3 Questions for Quiz 4 - Statistical Methods | STA 2023, Quizzes of Data Analysis & Statistical Methods

Material Type: Quiz; Class: Statistical Methods; Subject: STA: Statistics; University: Valencia Community College; Term: Fall 2004;

Typology: Quizzes

Pre 2010

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Quiz # 4 STA2023
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ˆ
confidence intervals, hypothesis tests for proportions
Provide all of your answers/explanations/work in the spaces provided. However, you may attach
additional work if you want to. Write your quiz up with your name, date, and the time and days that you
attend the class. Show all work for full credit. Your submitted quiz should be neat, clear and detailed. It
should not be a rough draft. When in doubt, include as much relevant, correct information pertaining to
your answer as possible. Remember, start early and seek out help if you “get stuck.” There are three
printed pages to this quiz.
1. (11 pts. total) An association of Christmas tree growers in Indiana sponsored a sample survey of
Indiana households to help improve the marketing of Christmas trees. The researchers decided to
use a random telephone survey and estimated that each telephone interview would
take about 2 minutes. Nine trained students in agribusiness marketing were to
make the phone calls between 1:00 pm and 8:00 pm on a Sunday. After
discussing problems related to people not being at home or being unwilling to
answer the questions, the survey team proposed a sample size of 500. Several
of the questions asked demographic information about the household; the key
questions of interest had responses of “Yes” or “No.” For example, “Did you have
a Christmas tree this year?” Of the 500 respondents, 421 answered “Yes” to this particular
question.
a. Construct, showing all values substituted into your formula, a 95% confidence interval
for the proportion of all Indiana households who had a Christmas tree last year. The
confidence interval should be given in interval notation.
b. Interpret the confidence interval given in part a. Remember to interpret the result in full
english sentences (no notation, use story problem situation with units of measure where
applicable).
c. State in detail, citing values from the story problem situation, all of the reasons why we
are allowed to construct the confidence interval from part a.
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Quiz # 4 STA

p ˆ^ confidence intervals, hypothesis tests for proportions

Provide all of your answers/explanations/work in the spaces provided. However, you may attach additional work if you want to. Write your quiz up with your name, date, and the time and days that you attend the class. Show all work for full credit. Your submitted quiz should be neat, clear and detailed. It should not be a rough draft. When in doubt, include as much relevant, correct information pertaining to your answer as possible. Remember, start early and seek out help if you “get stuck.” There are three printed pages to this quiz.

  1. (11 pts. total) An association of Christmas tree growers in Indiana sponsored a sample survey of Indiana households to help improve the marketing of Christmas trees. The researchers decided to use a random telephone survey and estimated that each telephone interview would take about 2 minutes. Nine trained students in agribusiness marketing were to make the phone calls between 1:00 pm and 8:00 pm on a Sunday. After discussing problems related to people not being at home or being unwilling to answer the questions, the survey team proposed a sample size of 500. Several of the questions asked demographic information about the household; the key questions of interest had responses of “Yes” or “No.” For example, “Did you have a Christmas tree this year?” Of the 500 respondents, 421 answered “Yes” to this particular question.

a. Construct, showing all values substituted into your formula, a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all Indiana households who had a Christmas tree last year. The confidence interval should be given in interval notation.

b. Interpret the confidence interval given in part a. Remember to interpret the result in full english sentences (no notation, use story problem situation with units of measure where applicable).

c. State in detail, citing values from the story problem situation, all of the reasons why we are allowed to construct the confidence interval from part a.

  1. (7 pts. total) DR. DOG: Can Dogs Detect Cancer by Smell? A recent study investigated whether dogs can be trained to distinguish a patient with bladder cancer by smelling certain compounds released in the patient’s urine. (Article by C.M. Willis et al., British Medical Journal , vol. 329, September 25, 2004.) Six dogs of varying breeds were trained to discriminate between urine from patients with bladder cancer and urine from control patients without it. The dogs were taught to indicate which among several specimens was from the bladder cancer patient by lying beside it. An experiment was conducted to analyze how the dogs’ ability to detect the correct urine specimen compared to what would be expected with random guessing. Each of the six dogs was tested with nine trials. In each trial, one urine sample from a bladder cancer patient was randomly placed among six control urine samples. In the total of 54 trials with the six dogs, the dogs made the

correct selection 22 times. Let p denote the proportion of an

“infinite” number of trials where a dog makes the correct selection. Since the urine from the bladder cancer patient was one of seven

specimens, with random guessing

p =.

Did this study provide strong evidence that the dogs’ predictions were better than with random guessing?

State the appropriate H 0 and H a to test this suspicion. Carry out the test at the 1% level, showing

all steps clearly labeled, including giving the test statistic value derived from its formula with substituted values, and including the calculated P-value showing proper inputs to normalcdf. Remember to interpret the result in full english sentences (no notation, use story problem situation with units of measure where applicable).