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Material Type: Assignment; Class: PROBABILITY I; Subject: Mathematics; University: University of Texas - Austin; Term: Fall 2007;
Typology: Assignments
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Math 362K Probability Fall 2007 Instructor: Geir Helleloid
I: 10 percent I and II: 8 percent I and II and III: 1 percent II: 30 percent I and III: 2 percent III: 5 percent II and III: 4 percent
(The list tells us, for instance, that 8000 people read newspapers I and II.)
(a) Find the number of people who read only one newspaper.
Solution. Let the sample space S consist of the 100,000 townspeople. Let E 1 be the event consisting of the people who read I, let E 2 be the event consisting of the people who read II, and let E 3 be the event consisting of the people who read III. Using the given table of percentages, we find
|E 1 | = 10, 000 |E 1 ∩ E 2 | = 8, 000 |E 1 ∩ E 2 ∩ E 3 | = 1, 000 |E 2 | = 30, 000 |E 1 ∩ E 3 | = 2, 000 |E 3 | = 5, 000 |E 2 ∩ E 3 | = 4, 000
The number of people who read only one newspaper is the total number of towns- people minus the answers to (b) and (d). So the answer is 20 , 000.
(b) How many people read at least two newspapers?
Solution. The people who read at least two newspapers are (E 1 ∩ E 2 ) ∪ (E 1 ∩ E 3 ) ∪ (E 2 ∩ E 3 ). By Inclusion-Exclusion,
|(E 1 ∩ E 2 ) ∪ (E 1 ∩ E 3 ) ∪ (E 2 ∩ E 3 )| = |E 1 ∩ E 2 | + |E 1 ∩ E 3 | + |E 2 ∩ E 3 | − |(E 1 ∩ E 2 ) ∩ (E 1 ∩ E 3 )| −|(E 1 ∩ E 2 ) ∩ (E 2 ∩ E 3 )| − |(E 1 ∩ E3) ∩ (E 2 ∩ E 3 )| +|(E 1 ∩ E 2 ) ∩ (E 1 ∩ E 3 ) ∩ (E 2 ∩ E 3 )| = 8 , 000 + 2, 000 + 4, 000 − 1 , 000 − 1 , 000 − 1 , 000 + 1, 000 = 12 , 000
(c) If I and III are morning papers and II is an evening paper, how many people read at least one morning paper plus an evening paper?
Solution. The people who read at least one morning paper plus an evening paper are (E 1 ∩ E 2 ) ∪ (E 3 ∩ E 2 ). By Inclusion-Exclusion,
|(E 1 ∩ E 2 ) ∪ (E 3 ∩ E 2 )| = |E 1 ∩ E 2 | + |E 3 ∩ E 2 | − |E 1 ∩ E 2 ∩ E 3 ∩ E 2 | = 8 , 000 + 4, 000 − 1 , 000 = 11 , 000
(d) How many people do not read any newspapers?
Solution. The people who do not read any newspapers are (E 1 ∪ E 2 ∪ E 3 )c. By Inclusion-Exclusion,
|E 1 ∪ E 2 ∪ E 3 | = |E 1 | + |E 2 | + |E 3 | − |E 1 ∩ E 2 | − |E 1 ∩ E 3 | − |E 2 ∩ E 3 | +|E 1 ∩ E 2 ∩ E 3 | = 45 , 000 − 14 , 000 + 1, 000 = 32 , 000 |(E 1 ∪ E 2 ∪ E 3 )c| = 100 , 000 − 32 , 000 = 68 , 000
(e) How many people read only one morning paper and one evening paper?
Solution. Of the people from (c), we only have to eliminate those that read both morning papers and the evening paper. This is E 1 ∩ E 2 ∩ E 3 , which has size 1,000. Subtracting from the answer in (c) gives an answer of 10 , 000.