Survival Function - Life Contingencies - Lecture Notes, Study notes of Mathematical Statistics

These are the important key points of lecture notes of Life Contingencies are: Survival Function, Positive Random Variable, Age At Death of a Life, Newborn, Probability, Cumulative Distribution Function, Human Survival, Limit Age, Deduce the Properties, Nonincreasing Function

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2012/2013

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Chapter 3: Survival Distributions and Life Tables
1 of 4
3.1 Survival Function
• Let X be the age-at-death of a life (ie. Newborn’s age at
death)
è X is a positive random variable (X 0)
• The cumulative distribution function (cdf) of X is
FX(x) = P(X = x) , x = 0
= Probability that the newborn will die before age x
The function FX(x) has the following properties:
1. FX(0) = 0
2. limx?8
FX(x) = 1
è If there is a limit age, we denote it by w (such as w =
100 for human survival).
è That means, FX(x) = 1, for all x = w.
3. FX(x) is a nondecreasing function
Note1: Properties (2) and (3) apply to any cdf.
Note2: Property (1) apply to any positive r.v..
Chapter 3: Survival Distributions and Life Tables
2 of 4
Survival Function:
• Let s(x) be a survival function of X:
s(x) = 1 FX(x) = 1 P(X = x) = P(X > x)
We can deduce the properties of s(x) from those of FX(x).
1. s(0) = 1
2. limx?8
s(x) = 0
è If there is a limit age, then s(x) = 0, for all x = w.
3. s(x) is a nonincreasing function
P(x < X = z) = Probability that a newborn dies between
ages x and z (with x < z)
= FX(z) - FX(x)
= s(x) s(z)
Example: Consider the cdf
0 = x = 100 .
a) Verify that this function satisfies the 3 properties stated
before.
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Chapter 3: Survival Distributions and Life Tables

1 of 4

3.1 Survival Function

  • Let X be the age-at-death of a life (ie. Newborn’s age at death) Ë X is a positive random variable ( X ≥ 0)
  • The cumulative distribution function (cdf) of X is F X ( x ) = P( X = x ) , x = 0 = Probability that the newborn will die before age x

The function F X ( x ) has the following properties:

  1. F X (0) = 0
  2. lim x? 8 F X ( x ) = 1 Ë If there is a limit age, we denote it by w (such as w = 100 for human survival). Ë That means, F X ( x ) = 1, for all x = w.
  3. F X ( x ) is a nondecreasing function

Note1: Properties (2) and (3) apply to any cdf. Note2: Property (1) apply to any positive r.v..

Chapter 3: Survival Distributions and Life Tables

2 of 4

Survival Function:

  • Let s( x ) be a survival function of X : s( x ) = 1 – F X ( x ) = 1 – P( X = x ) = P( X > x )

We can deduce the properties of s( x ) from those of F X ( x ).

  1. s (0) = 1
  2. lim x? 8 s( x ) = 0 Ë If there is a limit age, then s( x ) = 0, for all x = w.
  3. s( x ) is a nonincreasing function

P( x < X = z ) = Probability that a newborn dies between ages x and z (with x < z ) = F X ( z ) - F X ( x ) = s( x ) – s( z )

Example (^) : Consider the cdf 0 = x = 100. a) Verify that this function satisfies the 3 properties stated before.

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Chapter 3: Survival Distributions and Life Tables

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b) What is the probability that a newborn dies before or at age 36? c) What does s(49) – s(64) mean?

Chapter 3: Survival Distributions and Life Tables

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Example (^) : Which of the following function can serve as a survival function? a) (^) s ( x )= ex^26 b) s ( x ) = ex^26

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