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Problem set solutions for ece 313 at the university of illinois, summer 2003. The problems cover various topics in probability theory, including uniform and poisson distributions, joint and marginal probability mass functions, conditional probability, and continuous random variables. Students are expected to solve problems related to finding probabilities, expected values, and variances.
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of Illinois Page 1 of 3 Summer 2003
Assigned: Thursday, July 24
Due: Thursday, July 31
Reading: Ross Chapters 6.1-6.
Problems:
1. The probability of heads of a random coin is a random variable P uniform in the interval
(a) Find P{0.3 ≤ P ≤ 0.7}.
(b) The coin is tossed 10 times and heads shows 6 times. Find the posteriori probability that
P is between 0.3 and 0.7.
2. We place at random 100 points in the interval (0,100). Find the probability that in the
interval (0,0.1) there will be one and only one point
(a) Exactly
(b) Using the Poisson approximation
3. The discrete random variables X and Y have joint pmf p X,Y
(u,v) given by
v↑ u→ 0 1 3 5
(a) Find the marginal pmfs p X
(u) and p Y
(v) of X and Y.
(b) Are the random variables X and Y independent?
(c) Find P{ X ≤ Y } and P{ X + Y ≤ 8}.
(d) Find p X | Y
(u|3), E[ X | Y =3], and var( X | Y =3).
4. The number of α-particles emitted by a source during a unit time interval can be modeled
as a Poisson random variable X with parameter λ. The α-particles are detected by means
of a (imperfect) Geiger counter which detects a particle with probability p < 1. The
detections of the various particles can be considered to be independent events. Thus, if n
particles have been emitted, the Geiger counter reading can be modeled as a binomial
random variable Y with parameters (n,p). In short, p Y | X
given that X = n, is a binomial pmf: p Y | X
n
k
p
k (1–p)
n–k for 0 ≤ k ≤ n. (Note that
Y ≤ X always: the counter does not mistakenly count a particle when no particle is
present, i.e. there are no false alarms! but the counter does occasionally fail to detect a
particle).
(a) Sketch the u-v plane and the joint pmf of X and Y. Precision is not required in the sizes
of the blobs you draw, but be sure that you don’t put masses where they do not belong.
(b) What is the unconditional pmf of Y?
(c) What is the conditional pmf of X given Y = k?
5. The jointly continuous random variables X and Y have joint pdf given by
f X,Y
(u,v) =
2 exp –(u + v),0 < u < v < ∞,
0, elsewhere.
(a) Sketch the u-v plane and indicate on it the region over which f X,Y
(u,v) is nonzero.
(b) Find the marginal pdfs of X and Y.
(c) Are the random variables X and Y independent?
(d) Find P{ Y > 3 X }.
(e) For α > 0, find P{ X + Y ≤ α}.
of Illinois Page 2 of 3 Summer 2003
(f) Use the result in part (e) to determine the pdf of the random variable Z = X + Y.
6. The jointly continuous random variables X and Y have joint pdf
f X , Y
(u,v) =
1/2,0^ ≤^ u^ <^ 1, 0^ ≤^ v^ <^ 1, and 0^ ≤^ u + v^ <^1
3/2,0 ≤ u < 1, 0 ≤ v < 1, and 1 ≤ u + v < 2
0,otherwise.
Find f X
(u), P{ X + Y ≤ 3/2} and P{ X
) variables.
(a) What is the joint pdf f X , Y
(u,v) of X and Y?
(b) Sketch the u-v plane and indicate on it the region over which you need to integrate the
joint pdf in order to find P{ X
α
}. Then, compute P{ X
α
}. Hint:
read the Solutions to Problems 5(b) of Problem Set #1 and Problem 4(a) of Problem Set
(c) Now, let Z = X
denote the squared distance of the random point ( X , Y ) from the
origin. Use the result of part (b) to deduce the pdf of Z.
From here onwards, assume σ
= 1 so that X and Y are independent unit Gaussian RVs.
(d) Express P{| X | > α} in terms of the complementary unit Gaussian CDF function Q(x), and
use this to write P{| X | > α, | Y | > α} in terms of Q(x). (Remember commas mean
intersections).
(e) Sketch the u-v plane and show on it the region over which you must integrate the joint
pdf to find P{| X | > α, | Y | > α}. Compare the sketches in parts (b) and (d) to deduce that
P{| X | > α, | Y | > α} ≤ P{ X
2α
(f) Show that the inequality of part (d) implies that Q(x) ≤ (1/2)•exp(–x
/2) as was proved
earlier in Problem 4(b) of Problem Set #6.
8. Let ( X , Y ) have joint pdf f X , Y
(u, v) that is a circularly symmetric function, i.e., f X , Y
(u, v)
can be expressed as g(r) where r = u
+v
. The random point ( X , Y ) is at distance
from the origin.
(a) Show that for α ≥ 0, P{ R ≤ α} = ⌡
α
2 π•r•g(r) dr.
(b) Use the formula for differentiating an integral that we studied in class to show that
f R
(α) =
d
du
P{ R ≤ α} = 2π•α•g(α) for α > 0.
(c) Use the result of part (b) to deduce the pdf of R if ( X , Y ) is uniformly distributed on the
unit disc, viz. the interior of the circle of radius 1 centered at the origin
(d) Now suppose that ( X , Y ) has joint pdf f X , Y
(u, v) =
C 1–u
–v
, u
+v
0, elsewhere.
What is the value of C?
(e) Find P{ X
9. Two resistors are connected in series to a one-volt voltage source. Suppose that the
resistance values R 1 and
2 (measured in ohms) are independent random variables, each