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Epidemiologic Side
of Toxicology
(6th of 10 Lectures on Toxicologic Epidemiology)
Taken in the early ’90s, when desktop computers were still a luxury.
Performance Objectives
- Able to describe the toxicologic
course of the three historical events
presented.
- To characterize the epidemiologic
side of these courses and events.
- To outline the purpose as well as
the principles of presenting the
three toxicologic events.
Three Case Studies for
the Epidemiologic Side
of Toxicology:
1. Jamaica Ginger Epidemic
2. London Smog of 1952
3. Multistage Model of
Carcinogenesis
Ginger Paralysis: History
and Toxicity
- The syndrome known for a century;
and later, as ginger paralysis due to
its first major episode in the USA.
- TOCP is the most toxic isomer of
TCP; both, like some other OP, can
induce delayed neurotoxicity.
- The initial effects likely involve the
inhibition of neurotoxic esterase.
Ginger Paralysis: The
Epidemiologic Side
- 20,000 cases reported in the USA in
1930, related to consumption of illegal alcohol contaminated with TOCP.
- 10,000 cases reported in Morocco in
1959, related to consumption of food cooked in oil contaminated with TOCP.
- The association was initiated by two
Oklahoma doctors: Miles and Goldfain.
Ginger Paralysis: The
Lesson (and Speculation)
- Despite the Jamaica ginger episode,
there were still numerous outbreaks
involving cooking oil contaminated
with TOCP.
- Delayed neurotoxicity is extremely
specific to chemical structure.
- It was epidemiologic evidence that
advanced the toxicology of TOCP.
London Smog: History
& the Epidemic
- 4,000 premature deaths, with most being elderly or having preexisting diseases, from breathing heavily polluted air in London in 1952.
- Smog is a mixture of smoke and fog, now also involving the equally irritating photochemical air pollution.
- Air pollution is predictable, and was recognized back in the Roman period.
London Smog: Other
Pollutants & Newer Problems
- Other pollutants: suspended particulate matter (e.g., black smoke); and volatile organic compounds (e.g., petroleum benzene as an exhaust product).
- 1.6 million people may now be at risk from poor air quality in urban areas throughout the world.
- There are also areas everywhere filled with traffic-generated pollutants.
London Smog: The
Impact of Epidemiology
- The 1952 incident led to the passage of
the British Clean Air Act of 1956.
- More epidemiologic studies have since
been conducted to cope with air pollution problems and episodes.
- Also more studies on long-term toxic
effects and on photochemical formation.
Multistage Model: The
Course of Carcinogenesis
- Carcinogenesis is the biochemical process characterizing the progression of normal cells to neoplastic and later into tumor cells.
- Multistage model is a quantitative as well as a mechanistic theory used to characterize this biochemical process.
- Two of the stages basic to the model are presumably initiation and promotion.
Multistage Model: The
Underlying Theories
- In addition to being an initiator or a promoter, an agent initially can be a precarcinogen and later be transformed into a harmful ultimate carcinogen.
- Initiation is usually irreversible, of short duration, and invisible, whereas promotion has the opposite effects.
- As an outgrowth of the challenge to the single stage and the multicell theories.
Multistage Model: The
Relevance and Impact
- Gaining wide acceptance due to the strong evidence that cancer is a single cell in origin.
- Useful as a quantitative tool in the cohort analysis of tumors induced by chemicals.
- Found for the large part successful in describing many experimental and epidemiologic data.
Multistage Model: The
Lesson & Its Utilities
- Leading to the use of more proper
mitigation measures; and to the
adoption by regulatory agencies for
cancer risk assessment.
- Toxicologists using animal studies,
without this epidemiology-based
theory, would likely fail to elucidate
or make fuller use of the mechanistic
process of carcinogenesis.