Probability Calculations for Math 173 Homework, Assignments of Mathematics

Solutions to various probability problems from math 173 homework. The problems involve rolling dice, getting sums, choosing letters from words, and determining the number of ways to place rectangles on a chessboard. The solutions use concepts such as independent events, the multiplication rule, and the probability principle.

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Pre 2010

Uploaded on 08/30/2009

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Homework #2 Math 173 Spring ’09
Solutions
(1) 5.1; 16)
(a) The dice are distinguishable. So the first pair of rolls yields 6·6 possibilities. We
get 6 ·6 possibilities for the second pair as well. Since they are all independent,
by the MR we have 64possibilities total.
(b) No restrictions are placed on the first pair of rolls. But we have only one choice
for each die in the second pair of rolls (i.e., whatever it showed the first time).
So this event contains 6 ·6·1·1 outcomes. By the probability principle, the
answer is 62/64= 1/36.
(c) It is tempting to have our sample space consist of the twelve possible sums (2
through 12). However, each of these outcomes is not equally likely. For example,
out of the 36 possible outcomes that can arise from rolling a red and a white
die, there is only one way to get a sum of 2 (red 1 and white 1), but two ways
to get a sum of 3 (red 1, white 2 or red 2, white 1).
Computing directly, we find the following values:
sum 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
# of ways 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
So, the probability of getting the same sum both times is
(12+ 22+ 32+ 42+ 52+ 62+ 52+ 42+ 32+ 22+ 12)/362
which equals 146/1296.
(d) By the previous part and the DR, the probability of getting unequal sums is
1146/1296. Getting the higher sum on the first pair of rolls is equally likely
as getting the higher sum on the second pair of rolls. So getting the higher
pair on the second roll must happen half the time. Hence, the answer is (1
146/1296)/2 = 575/1296.
(2) 5.1; 24) The restriction means that the first, second, eleventh and twelfth digits must
be 3’s. There are no restrictions on the remaining 8 digits. So the answer is 108.
(3) 5.1; 32) There are ten letters in the word RECURRENCE and eight in RELATION.
So there are 10 ·8 = 80 possible choices. The only letters in common are R, E and
N. There are 3 ·1 ways to choose an R from each word, 3 ·1 ways to choose an E
from each word, and 1·1 ways to choose an N from each word. So by the probability
principle, the answer is (3 + 3 + 1)/80 = 7/80.
(4) 5.1; 46) The important fact to note is that I can specify rows in which the rectangle
lies without placing any restrictions on the columns it lies in. Of course, it is not
enough to specify how many rows, I must also specify which rows. Now, if the
rectangle has height one (i.e., lies in only one row), there are eight possibilities for
which row. If the rectangle has height two there are only seven possibilities (the top
row of the rectangle can’t be the bottom row of the chessboard). If the rectangle
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Homework #2 — Math 173 — Spring ’

Solutions

(a) The dice are distinguishable. So the first pair of rolls yields 6 · 6 possibilities. We get 6 · 6 possibilities for the second pair as well. Since they are all independent, by the MR we have 6^4 possibilities total. (b) No restrictions are placed on the first pair of rolls. But we have only one choice for each die in the second pair of rolls (i.e., whatever it showed the first time). So this event contains 6 · 6 · 1 · 1 outcomes. By the probability principle, the answer is 6^2 / 64 = 1/36. (c) It is tempting to have our sample space consist of the twelve possible sums ( through 12). However, each of these outcomes is not equally likely. For example, out of the 36 possible outcomes that can arise from rolling a red and a white die, there is only one way to get a sum of 2 (red 1 and white 1), but two ways to get a sum of 3 (red 1, white 2 or red 2, white 1). Computing directly, we find the following values:

sum 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

of ways 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1

So, the probability of getting the same sum both times is (1^2 + 2^2 + 3^2 + 4^2 + 5^2 + 6^2 + 5^2 + 4^2 + 3^2 + 2^2 + 1^2 )/ 362 which equals 146/1296. (d) By the previous part and the DR, the probability of getting unequal sums is 1 − 146 /1296. Getting the higher sum on the first pair of rolls is equally likely as getting the higher sum on the second pair of rolls. So getting the higher pair on the second roll must happen half the time. Hence, the answer is (1 − 146 /1296)/2 = 575/1296.

(2) 5.1; 24) The restriction means that the first, second, eleventh and twelfth digits must be 3’s. There are no restrictions on the remaining 8 digits. So the answer is 10^8.

(3) 5.1; 32) There are ten letters in the word RECURRENCE and eight in RELATION. So there are 10 · 8 = 80 possible choices. The only letters in common are R, E and N. There are 3 · 1 ways to choose an R from each word, 3 · 1 ways to choose an E from each word, and 1 · 1 ways to choose an N from each word. So by the probability principle, the answer is (3 + 3 + 1)/80 = 7/80.

(4) 5.1; 46) The important fact to note is that I can specify rows in which the rectangle lies without placing any restrictions on the columns it lies in. Of course, it is not enough to specify how many rows, I must also specify which rows. Now, if the rectangle has height one (i.e., lies in only one row), there are eight possibilities for which row. If the rectangle has height two there are only seven possibilities (the top row of the rectangle can’t be the bottom row of the chessboard). If the rectangle 1

2

has height three there are only six possibilities (the top row of the rectangle can’t be either of the bottom two rows of the chessboard). Continuing in this manner, we see that if the rectangle has height i, then there are 9 − i possibilities for which exact rows. So, ∑^8

i=

(9 − i) =

∑^8

i=

i = (8 · 9)/2 = 36.

We can use the exact same logic for the columns. Then, by the MR, the answer is

(5) 5.2; 4) The answer to the first part is 8! since everyone is distinguishable from each other and no restrictions are placed. For the second part, first choose the places for the boys. There are only two possibilities. They sit either in seats 1,3,5,7 or in seats 2,4,6,8. Whichever choice is made, the seats of the girls are then determined. Then order the boys in 4! possible ways. Then order the girls in 4! possible ways. So by the MR, the answer is 2 · 4! · 4! = 2(4!)^2 = 1152.

(6) 5.2; 8) a)

5

. b) The number of ways of getting 3 whites and 2 reds is

3

2

. So by the probability principle, the answer is ( 8 3

2

5

(7) 5.2; 18) a) There are

3

ways to pick three students. If we require exactly one female students, then there must be exactly two male students.( So there must be 20 2

1

outcomes in this event. By the probability principle, the answer is therefore ( 20 2

1

3

b) We’ve already figured out the probability of exactly two male students. So we can just add in

3

3

, the probability of exactly three male students. This gives a final answer of (^) ( 20 2

1

3

3

This problem is a little tricky. The choices made are actually ordered choices. Any subset of three students can be assigned to the different competitions in 3! possible ways. However, since we only care about probabilities, this factor is going to cancel out of the numerator and the denominator. So we can work with unordered choices as we do above. Redoing part a), however, we get P (20, 2) · P (30, 1) · 3 for the numerator (since the female student could have been picked first, second or third). For the denominator, we get P (50, 3). Simplifying, our answer to part a) is: 20 · 19 · 30 · 3 50 · 49 · 48

2

1

3

which is the same answer we already obtained. Part b) is similar.