x 2 + x 3 = 39, 2 x 1 + 3x 2 + x 3 = 34, x 1 + 2x 2 + 3x 3 = 26.

x (^1) x (^2) x (^3)

Introduction

Matrix Analysis and Computation

ECE 210a, CMPSC 211a, ME 210a, Math 206a, ChE 211a

Roy Smith

5117 Harold Frank Hall (805) 893– [email protected]

Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.

Diagonal factorizations Interpretation:

The solution equations are: Rˆ x = ˆb  

 (^) x =

 (^) A x =

 (^) b,

T 2 T 1 A x = T 2 T 1 b.

So Rˆ = T 2 T 1 A, or equivalently, A = T 1 − 1 T 2 − 1 Rˆ = Qˆ R.ˆ

In general we can always find a unitary Q and upper triangular R such that, A = QR, (Q ∗^ Q = QQ ∗^ = I) then Rx = Q ∗^ b is a triangular system.

Diagonal factorizations Solution:

Simultaneous equations Matrix form

3 x 1 + 2x 2 + x 3 = 39, 2 x 1 + 3x 2 + x 3 = 34, x 1 + 2x 2 + 3x 3 = 26

x (^1) x (^2) x (^3)

3 x 1 + 2x 2 + x 3 = 39 9 x 2 + x 3 = 44 4 x 2 + 8x 3 = 39

(3r 2 − 2 r 1 ) (3r 3 − r 1 )

x (^1) x (^2) x (^3)

3 x 1 + 2x 2 + x 3 = 39 5 x 2 + x 3 = 44 68 x 3 = 175 (5r 3 − 4 r 2 )

x (^1) x (^2) x (^3)

x (^1) x (^2) x (^3)

So x 1 = 9 14 , x 2 = 4 14 and x 3 = 2 34.

Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.

Planetary orbit determination Steps in Gauss’s approach

− Select three observations: 1st January, 21st January and 11th February. Each observation is two angles (Ceres with respect to the background stars) and a time. − Calculate a nominal orbit matching the observations. − Taylor series approximations to the nonlinear differential equations. − Iterative refinement. − Adjust linearized versions of the orbit to minimize the sum of squares of all 22 observations.

Problem formulation: H is the nonlinear orbital prediction model.

ymodel =

RA of obs. # dec. of obs. #1. .. RA. of obs. # dec. of obs. #

^ =^ H(x.t)^ where^ x^ = orbital elements.

Planetary orbit determination Gauss’s approach

The orbit of a planet is defined by five variables (orbital elements)

− Two angles that orient the plane of the orbit with respect to the ecliptic plane. − The size and eccentricity of the orbit. Equivalently the length of the major and minor semi-axes. − The tilt of the main axis of the orbit with respect to that of Earth’s orbit.

Ecliptic plane

Sun

Ceres

P Earth

P

E

C

− Knowing the location on the orbit at a particular time completely specifies the location in space.

Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.

Planetary orbit determination Linearize the problem:

The nominal orbit is specified by x 0. Close to this,

H(x) ≈ H(x 0 ) + H (^) J (x − x 0 ), where H (^) J = ∂y ∂modelx (Jacobian).

Define δx = x − x 0 and δy = yobs − H(x 0 ). Then

J (^) linear (δx) := (δy^ −^ H^ J^ δx)^

T (^) R − (^1) (δy − H (^) J δx) 2 ≈^ J(x^0 +^ δx). The linearized cost function is close to the true cost function. And it’s quadratic.

The gradient of J (^) linear (δx) is, ∂J (^) linear (δx) δx =^ −H^ JT R^ −^1 (δy^ −^ H^ J^ δx).

Setting this to zero is equivalent to solving: H (^) JT R −^1 H (^) J δx = H TJ R −^1 δy Note the form: Ax = b.

It the nonlinear case we would apply this iteratively.

Planetary orbit determination Problem formulation: yobs are the actual (noisy) observations.

= yobs − H(x, t) # is the residual.

The cost function is J(x) = #T^ R 2 − 1 #. R is a weighting matrix.

Objective:

x (^) optimal = min x J(x).

Nominal orbit

1 Jan.

21 Jan.

11 Feb.

Nominal orbit

LS fit candidate orbits

ε j

Nominal orbit determination Least squares orbit fit 6 equations in 6 unknown parameters 44 equations in 6 unknown parameters

Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.

Vibrational spectroscopy Diagonalizing transform

Find a unitary U (U T^ U = U U T^ = I) and diagonal Λ =

λ 1 0

... 0 λN

 (^) such that,

K = U ΛU T^ , so d^

2 dt^2

q (^1) ... q (^) N

 = U ΛU T

q (^1) ... q (^) N

Define new coordinates (normal coordinates),  

Q 1

Q N

 = U T

q (^1) ... q (^) N

Then,

d 2 dt^2

Q. 1

Q N

 = U T^ U ΛU T

q. (^1) .. q (^) N

Q. 1

Q N

 (^). N independent oscillators.

Vibrational spectroscopy Newton’s second law:

mi^ d^

(^2) x (^) i dt^2 =^ −^

j

k (^) ij x (^) j.

Key feature: k (^) ij = k (^) ji.

Introduce mass-weighted coordinates: q (^) i = √mi x (^) i. d 2 q (^) i dt^2 =^ −^

j

√^ k^ ij mi mj^ q^ j^ =^

j

K (^) ij q (^) j.

Matrix form:

d 2 dt^2

q. (^1) .. q (^) N

K. 11 · · · K 1 N

K N 1 · · · K N N

q. (^1) .. q (^) N

 = K

q. (^1) .. q (^) N

This is a multi-modal oscillator with modal frequency given by the square root of the eigenvalues of K.

The “shapes” of the modes are given by the eigenvectors.

Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.

Vibrational spectroscopy Normal modes:

The eigenvalues of K =

k/mO −k/√mO mC 0 −k/√mO mC 2 k/mC −k/√mO mC 0 −k/√mO mC k/mO

 (^) are:

Eigenvalues Eigenvectors Eigenvectors λi (normal coord.) (physical coord.)

0 1 /m

√mO √mc √mO

 (^1) /m

 no restoring force(translational mode)

k/mO 1 /√ 2

 (^1) /√ 2 mO

 independent of (carbon doesn’t move)^ mC

km/mO mC 1 /√ 2 m

√mC − √ 2 √mO mC

 (^1) /√ 2 m

√m C /mO −√ 2 √mO /mC mC /mO

 carbon oscillatingbetween oxygens

(m is the total mass of the molecule: m = mC + 2mO ).

Vibrational spectroscopy Carbon Dioxide Example (1 dimensional)

k m

1 2 3 x

O m C^ m^ O

O C O

x x x

V = k 2 (x 1 − x 2 ) 2 + k 2 (x 3 − x 2 ) 2

k (^) ij = ∂^

2 V

∂x (^) i x (^) j^ ,^ i, j^ = 1,^2 ,^3.

[k (^) ij ] =

k −k 0 −k 2 k −k 0 −k k

 (^) , and K =

k/mO −k/√mO mC 0 −k/√mO mC 2 k/mC −k/√mO mC 0 −k/√mO mC k/mO

Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.

Markov processes Markov process:

The probability of the pea being under a particular shell depends only on the shell it was previously under.

If p (^) i is the probability that the pea is under shell i, then, in going from shuffle k to k + 1,

p(k + 1) =

p 1 (k + 1) p 2 (k + 1) p 3 (k + 1) p 4 (k + 1)

p 1 (k) p 2 (k) p 3 (k) p 4 (k)

 =^ Ap(k).

Note that A (^) ij ≥ 0 and

∑^4

i=

A (^) ij = 1.

Question 1: Applying the above iteratively gives, p(N ) = A N^ p(0).

Question 2: The solution would be given by,

klim−→∞ A^ k but unfortunately this limit does not exist in this case.

What can be said about the long term probabilities?

Shell game (Meyer, example 7.10.8)

A “pea” is hidden under one of four “shells” which are randomly shuffled according to the probability rules:

The pea must be moved with each shuffle.

Questions

  1. If we know where the pea starts, can we say anything about the probability of where it will end up after N moves?
  2. Is there a limiting value to the probability and does it depend on the pea’s starting shell?

Roy Smith: ECE 210a: 1.