Probability Test - Statistics - Quiz, Exercises of Statistics

This lecture is from Statistics. Key important points are: Probability Distribution Problems, Customers Requesting Seats, Loss of Goodwill, Last Minute Customer, Expected Net Revenue, International Mutual Funds, Strong Earnings, Standard Deviation, International Mutual Funds, Unemployment Rate

Typology: Exercises

2012/2013

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1. On average, 6 birds hit the Washington Monument and are killed each week. Bill Garcy,
an official of the National Parks Services, has requested that congress allocate funds for
equipment to scare birds away from the monument. A Congressional subcommittee has
replied that funds can not be allocated unless the probability of more than three birds
being killed in any week exceeds 0.8. Will the funds be allocated?
2. One study on managers’ satisfaction with management tools reveals that 62% of all
managers use self directed work teams as a management tool. Suppose 80 managers
selected randomly are interviewed. What is the probability that fewer than 35 use self
directed work teams as a management tool?
3. The mean number of hours of flying time for pilots at Continental Airlines is 55 hours per
month. Assume that this mean was based on actual flying times for a sample of 100
Continental pilots and that the sample standard deviation was 8.5 hours. What is the 95%
confidence interval estimate of the population mean flying time for the pilots?
4. Suppose a US car rental firm wants to estimate the average number of miles travelled per
day by each of its cars rented in California. A random sample of 200 cars rented in
California reveals that the sample mean travel distance per day is 80.0 miles, with a
sample standard deviation of 15.3 miles. Compute a 95% confidence interval to estimate
µ.
5. The rank of the 17 students in two subjects A and B, are given below. The two numbers
within brackets denote the ranks of a student in A and B subjects respectively.
(1, 10), (2, 7), (3, 2), (4, 6), (5, 4), (6, 8), (7, 3), (8, 1), (9, 11), (10, 16), (11, 9), (12, 5),
(13, 17), (14, 12), (15, 13), (16, 14), (17, 15). Find Spearman’s rank correlation
coefficient.
6. The American Association of individual investors publishes an annual guide to the top
mutual funds. Table given below contains their rating of the total risk for 32 categories of
mutual funds.
Total Risk
Number of funds Categories
Low
8
Below Average
6
Average
4
Above Average
6
High
8
a. Let x = 1for low risk up through x=5 for high risk, and develop a probability
distribution for level of risk.
b. What are the expected value and variance for total risk?
c. It turns out that 14 of the fund categories were bond funds. For the bond funds, 8
categories were rated low, 4 were rated below average, and 2 were rated average.
Compare the total risk of the bond funds with the 18 categories stock funds.
7. An industrial sewing machine uses ball bearing that are targeted to have a diameter of
0.75 inch. The lower and upper specification limits under which the ball bearing can
operate are 0.74 inch and 0.76 inch, respectively. Past experience has indicated the actual
mean diameter of the ball bearing 0.753 with a standard deviation of .005 inch. What is
the probability that a ball bearing is
a. Between the target and the actual mean?
b. Between the lower specification limits and the target?
c. 85% of the diameters are greater than what value?
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  1. On average, 6 birds hit the Washington Monument and are killed each week. Bill Garcy, an official of the National Parks Services, has requested that congress allocate funds for equipment to scare birds away from the monument. A Congressional subcommittee has replied that funds can not be allocated unless the probability of more than three birds being killed in any week exceeds 0.8. Will the funds be allocated?
  2. One study on managers’ satisfaction with management tools reveals that 62% of all managers use self –directed work teams as a management tool. Suppose 80 managers selected randomly are interviewed. What is the probability that fewer than 35 use self – directed work teams as a management tool?
  3. The mean number of hours of flying time for pilots at Continental Airlines is 55 hours per month. Assume that this mean was based on actual flying times for a sample of 100 Continental pilots and that the sample standard deviation was 8.5 hours. What is the 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean flying time for the pilots?
  4. Suppose a US car rental firm wants to estimate the average number of miles travelled per day by each of its cars rented in California. A random sample of 200 cars rented in California reveals that the sample mean travel distance per day is 80.0 miles, with a sample standard deviation of 15.3 miles. Compute a 95% confidence interval to estimate μ.
  5. The rank of the 17 students in two subjects A and B, are given below. The two numbers within brackets denote the ranks of a student in A and B subjects respectively. (1, 10), (2, 7), (3, 2), (4, 6), (5, 4), (6, 8), (7, 3), (8, 1), (9, 11), (10, 16), (11, 9), (12, 5), (13, 17), (14, 12), (15, 13), (16, 14), (17, 15). Find Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient.
  6. The American Association of individual investors publishes an annual guide to the top mutual funds. Table given below contains their rating of the total risk for 32 categories of mutual funds.

Total Risk Number of funds Categories Low 8 Below Average 6 Average 4 Above Average 6 High 8

a. Let x = 1for low risk up through x=5 for high risk, and develop a probability distribution for level of risk. b. What are the expected value and variance for total risk? c. It turns out that 14 of the fund categories were bond funds. For the bond funds, 8 categories were rated low, 4 were rated below average, and 2 were rated average. Compare the total risk of the bond funds with the 18 categories stock funds.

  1. An industrial sewing machine uses ball bearing that are targeted to have a diameter of 0.75 inch. The lower and upper specification limits under which the ball bearing can operate are 0.74 inch and 0.76 inch, respectively. Past experience has indicated the actual mean diameter of the ball bearing 0.753 with a standard deviation of .005 inch. What is the probability that a ball bearing is a. Between the target and the actual mean? b. Between the lower specification limits and the target? c. 85% of the diameters are greater than what value?
  1. An official has 12 clerks. An assessment of their efficiency by their departmental manager and the personnel department produces a ranking efficiency. This is shown below together with a ranking of their length of services. Ranking according to length of service:

Ranking according to efficiency

Find Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient.

  1. Airport Rent –a – Car is a locally operated business in competition with several major firms. ARC is planning a new deal for prospective customers who want to rent a car for only one day and will return it to the airport. For $40, the company will rent a small economy car to a customer, whose only other expense is to fill the car with gas at day’s end. ARC is planning to buy a number of small cars from the manufacturer at a reduced price of $5,200. The big question is how many to buy. Company executive have decided on the following distribution of demands per day for the service: a. Number of Cars rented 13 14 15 16 17 18 b. Probability 0.08 0.15 0.22 0.25 0.21 0. c. The company intends to offer the plan 6 days a week (312 days per year) and anticipates that its variable cost per car per day will be $2.50. After the end of one year, the company expects to sell the cars and recapture 50 percent of the original cost. Disregarding the time value of money and any noncash expenses, use the expected –loss method to determine the optimal number of cars for ARC to buy.
  2. Motorola used the normal distribution to determine the probability of defects and the number of defects expected in a production process. Assume a production process produces items with a mean weight of 10 ounces. Calculate the probability of a defect and the expected number of defects for a 1050- unit production run in the following situations. a. The process standard deviation is .15 and the process control is set at plus or minus one standard deviation. Units with weight less than 9.85 or greater than 10.85 ounces will be classified as defects. b. Through process design improvements, the process standard deviation can be reduced to 0.05. Assume the process control remains the same, with weights less than 9.85 or greater than 10.15. c. What is the advantage of reducing process variation thereby setting process control limits at a greater number of standard deviations from the mean?
  3. Campus Stores has been selling the Believe It or Not: Wonders of Statistics Study Guide for 12 semesters and would like to estimate the relationship between sales and number of sections of elementary statistics taught in each semester. The following data have been collected: Sales (units) 33 38 24 61 52 45 Number of section 4 7 6 7 10 12 Sales (units) 60 80 29 63 50 79 Number of section 12 13 12 12 14 15 a) Develop the estimating equation that best fits the data.