Probability Theory II: Assignment 2 Solutions, Assignments of Probability and Statistics

The problems and solutions for assignment 2 of probability theory ii, spring 2008 course. The problems cover topics such as convergence of random variables, independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, and weak laws of large numbers.

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STA 6467: Probability Theory II
Spring 2008
Problems for Assignment 2
1. Let Xn0 be independent for n1. The following are equivalent:
(i) P
n=1 Xn<a.s..
(ii) P
n=1P(Xn>1) + E[XnI[Xn1]]<.
(iii) P
n=1 EXn/(1 + Xn)<.
2. Suppose that P
n=1
σ2
n
n2=and without loss of generality that σ2
nn2for all n1.
Show that there exist independent random variables Xn,n1, with E[Xn]=0
and Var(Xn)σ2
n, for which Xn/n does not converge to 0 a.s. Conclude from this
that P
n=1 Xn/n does not converge a.s. and that n1Pn
i=1 Xidoes not converge a.s.
(to any random variable, let alone to the constant 0).
If Xn,n1, are independent with E[Xn] = 0 and Var(Xn) = σ2
n, and if
P
n=1 σ2
n/n2<, then by Theorem 6.3.3 in the notes (or by a simple appli-
cation of Kolmogorov’s convergence criterion followed by Kronecker’s lemma),
P
n=1 Xn/n converges a.s. and n1Pn
i=1 Xi0 a.s. So the point of this
problem is to show that this result can easily fail when P
n=1 σ2
n/n2=.
3. Suppose that X1, X2, . . . are i.i.d. random variables with a symmetric distribution,
i.e., Xand Xhave the same distribution. Then P
n=1(Xn/n) converges almost
surely iff E[|X1|]<.
4. Let {Xn, n 1}be nondegenerate i.i.d. L2random variables and let σ2= Var X1,
Xn=1
n
n
X
j=1
Xj, S2
n=1
n
n
X
j=1
(XjXn)2, n 2.
Prove that Snσalmost surely and in L2, and that ESnσ.
5. The L2weak law generalizes immediately to certain dependent sequences. Suppose
E[Xn] = 0 and E[XnXm]r(nm) for mn, where r(k)0 as k . Show
that (X1+· · · +Xn)/n P
0 as n .

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STA 6467: Probability Theory II

Spring 2008

Problems for Assignment 2

  1. Let Xn ≥ 0 be independent for n ≥ 1. The following are equivalent:

(i)

n=1 Xn^ <^ ∞^ a.s.. (ii)

n=

P (Xn > 1) + E[XnI[Xn≤1]]

(iii)

n=1 E

[

Xn/(1 + Xn)

]

  1. Suppose that

n=

σ^2 n n^2 =^ ∞^ and without loss of generality that^ σ

2 n ≤^ n (^2) for all n ≥ 1. Show that there exist independent random variables Xn, n ≥ 1, with E[Xn] = 0 and Var(Xn) ≤ σ^2 n, for which Xn/n does not converge to 0 a.s. Conclude from this that

n=1 Xn/n^ does not converge a.s. and that^ n

− 1 ∑n i=1 Xi^ does not converge a.s. (to any random variable, let alone to the constant 0).

If∑ Xn, n ≥ 1, are independent with E[Xn] = 0 and Var(Xn) = σ n^2 , and if ∞ n=1 σ 2 n/n (^2) < ∞, then by Theorem 6.3.3 in the notes (or by a simple appli- cation of Kolmogorov’s convergence criterion followed by Kronecker’s lemma),∑ ∞ n=1 Xn/n^ converges a.s. and^ n − 1 ∑n i=1 Xi^ →^ 0 a.s.^ So the point of this problem is to show that this result can easily fail when

∑∞ n=1 σ n^2 /n^2 =^ ∞.

  1. Suppose that X 1 , X 2 ,... are i.i.d. random variables with a symmetric distribution, i.e., X and −X have the same distribution. Then

n=1(Xn/n) converges almost surely iff E[|X 1 |] < ∞.

  1. Let {Xn, n ≥ 1 } be nondegenerate i.i.d. L 2 random variables and let σ^2 = Var X 1 ,

Xn =

n

∑^ n

j=

Xj , S n^2 =

n

∑^ n

j=

(Xj − Xn)^2 , n ≥ 2.

Prove that Sn → σ almost surely and in L^2 , and that ESn → σ.

  1. The L^2 weak law generalizes immediately to certain dependent sequences. Suppose E[Xn] = 0 and E[XnXm] ≤ r(n − m) for m ≤ n, where r(k) → 0 as k → ∞. Show that (X 1 + · · · + Xn)/n P −→ 0 as n → ∞.