Probability Distribution - General Psychology - Assignment, Exercises of Psychology

Probability Distribution, Unfair Coin, Probability of Observing, Standard Deck, Red Marbles, Blue Marbles, Number of Times, Maximum Number of Draws, Sampled With Replacement, Number of Diamonds. Its General Psychology assignment.

Typology: Exercises

2011/2012

Uploaded on 12/13/2012

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Assignment
1. You have a biased or unfair coin, such that, on each toss, the probability of observing a
head is .25 and the probability of observing a tail is .75. Let X be the variable: number
of heads observed in 4 tosses.
a) Describe the probability distribution of X and compute the mean and the standard
deviation of this distribution.
2. A multiple-choice test contains 12 questions, 8 of which have 4 answers each to choose
from and 4 of which have 5 answers each to choose from. If a student randomly guesses
all of his answers, what is the probability that he will get exactly 2 of the 4-answer
questions correct and at least 3 of the 5-answer questions incorrect?
3. A standard deck of 52 cards consists of 4 suits (spades, hearts, diamonds, and clubs),
each of which contains 13 cards. A player selects 3 cards at random, without
replacement, and is interested in knowing the mean and standard deviation of X: the
number of diamonds he might select. Compute the answers for him.
4. A store has found that 10% of the items it sells are returned after Christmas. On one
day, a total of 50 items are sold by 5 clerks: Clerk A sold 5 items, Clerk B sold 20
items, and the rest of the items were sold by the other 3 clerks.
a) What is the probability that none of the items sold by Clerk A will be returned?
b) What is the probability that exactly 3 of the items sold by Clerk B will be returned?
c) What is the probability that between 2 and 7 (inclusively) of the items sold by the
other 3 clerks will be returned?
d) What is the probability that between 3 and 6 (inclusively) of the items sold by Clerk
B and that exactly 4 of the items sold by the other 3 clerks will be returned?
5. A bag contains 4 red marbles and 2 blue marbles. You draw a marble at random,
without replacement, until the first blue marble is drawn. Let X = the number of draws.
a) If you repeated this experiment a very large number of times, on average how many
draws would you make before a blue marble was drawn?
b) Express the maximum number of draws you might have to make as a Z score.
c) Suppose you had sampled with replacement. Is it more likely that you would make 1
draw or 6 draws before you got a blue marble? Why?
Answers:
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Assignment

  1. You have a biased or unfair coin, such that, on each toss, the probability of observing a head is .25 and the probability of observing a tail is .75. Let X be the variable: number of heads observed in 4 tosses.

a) Describe the probability distribution of X and compute the mean and the standard deviation of this distribution.

  1. A multiple-choice test contains 12 questions, 8 of which have 4 answers each to choose from and 4 of which have 5 answers each to choose from. If a student randomly guesses all of his answers, what is the probability that he will get exactly 2 of the 4-answer questions correct and at least 3 of the 5-answer questions incorrect?
  2. A standard deck of 52 cards consists of 4 suits (spades, hearts, diamonds, and clubs), each of which contains 13 cards. A player selects 3 cards at random, without replacement, and is interested in knowing the mean and standard deviation of X: the number of diamonds he might select. Compute the answers for him.
  3. A store has found that 10% of the items it sells are returned after Christmas. On one day, a total of 50 items are sold by 5 clerks: Clerk A sold 5 items, Clerk B sold 20 items, and the rest of the items were sold by the other 3 clerks.

a) What is the probability that none of the items sold by Clerk A will be returned?

b) What is the probability that exactly 3 of the items sold by Clerk B will be returned?

c) What is the probability that between 2 and 7 (inclusively) of the items sold by the other 3 clerks will be returned?

d) What is the probability that between 3 and 6 (inclusively) of the items sold by Clerk B and that exactly 4 of the items sold by the other 3 clerks will be returned?

  1. A bag contains 4 red marbles and 2 blue marbles. You draw a marble at random, without replacement, until the first blue marble is drawn. Let X = the number of draws.

a) If you repeated this experiment a very large number of times, on average how many draws would you make before a blue marble was drawn?

b) Express the maximum number of draws you might have to make as a Z score.

c) Suppose you had sampled with replacement. Is it more likely that you would make 1 draw or 6 draws before you got a blue marble? Why?

Answers:

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  1. μ = 1.0, σ =. 2..
  2. μ = .75, σ =.
  3. a) .5905 b) .190 c) .727 d).
  4. a) μ = 2.334 b) Z = 2.138 c) 1 draw: P(X = 1) = .333, P(X = 6) = .0439.

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