Practice Midterm Examination - Statistical Inference | STAT 431, Exams of Statistics

Material Type: Exam; Class: STATISTICAL INFERENCE; Subject: Statistics; University: University of Pennsylvania; Term: Fall 2003;

Typology: Exams

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 03/28/2010

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Midterm Exam, Stat 431, Fall 2003
Instructions: This is a semi-closed book exam. Up to three pages of notes are allowed. Show your work and partial
credits will be given. When performing hypothesis tests, clearly state the null and alternative hypotheses and show
the critical value and/or P-value (from the table) where appropriate. Normal, and t tables will be provided.
There are total 30 points distributed as marked. Time = 80 minutes.
1 (8 pts.) In any bottling process a manufacturer will lose money if the bottles contain either more or less
than is claimed on the label. Suppose a quality manager for a catsup company is interested in testing whether the
mean number of ounces per family size bottle differs from the labeled amount of 24 ounces. The manager samples
90 bottles, measures the weight of their contents, and finds that x = 23.96 and s = .32 .
i) Does the sample evidence indicate that the catsup dispensing machine needs adjustment? State null and
alternative hypotheses and test at α = .05.
ii) Find a 99% confidence interval for the mean number of ounces of catsup being dispensed.
iii) Bottles having net weight less than 23.76 ounces are more than 1% underweight, and hence can be cited
by the FDA as being mislabeled. Using the data provided, give the best available estimate of the proportion of
catsup bottles that will fail to meet the FDA standard of weighing at least 23.76 ounces.
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Midterm Exam, Stat 431, Fall 2003

Instructions : This is a semi-closed book exam. Up to three pages of notes are allowed. Show your work and partial

credits will be given. When performing hypothesis tests, clearly state the null and alternative hypotheses and show

the critical value and/or P-value (from the table) where appropriate. Normal, and t tables will be provided.

There are total 30 points distributed as marked. Time = 80 minutes.

1 (8 pts.) In any bottling process a manufacturer will lose money if the bottles contain either more or less

than is claimed on the label. Suppose a quality manager for a catsup company is interested in testing whether the

mean number of ounces per family size bottle differs from the labeled amount of 24 ounces. The manager samples

90 bottles, measures the weight of their contents, and finds that x = 23. 96 and s =. 32.

i) Does the sample evidence indicate that the catsup dispensing machine needs adjustment? State null and

alternative hypotheses and test at α = .05.

ii) Find a 99% confidence interval for the mean number of ounces of catsup being dispensed.

iii) Bottles having net weight less than 23.76 ounces are more than 1% underweight, and hence can be cited

by the FDA as being mislabeled. Using the data provided, give the best available estimate of the proportion of

catsup bottles that will fail to meet the FDA standard of weighing at least 23.76 ounces.

2 ( 10 pts. ) Is there a difference between the average SAT scores of males and females? The CSDATA data

set summarized below gives the math scores for a group of 224 computer science majors.

SAT-MALE

Quantiles maximum

quartile median quartile

minimum

Moments Mean Std Dev Std Error Mean Upper 95% Mean Lower 95% Mean N Sum Weights

SAT-FEMALE

Quantiles maximum

quartile median quartile

minimum

Moments Mean Std Dev Std Error Mean Upper 95% Mean Lower 95% Mean N Sum Weights

For a) and b), a ssume that σ 1 = σ 2 = σ.

a) Is the data significant at α = .05level to show that the mean SAT score of males is different

from that of females? Set up appropriate hypotheses and carry out the test.

b) Is the data significant at α = .01to show that the mean SAT score of female students is at least

10 points lower than the mean score for male students? Again set up the hypotheses and carry out

the test.

c) We are also interested in the overall mean SAT scores. Find a 95% confidence interval for the

overall mean SAT scores.

1) Derive a formula first.

2) Calculate the interval.

d) Also carry out a test that the overall mean SAT score for this year is higher than 594 which was

reported for the previous year. Use α = .05. You need to proceed as following: 1) Set up the

hypotheses. 2) Give the testing statistic and explain why. 3) Carry out the test.

4 (5 pts.) Suppose that X follows a Bin(100, p) distribution. Consider the hypotheses:

H : p=.5 v.s. H : p 0 a ≠.

Answer the following questions using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution.

a) Consider the test that rejects H 0 if |X-50| > k. Find the value of k so that the type

I error of the test is..

b) Consider the test that rejects H 0 if | X-50| > 2. Calculate its type II error when p=..