Solved Assignment 1 - Statistics and Probability II | STAT 410, Assignments of Probability and Statistics

Material Type: Assignment; Professor: Stepanov; Class: Statistics and Probability II; Subject: Statistics; University: University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign; Term: Spring 2009;

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Pre 2010

Uploaded on 03/10/2009

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STAT 408 Spring 2009
Homework #1
(due Friday, January 30, by 3:00 p.m.)
1.
Suppose that P(A) = 0.40, P(B) = 0.30, P(A
B) = 0.20.
What is the probability that …
a) either A occurs or B occurs (or both); b) B does not occur;
c) B occurs and A does not occur; d) neither A nor B occurs;
a) P
(
A
B
)
=
0.50
.
b) P
(
B'
)
=
0.70
.
c) P
(
B
A'
)
=
0.10
.
d) P
(
A'
B'
)
=
0.50
.
2.
Let events A and B and sample space S be defined as the following intervals:
S =
{
x
: 0
x
10
}
, A =
{
x
: 0 <
x
< 5
}
, B =
{
x
: 3
x
7
}
.
Characterize the following events:
a) A' b) A
B c) A
B
{
0
}
[
5, 10
]
[
3, 5
)
(
0, 7
]
d) A
B' e) A'
B f) A'
B'
(
0, 3
)
{
0
}
[
3, 10
]
{
0
}
(
7, 10
]
pf3
pf4

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STAT 408 Spring 2009

Homework

(due Friday, January 30, by 3:00 p.m.)

1. Suppose that P(A) = 0.40, P(B) = 0.30, P(A ∩ B) = 0.20.

What is the probability that …

a) either A occurs or B occurs (or both); b) B does not occur;

c) B occurs and A does not occur; d) neither A nor B occurs;

a) P ( A ∪ B ) = 0..

b) P ( B ' ) = 0..

c) P ( B ∩ A ' ) = 0..

d) P ( A ' ∩ B ' ) = 0..

2. Let events A and B and sample space S be defined as the following intervals:

S = { x : 0 ≤ x ≤ 10 }, A = { x : 0 < x < 5 }, B = { x : 3 ≤ x ≤ 7 }.

Characterize the following events:

a) A ' b) A ∩ B c) A ∪ B

{ 0 } ∪ [ 5, 10 ] [ 3, 5 ) ( 0, 7 ]

d) A ∩ B ' e) A ' ∪ B f) A ' ∩ B '

( 0, 3 ) { 0 } ∪ [ 3, 10 ] { 0 } ∪ ( 7, 10 ]

3. An urn contains six chips numbered 1 through 6. Three are drawn out. What

outcomes are in the event “Second smallest chip is a 3”? Assume that the order of the chips is irrelevant.

4. Suppose a baseball player steps to the plate with the intention of trying to

“coax” a base on balls by never swinging at a pitch. The umpire, of course, will necessarily call each pitch either a ball (B) or a strike (S). What outcomes make up the event A, that a batter walks on the sixth pitch? Note: A batter “walks” if the fourth ball is called before the third strike.

S S B B B B B S S B B B B B S S B B S B S B B B B S B S B B B B S B S B S B B S B B B S B B S B B B B S S B S B B B S B

5. Suppose S = { 0, 1, 2, 3, … } and

P( 0 ) = p , P( k ) = (^) k 5

1 , k = 1, 2, 3, ….

a) Find the value of p that would make this a valid probability model.

Must have P( 0 ) + P( 1 ) + P( 2 ) + P( 3 ) + P( 4 ) + … = 1.

1 = p + (^) ∑

k k^

= p + (^) ∑

k

k

= p +

= p +

1. p =

b) Find P( odd ).

P( 1 ) + P( 3 ) + P( 5 ) + P( 7 ) + … = ... 5

1 +^3 + 5 + 7 + =^ ∑

=

0

2 1 5

k

k

= (^) ∑

=

k

k

25

OR

a) ( 1, 2 ) ( 1, 3 ) ( 1, 4 ) ( 1, 5 ) ( 2, 3 )

  • 1.2-
  • a) P ( A ∪ B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B ) – P ( A ∩ B ) = 0.4 + 0.5 – 0.3 = 0.
  • b) P ( A ∩ B ' ) = P ( A ) – P ( A ∩ B ) = 0.4 – 0.3 = 0.
  • c) P ( A ' ∪ B ' ) = 1 – P ( A ∩ B ) = 1 – 0.3 = 0. - a) P ( A ∪ B ) = 0. - b) P ( A ∩ B ' ) = 0. - c) P ( A ' ∪ B ' ) = 0.
  • 1.2-
    • 0.7 = 0.4 + 0.5 – P ( A ∩ B ) P ( A ∩ B ) = 0. a) P ( A ∪ B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B ) – P ( A ∩ B )
  • b) P ( A ' ∪ B ' ) = 1 – P ( A ∩ B ) = 1 – 0.2 = 0.
  • 1.2-
  • a)^1 / 3 b)^2 / 3 c) 0 d)^1 /
  • 1.2-
  • b) (i)^1 / 10 (ii)^5 / ( 2, 4 ) ( 2, 5 ) ( 3, 4 ) ( 3, 5 ) ( 4, 5 )