Tutorial on Probability and Estimation-Introduction to Machine Learning-Lecture 02-Computer Science, Lecture notes of Introduction to Machine Learning

Tutorial on Probability and Estimation, Bernoulli Distribution, MAP Estimates, Beta Conjugate Prior, Multivariate Gaussian Distributions, Gaussians, Central Limit Theorem, Univariate Gaussian Distribution, Moments, Multivariate Gaussian, Matrix, Mean of the Gaussian, Covariance, Correlation Vs. Covariance, Covariance Matrix, Covariance of the Gaussian, Geometry, Density Contours, Linear Functions, Gaussian RV, Conditional Marginal, ML for Parameters, Covariance Matrices, Greg Shakhnarovich, Lect

Typology: Lecture notes

2011/2012

Uploaded on 03/12/2012

alfred67
alfred67 🇺🇸

4.9

(20)

328 documents

1 / 76

Toggle sidebar

This page cannot be seen from the preview

Don't miss anything!

bg1
Lecture 2: Tutorial on probability and estimation
II
TTIC 31020: Introduction to Machine Learning
Instructor: Greg Shakhnarovich,
Lecture by Dhruv Batra
TTI–Chicago
September 29, 2010
Lecture 2: Tutorial on probability and estimation II TTIC 31020
pf3
pf4
pf5
pf8
pf9
pfa
pfd
pfe
pff
pf12
pf13
pf14
pf15
pf16
pf17
pf18
pf19
pf1a
pf1b
pf1c
pf1d
pf1e
pf1f
pf20
pf21
pf22
pf23
pf24
pf25
pf26
pf27
pf28
pf29
pf2a
pf2b
pf2c
pf2d
pf2e
pf2f
pf30
pf31
pf32
pf33
pf34
pf35
pf36
pf37
pf38
pf39
pf3a
pf3b
pf3c
pf3d
pf3e
pf3f
pf40
pf41
pf42
pf43
pf44
pf45
pf46
pf47
pf48
pf49
pf4a
pf4b
pf4c

Partial preview of the text

Download Tutorial on Probability and Estimation-Introduction to Machine Learning-Lecture 02-Computer Science and more Lecture notes Introduction to Machine Learning in PDF only on Docsity!

Lecture 2: Tutorial on probability and estimation

II

TTIC 31020: Introduction to Machine Learning

Instructor: Greg Shakhnarovich, Lecture by Dhruv Batra

TTI–Chicago

September 29, 2010

Roadmap

Last time: Bernoulli distribution, ML and MAP estimates, beta conjugate prior.

Today: uni- and multivariate Gaussian distributions

Background

Things you should have seen before

  • (^) Univariate / Multi-variate Gaussians

Background

Things you should have seen before

  • (^) Univariate / Multi-variate Gaussians
  • Random Vectors: Mean, Variance, Covariance, Correlation

Background

Things you should have seen before

  • (^) Univariate / Multi-variate Gaussians
  • Random Vectors: Mean, Variance, Covariance, Correlation
  • Eigenvectors of Gaussian Covariance matrix

This refresher WILL revise these topics.

Why Gaussians?

Gaussian distributions are widely used in machine learning:

Why Gaussians?

Gaussian distributions are widely used in machine learning:

  • (^) Central Limit Theorem!

X¯n = X 1 + X 2 + · · · + Xn

Why Gaussians?

Gaussian distributions are widely used in machine learning:

  • (^) Central Limit Theorem!

X¯n = X 1 + X 2 + · · · + Xn √ n X¯n −→ Nd

x; μ, σ^2

Why Gaussians?

Gaussian distributions are widely used in machine learning:

  • (^) Central Limit Theorem!

Why Gaussians?

Gaussian distributions are widely used in machine learning:

  • (^) Central Limit Theorem!
  • Gaussians are convenient computationally;

Why Gaussians?

Gaussian distributions are widely used in machine learning:

  • (^) Central Limit Theorem!
  • Gaussians are convenient computationally;
  • (^) Mixtures of Gaussians (studied later in the class) are sufficient to approximate a wide range of distributions;
  • (^) Closely related to squared loss (will study it later), an important error measure in statistics.

Reminder: univariate Gaussian distribution

N (x; μ, σ^2 ) =

(2πσ^2 )^1 /^2

exp

2 σ^2 (x − μ)^2

mean μ determines location variance σ^2 ; standard deviation

σ^2 determines the spread around μ

N (x|μ, σ^2 )

x

2 σ

μ

Moments

Reminder: expectation of a RV x is E [x] ,

xp(x)dx, so

E [x] =

−∞

xN (x; μ, σ^2 )dx = μ

Moments

Reminder: expectation of a RV x is E [x] ,

xp(x)dx, so

E [x] =

−∞

xN (x; μ, σ^2 )dx = μ

Variance of x is var x , E

[

(x − E [x])^2

]

, and