Statistical Inference: Confidence Intervals & Hypothesis Testing for Means & Proportions, Study notes of Statistics

Instructions for calculating confidence intervals and performing hypothesis tests for the differences between means and proportions of two independent or dependent samples. Topics include formulas for confidence intervals and test statistics, as well as examples and instructions for small sample sizes. The document also covers the use of t-distributions and f-distributions in certain cases.

Typology: Study notes

Pre 2010

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STAT 301 TA : Lisa Chung [email protected]
DISCUSSION 11
(Mar. 11. 2004)
Two Samples
Means, when independent
(1 α)100% Confidence Interval for µ1µ2
(( ¯x1¯x2)zα
2ss2
1
n1
+s2
2
n2
,( ¯x1¯x2) + zα
2ss2
1
n1
+s2
2
n2
)
Test statistic for H0:µ1µ2=µ0
Z=(¯
X1¯
X2)µ0
qs2
1
n1+s2
2
n2
N(0,1)
When two samples are dependent, calculate the difference of each matched pair of observatiosthereby
forming a single collapsed sample, then apply the appropriate one sample test.
Small samples, when independent
If n1<30 and/or n2<30, then use t-distribution, provided H0:σ2
1=σ2
2, informally,1
4<s2
1
s2
2
<4.
Then common value of σ2
1and σ2
2can be estimated by the weighted mean of s2
1and s2
2
s2
pooled =(n11)s2
1+ (n21)s2
2
n1+n22
ˆs.e. =rs2
pooled(1
n1
+1
n2
)
(1 α)100% Confidence Interval for µ1µ2
(( ¯x1¯x2)tdf , α
2rs2
pooled(1
n1
+1
n2
),( ¯x1¯x2) + tdf , α
2rs2
pooled(1
n1
+1
n2
))
, df= n1+n22
Test statistic for H0:µ1µ2=µ0
T=(¯
X1¯
X2)µ0
qs2
pooled(1
n1+1
n2)tdf
Variance If X1N(µ1, σ1),X2N(µ2, σ2), H0:σ2
1=σ2
2, then, F=s2
1
s2
2
Fn11,n21
Proportion
Office: 1335 MSC, 263-5948 1 Office Hour: Wed.1:00-2:00 and Thurs. 11:00-12:00
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STAT 301 TA : Lisa Chung [email protected]

DISCUSSION 11

(Mar. 11. 2004)

Two Samples

Means, when independent

  • (1 − α)100% Confidence Interval for μ 1 − μ 2

(( ¯x 1 − x¯ 2 ) − z α 2

s^21 n 1

s^22 n 2 , ( ¯x 1 − x¯ 2 ) + z α 2

s^21 n 1

s^22 n 2

  • Test statistic for H 0 : μ 1 − μ 2 = μ 0

Z =

( X¯ 1 − X¯ 2 ) − μ 0 √ s^21 n 1 +^

s^22 n 2

N (0, 1)

When two samples are dependent, calculate the difference of each matched pair of observatiosthereby forming a single collapsed sample, then apply the appropriate one sample test.

Small samples, when independent

  • If n 1 < 30 and/or n 2 < 30, then use t-distribution, provided H 0 : σ^21 = σ^22 , informally, 14 < s

(^21) s^22 <^ 4.

  • Then common value of σ^21 and σ^22 can be estimated by the weighted mean of s^21 and s^22

s^2 pooled =

(n 1 − 1)s^21 + (n 2 − 1)s^22 n 1 + n 2 − 2

s.e.ˆ =

s^2 pooled(

n 1

n 2

  • (1 − α)100% Confidence Interval for μ 1 − μ 2

(( ¯x 1 − x¯ 2 ) − tdf, α 2

s^2 pooled(

n 1

n 2

), ( ¯x 1 − x¯ 2 ) + tdf, α 2

s^2 pooled(

n 1

n 2

, df= n 1 + n 2 − 2

  • Test statistic for H 0 : μ 1 − μ 2 = μ 0 T = ( ¯X^1 −^ q X¯^2 )−μ^0 s^2 pooled( (^) n^11 + (^) n^12 ) tdf

Variance If X 1 N (μ 1 , σ 1 ),X 2 N (μ 2 , σ 2 ), H 0 : σ^21 = σ^22 , then, F = s

(^21) s^22 Fn^1 −^1 ,n^2 −^1

Proportion

Office: 1335 MSC, 263-5948 1 Office Hour: Wed.1:00-2:00 and Thurs. 11:00-12:

STAT 301 TA : Lisa Chung [email protected]

  • The confidence interval for π 1 − π 2

(( ˆπ 1 − πˆ 2 ) − zα/ 2

π ˆ 1 (1 − πˆ 1 ) n 1

πˆ 2 (1 − πˆ 2 ) n 2 , ( ˆπ 1 − πˆ 2 ) + zα/ 2

π ˆ 1 (1 − πˆ 1 ) n 1

πˆ 2 (1 − πˆ 2 ) n 2

  • Test for H 0 : π 1 − π 2 = 0 πpooledˆ = X n^11 ++Xn 22 , s.e. 0 =

πpooled(1 − πpooled) ∗

1 n 1 +^

1 n 2 Test statistic Z = ( ˆπ^1 − s.e.^ πˆ^20 ) −^0 N(0,1)

  • Alternative method- χ^2 test for H 0 : π 1 − π 2 = 0 X^2 =

∑ (^) (Obs−Exp) 2 Exp χ 2 1

Example 1. The arrival time of my usual morning bus,B, is normally distributed with a neam ETA at 8 a.m. and a s.d. of 4 minutes. My arrival time, A, at the bus stop is also normally distributed with a mean ETA at 7 : 50 a.m.and a s.d. of 3 minutes. With what probability can I expect to catch the bus?

Example 2.Assume that population cholesterol level is normally distributed. a. Consider a small clinical trial, design to measure the efficacy of a new cholesterol-lowing drug against placebo. A group of six high-cholesterol patients is randomized to either a treatment arm of a control arm. b. Now imagine that the same drug is tested using another pilot study, with a different design. Serum cholesterol levels of 3 patients are measured at the beginning of the study, then remeasured after six month treatment period on the drug.

Example 3.Test of independence Imagine that a marketing research study surveys a random sample of n=2000 consumers about their responses regarding two brands of a certain product.Consider the null hypothesis, H 0 : πA|B = πA|Bc , i.e. the probability of liking A, given that B is liked , is equal to probability of liking A, givan that B is not liked.

Office: 1335 MSC, 263-5948 2 Office Hour: Wed.1:00-2:00 and Thurs. 11:00-12: