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Solutions to homework set #5, which covers game theory concepts such as nash equilibrium, dominant strategy, and oligopoly pricing in the context of two-firm oligopoly. Detailed explanations and calculations for various scenarios, including the effects of market size and contractual collusion on optimal pricing strategies.
Typology: Exercises
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a. Game analysis i. Nash Equilibrium A pair of actions is a Nash equilibrium when each firm does the best it can, given the other firm’s action. This game (as described in the matrix) has a unique Nash equilibrium with KL setting a price of 1400 and LAL a price of 1300. It can be seen from the matrix that with pKL=1400, a price of 1300 is indeed LAL’s best response. The analogous argument holds for KL. For any other set of prices at least one firm would be better off changing its price.
ii. Dominant Strategy A firm has a dominant strategy if its profits are maximized by one and the same price level, regardless of the other firm’s price. In this case, neither firm has such strategy available: there is no price level that LAL could choose thereby maximizing its profits, regardless of KL’s reaction and vice-versa.
iii. Maximin Strategy A firm’s maximin strategy is the price that maximizes its minimum possible profit, i.e. that maximizes its profit assuming that the other firm does precisely the worst thing from your perspective. This means that KL would choose to price its product at 1100, because this level maximizes its minimum profit (which is in this case 254). Similarly, LAL would price at 1000, thereby maximizing its minimum payoff at 124. The maximin set of strategies would therefore be 1100, 1000 and the profits 423 for KL and 310 for LAL. Their risk aversion has forced them to far from optimal pricing.
iv. Contractual Collusion If the two firms can write a contract that specifies both their prices and a transfer, then any optimal contract must specify those prices that maximize the sum of their profits (since otherwise they could improve the contract by switching to the prices that maximize joint profits and choose the transfer so as to split the gain in profit equally). The transfer will then 1
determine how that joint profit is actually split up. This will be determined by bargaining and is difficult to predict. If the two firms cannot include a transfer in their contract, then it is not necessarily the case that they will maximize joint profits. They might agree to sacrifice some profits to make the profit split more equitable. (Note that before issues of equity could always be dealt with by the transfer.) We can, however, seriously restrict the number of possible contracts in the following way. A set of prices cannot be optimal if there exists an alternative set of prices that gives both firms higher profits (i.e. in ‘econ-speak’ if there exists a set of prices that Pareto dominates). So the optimal contract must be one of the following :
p (^) LAL p (^) KL 1900 1700 1900 1800 1900 1900 1800 1900 1700 1900 1600 1900
v. Commitment
LAL would indeed like to be able to commit to a price. In particular, if it could commit to setting a price of 1500, it would be better off than under the Nash equilibrium: the best response of KL is to also set a price of 1500, which gives LAL a (gross) profit of 1028, which is higher than its profit in Nash equilibrium. (Note, however, how its profit would be still higher if KL were the one who could commit. KL would then commit to 1700, to which LAL would respond with 1500 for a LAL profit of 1542). If it could, LAL would instead prefer to commit to always match KL prices. In that case, KL’s optimal price is 1900, which gives a LAL profit of 1652).
vi. What should LAL do?
There are several options available for LAL. Probably the best solutions would be to try to collude (by sending the signal that if KL decides to sell at 1900, LAL will match the price). This could be supported by a promise to match the best price offer of any competitor. In case this solution turns out to be unsustainable – because KL cheats or LAL cannot resist the temptation to cheat itself – the best alternative is to offer the Nash equilibrium pricing, as this is the only sustainable behavior for LAL.
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And: QTA = 30 – ½ * 20 = 20 Therefore: Q = 20 + 20 = 40 P = 100 – 40 = 60 ΠAA = PQAA – TC(QAA ) = ΠTA = PQTA – TC(QTA) = 60 * 20 – 40 * 20 = 400
ii. If Texas Airlines now has the benefit of a lower marginal cost (and American Airlines knows about it) the problem changes as Texas Airlines will have a new reaction curve, while American will still calculate its optimal output using the same equation ( QAA = 30 – ½ QTA )
Texas Airlines’ problem is to set the Marginal Revenues equal to the new Marginal Costs. In numbers: MRTA = MCTA Ù 100 – 2 QTA – QAA = 25 Ù The new reaction curve is : QTA = 37.5 – ½ Q (^) AA
The new Cournot-Nash equilibrium is therefore given by: QTA = 37.5 – ½ QAA = 37.5 – ½ (30 – ½ QTA) = 37.5 – 15 + ¼ QTA .75 QTA = 22. Q (^) TA = 30 and Q (^) AA = 30 – ½ * 30 = 15
Total output will be: Q = 30 + 15 = 45 P = 100 – 45 = 55
ΠAA = PQAA – TC(QAA ) = 55 * 15 – 40 * 15 = 225 ΠTA = PQTA – TC(QTA) = 55 * 30 – 25 * 30 = 900
iii. If TA licenses the process to AA, both firms have the above reaction curve Qx = 37.5 – Qy/2. The new Cournot-Nash equilibrium is therefore given by: QTA = 37.5 – ½ QAA = 37.5 – ½ (37.5 – ½ QTA) = 37.5 – 18.75 + ¼ QTA .75 QTA = 18. Q (^) TA = 25 and Q (^) AA = 30 – ½ * 30 = 25
Total output will be: Q = 25 + 25 = 50 P = 100 – 50 = 50
ΠAA = PQAA – TC(QAA ) = (50-25)25 = 625 ΠTA = PQTA – TC(QTA) = (50-25)25 = 625
Texas Airline loses 275 in profits. That is the minimum price it is willing to accept to share its technology. American gains 400 in profits. That is the maximum price it is willing to pay. So the firms should agree on a license for a price somewhere between 275 and 400. (Note that it is not always the case 4
that firms are willing to share technology. It is easy to see that with perfect Bertrand competition, a firm would never want to share its technology, although it would be beneficial to society as a whole.)
b. i. The gross profit equations are: ΠLAL = 3.9 (pLAL - 841) (400+pKL-p (^) LAL) ΠKL = 3.9 (pKL - 883) (600+p (^) LAL-pKL )
ii. The first order conditions are: (400+pKL-pLAL) - (p (^) LAL - 841) = 0 or p (^) LAL = (400+841+p (^) KL)/ (600+p (^) LAL-pKL) - (pKL - 883) = 0 or p (^) KL = (600+883+p (^) LAL)/
Combining the two equations gives: pLAL = 1321.667 and p (^) KL = 1402.
a. Here is the payoff matrix (in millions of dollars): Steele Magna Prompt Delivery Slow Delivery Buy all 2,3 -5, Buy part 1,1 -1,
b. Dominant strategies: Magna: If Steele offers prompt delivery, Magma prefers buying all. If Steele does not offer prompt deliver, Magma prefers buying part. Thus, Magma does not have a dominant strategy Steele: If Magma orders all from Steele, then Steele prefers slow delivery. The same holds if Steele orders only part of the aluminum. Thus, Steele has a dominant strategy: to provide slow delivery. c. Given that Steele has a dominant strategy to provide slow delivery, Magna will only buy part of its aluminum from Steele. The Nash equilibrium will be (Buy Part, Slow Delivery), with a payoff of (-1,2).
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