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A lecture note from a statistics course (bst 631: statistical theory i) taught by kui zhang on october 30, 2007. The lecture covers the concepts of conditional probability mass functions (pmf) and conditional expected values, as well as theorems for determining independence of random variables. The document also includes examples of calculating conditional pmfs and the moment generating function of the sum of two independent random variables.
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Lecture 18 on BST 631: Statistical Theory I – Kui Zhang, 10/30/2007 Review for the previous lecture Definitions:
conditional pmf (pdf), conditional expected values, independence
Theorems:
how determine if two random variables are independence
Examples:
calculate conditional pmf (pdf)
Chapter 4 – Multiple Random Variables
Chapter 4.2 – Conditional Distributions and Independence Theorem 4.2.12:
Let
and
be independent random variables with moment generating functions
X M
t^
and
Y M
t^
. Then the moment generating function of the random variable
is given by
Y
Z^
X
t^
t M
t
Xt
Yt
Xt
Yt
Xt
Yt
Z^
X^
Y^
t^
Ee
E e
e
Ee
Ee
t M
t
Proof:
Example 4.2.13:
Let
n
μ
σ
and
n
γ τ
and they are independent. Find the pdf of
. (This is
a very important result!!) Solution:
and
, thus
2
2
exp(
X M
t^
t^
t
μ
σ
2
2
exp(
Y M
t^
t^
t
γ
τ
2
2
2
exp((
Z M
t^
t^
t
μ
γ
σ
τ
, thus
2
2
n
μ
γ σ
τ
1
Lecture 18 on BST 631: Statistical Theory I – Kui Zhang, 10/30/2007 Theorem 4.2.14:
Let
2
n
μ
σ
and
2
n
γ
τ
be independent random variables. Then the random variable
Y has an
2
2
n
μ
γ σ
τ
distribution.
Z Technical Note:
If
f^
x y
is the joint pdf for the continuous random vector
where
X^
Y^
f^
x y
f^
x f
y
on a set
such that
A^
f^
x y dxdy
, then
and
are still called independent random
variables.
Example:
{(
, ):
0,
0}
x^
y
u v u
v
x y
e
x y
−^
−
>^
>
and
{( , ):
0,
0,
}
x^
y
u v u
v^
u^
v
f^
x y
e
x y
−^
−
>^
>^
≠
f
Theorem:
Let
be a bivariate random vector, then
g X Y
h X Y
c
E g X Y
E h X Y
c
α
β
α
β
, specifically, we have
(2) If
and
are independent, then
Var g X
h Y
c
Var g X
Var h Y
. Specifically, we have
Var X
Var X
Var Y
Chapter 4.3 – Bivariate Transformations Discrete Case: Let
be a discrete bivariate random vector with joint pmf
f^
x y
and support
x
y
f^
x y
Define
x y
and
g
x y
with
2
u v
u
g
x
g
x y
1
) and y
v
for some
x
y
. For any
2
Lecture 18 on BST 631: Statistical Theory I – Kui Zhang, 10/30/2007 Continuous Case: Consider
a continuous bivariate random vector with joint pdf
f^
x y
and define
g
x y
and
. Let
2 ( , x
y
x
y
f^
x y
and
2
u v
u
g
x y
g
x y
1
and
v
for some
x
y
Assume that
and
are 1-1 transformation from
to
. Define
x
and
y
h
u v ( , ) 2
=
be the inverse
transformations. The Jacobian,
, of the transformation is defined as the determinant of a matrix of partial
derivatives:
x
x
x
y
y
x
u
v
y
y
u
v
u
v
u
v
Therefore, the joint pdf of
and
is given by
,^
,^
1
2
U V
X Y
f^
u v
f^
h u v
h
u v
where
is the absolute value of the Jacobian.
|^
Example 4.3.3 (Distribution of the product of two independent beta variables)
:. Let
beta
α
β
and
beta
α
β γ
, then the joint pdf of (
is
1
1
1
1
,
X Y f^
x y
x
x
x
x
x
y
α
β
α^
β
γ
α
β
α
β
γ
α
β
α
β
γ
−^
−^
+^
−^
−
Consider
and
, then this an one to one transformation from
x
y
x
y
to
u v
. In addition,
u
v
v
, therefore
1
1
1
1 γ
,^
,
U V
X Y
f^
u v
f^
v u v
v
v
u v
u v
v
α
β
α^
β
α
β
α
β
γ
α
β
α
β
γ
−^
−^
+^
−^
−
4
Lecture 18 on BST 631: Statistical Theory I – Kui Zhang, 10/30/2007 and
1
,
1 1
1
1
1
1
U
U V u
u
f^
u
f^
u v dv
u
v
v
v
u
dv
u
u
u
α^
β
β^
γ
β
γ
α
β^
γ
α
β
γ
α
β
γ
α
β
γ
α
β
γ
+^
−^
−^
−^
−^
−
−^
+^
−
Example 4.3.4 (Sum and difference of two independent normal random variables):
Let
n
α
σ
and
2
n
β
σ
and they are independent. Consider
and
, then
and
Therefore,
,^
,
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
exp(
exp(
exp(
exp(
U V
X Y
f^
u v
f^
u
v
u
v
u
v
u
v
u
u
v
v
u
v
α
β
πσ
σ
α
β
α
β
α
β
πσ
σ
α
β
α
β
σ
σ
π
σ
π
σ
Theorem 4.3.5:
Let
and
be independent random variables. Let
be a function only of
g x
x
and
be a
function only of y. Then the random variables
g x
h y
and
h
are independent.
5
Lecture 18 on BST 631: Statistical Theory I – Kui Zhang, 10/30/
7
2
2
2
2
0
2
2
2
2
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
0 1
exp(
exp(
exp(
exp(
exp(
U
x
x
x
x
x
x
f^
u
dx
dx
u
u
u
u
u x
x
x
dx
u
u
u
∞
−∞
∞
2
2
2
2
0
2
2
0
exp(
exp(
U
v
u
v
u
v
f^
u
dv
u
u
u
π
π
π
∞^
∞
Example 4.3.6:
Show that the distribution of the ratio of two independent normal variables is a Cauchy random
variable. That is, if
n
n
, then
Cauchy
2
2
,^
,^
,
exp(
U V
X Y
X Y
v
u
v
f^
u v
f^
uv v
v
f^
uv
v
v
u
v
π
Similarly, you can get
f^ U
u
for
. You also need to verify the conditions such that the integration and
differentiation can be exchanged.
u
Solution 1.
Let
|^ , then |
V
1
x y
y
2
x y
y
and
0
x y
y
2
2
exp(
0
/^
0
0
0
/
U
x u
X^
y^
X^
y
x u
u
u
u
f^
x f
y dydx
f^
x f
y dydx
∞
Take the derivative respect to
, we have u
,
X Y
x
y
f^
x y
π
. Therefore,
Solution 2.
For
, we have 0
u