Actuarial Problemsolving: Integrals and Distributions Solutions, Assignments of Mathematics

Solutions to various integrals and probability distribution problems, including evaluating integrals, calculating probabilities, and determining expected values. Topics covered include finding probabilities of x being greater than or equal to certain values, finding the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of x, and determining the expected value of a random variable y based on x.

Typology: Assignments

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 03/11/2009

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Math 370, Actuarial Problemsolving A.J. Hildebrand
Practice Problems on Integrals
Solutions
1. Evaluate the following integrals:
(a) R1
0(x3+ 2x5+ 3x10)dx
Solution: (1/4) + 2(1/6) + 3(1/11)
(b) R
0(1 + x)5dx
Solution: Change variables y= 1 + x:R
1y5dy = 1/4
(c) R
0x(1 + x)5dx
Solution: Change variables y= 1+x:R
1(y1)y5dy =R
1y4dyR
1y5dy =
(1/3) (1/4) = 1/12
(d) R
1e3xdx
Solution: (1/3)e3
(e) R
1xe3xdx
Solution: (4/9)e3(use integration by parts)
(f) R
−∞ |x|ex2/2dx
Solution: By symmetry, this is 2R
0xex2/2dx. Substituting u=x2,du = 2xdx,
this becomes R
0eu/2du = 2
2. Given that Xhas density (p.d.f.)
f(x) = (1 |x|for 1< x < 1,
0 otherwise,
evaluate:
(a) P(X1/2)
Solution: P(X1/2) = R
1/2f(x)dx =R1
1/2(1 x)dx = 1/8. (Alternatively,
determine the answer geometrically, as the area under the graph of f(x) from 1/2
to 1)
(b) P(X 1/2)
Solution: P(X 1/2) = R
1/2f(x)dx =R0
1/2(1 + x)dx +R1
0(1 x)dx = 7/8.
(Again, this can also be obtained geometrically, via area considerations.)
(c) E(X)
Solution: E(X) = R
−∞ xf(x)dx =R0
1x(1 + x)dx +R1
0x(1 x)dx = 0.
(d) E(X2)
Solution: E(X2) = R1
1x2f(x)dx =R0
1x2(1 + x)dx +R1
0x2(1 x)dx = 1/6.
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Practice Problems on Integrals

Solutions

  1. Evaluate the following integrals:

(a)

0 (x

(^3) + 2x (^5) + 3x (^10) )dx Solution: (1/4) + 2(1/6) + 3(1/11) (b)

0 (1 +^ x)

− (^5) dx Solution: Change variables y = 1 + x:

1 y

− (^5) dy = 1/ 4 (c)

0 x(1 +^ x)

− (^5) dx Solution: Change variables y = 1+x:

1 (y^ −1)y−^5 dy^ =^

1 y−^4 dy^ −

1 y−^5 dy^ = (1/3) − (1/4) = 1/ 12 (d)

1 e

− 3 xdx Solution: (1/3)e−^3 (e)

1 xe

− 3 xdx Solution: (4/9)e−^3 (use integration by parts) (f)

−∞ |x|e−x

(^2) / (^2) dx

Solution: By symmetry, this is 2

0 xe

−x^2 / (^2) dx. Substituting u = x (^2) , du = 2xdx, this becomes

0 e

−u/ (^2) du = 2

  1. Given that X has density (p.d.f.)

f (x) =

1 − |x| for − 1 < x < 1, 0 otherwise,

evaluate:

(a) P (X ≥ 1 /2) Solution: P (X ≥ 1 /2) =

1 / 2 f^ (x)dx^ =^

1 / 2 (1^ −^ x)dx^ = 1/8.^ (Alternatively, determine the answer geometrically, as the area under the graph of f (x) from 1/ 2 to 1) (b) P (X ≥ − 1 /2) Solution: P (X ≥ − 1 /2) =

− 1 / 2 f^ (x)dx^ =^

− 1 / 2 (1 +^ x)dx^ +^

0 (1^ −^ x)dx^ = 7/8. (Again, this can also be obtained geometrically, via area considerations.) (c) E(X) Solution: E(X) =

−∞ xf^ (x)dx^ =^

− 1 x(1 +^ x)dx^ +^

0 x(1^ −^ x)dx^ = 0. (d) E(X^2 ) Solution: E(X^2 ) =

− 1 x

(^2) f (x)dx = ∫^0 − 1 x

(^2) (1 + x)dx + ∫^1 0 x

(^2) (1 − x)dx = 1/6.

(e) F (x) (the c.d.f.) Solution: First, note that for x < −1, F (x) = 0, and for x > 1, F (x) = 1, so it remains to consider the range − 1 ≤ x ≤ 1. In this range, F (x) =

∫ (^) x ∫ (^) x^ −∞^ f^ (t)dt^ = − 1 (1^ − |t|)dt.^ Because of the absolute value sign in^ f^ (t) = 1^ − |t|, we need to consider separately the cases when − 1 ≤ x < 0 and 0 ≤ x ≤ 1, and split the integral at 0 in the latter case. For − 1 ≤ x < 0,

F (x) =

∫ (^) x

− 1

(1 + t)dt =

[

t +

t^2 2

]t=x

t=− 1

x +

x^2 2

(−1)^2

= x +

x^2 2 +

In particular, F (−1) = 0, F (0) = 1/2, as expected. For 0 ≤ x ≤ 1,

F (x) =

− 1

(1 + t)dt +

∫ (^) x

0

(1 − t)dt =

[

t −

t^2 2

]t=x

t=

2 +^ x^ −^

x^2

Altogether, F (x) is given by

F (x) =

0 for x < −1, x + x 22 + 12. for − 1 ≤ x ≤ 0, x − x 22 + 12. for 0 ≤ x ≤ 1, for x > 1.

  1. Let X be exponentially distributed with mean 2. Determine:

(a) P (X ≥ 5). Solution: We have P (X ≥ 5) = e−^5 /θ^ = e−^5 /^2 , by the tail formula for an exponential distribution. (b) P (2 ≤ X ≤ 5). Solution: We have F (x) = 1 − e−x/^2 for x ≥ 0, so P (2 ≤ X ≤ 5) = F (5) − F (2) = (1 − e−^5 /^2 ) − (1 − e−^2 /^2 ) = e−^1 − e−^5 /^2. (c) P (2 < X < 5). Solution: Since X has a continuous distribution, this is the same as P (2 ≤ X ≤ 5) computed above. (d) P (X ≥ 5 |X ≥ 2). Solution: By the definition of conditional probabilities,

P (X ≥ 5 |X ≥ 2) = P^ (X^ ≥^ 5 and^ X^ ≥^ 2) P (X ≥ 2)

=

P (X ≥ 5)

P (X ≥ 2) =^

e−^5 /^2 e−^2 /^2

= e−^3 /^2.

(e) P (X ≤ 5 |X ≥ 2).

  1. Let X be exponentially distributed with mean 2, and let Y be defined by

Y =

X if X ≤ 1, (1/2)(X + 1) if X > 1.

Find E(Y ). Solution:

E(Y ) =

0

x 1 2

e−x/^2 dx +

1

(x + 1)^1 2

e−x/^2 dx

= −xe−x/^2

1 0

0

e−x/^2 dx +

(x + 1)e−x/^2

∞ 1

+^1

1

e−x/^2 dx

= −e−^1 /^2 + 2(1 − e−^1 /^2 ) +

2 e−^1 /^2 + 2e−^1 /^2

e−^1 /^2 )

  1. Let X be exponentially distributed with mean 3, and let Y = max(X, 2). Find E(Y ).

Solution: Note that Y =

2 if X ≤ 2, X if X > 2. Thus,

E(Y ) =

0

3 e

−x/ (^3) dx +

2

x ·

3 e

−x/ (^3) dx

= 2(1 − e−^2 /^3 ) − xe−x/^3

∞ 2 +

2

e−x/^3 dx

= 2(1 − e−^2 /^3 ) + 2e−^2 /^3 + 3e−^2 /^3 = 2 + 3e−^2 /^3

  1. Assume the amount of damage, X, in an auto accident is exponentially distributed with mean 2. (All figures are thousands of dollars.)

(a) Suppose first the insurance company covers the actual amount of the loss, up to a maximum of 5. What is the average payoff? Solution: Letting Y denote the payoff, we have Y = min(X, 100), i.e.,

Y =

X if X ≤ 5, 5 if X > 5.

and we need to compute E(Y ). This is the calculation carried out in Problem 6; the result is E(Y ) = 2(1 − e−^5 /^2 ). (b) Suppose now the insurance company covers the full amount of the loss minus a deductible of 1. What is the average payoff?

Solution: Letting Y denote the payoff, we now have

Y =

0 if X ≤ 1, X − 1 if X > 1.

We need to compute E(Y ). This is the computation carried out in Problem 5; the result is E(Y ) = 2e−^1 /^2.

(c) Suppose the insurance company covers the full amount of the loss up to 1, and 50% of any loss in excess of 1. What is the average payoff? Solution: Letting Y denote the payoff, we now have

Y =

X if X ≤ 1, 1 + (1/2)(X − 1) = (1/2)(X + 1) if X > 1.

We need to compute E(Y ). By the calculation of Problem 7, we get E(Y ) = 2(1 − 12 e−^1 /^2 ).