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An explanation of how to calculate the combined uncertainty of a measurement result from multiple uncertainty components. It covers the basics of variance and the law of propagation of uncertainty, and presents two common situations for calculating combined uncertainties: addition/subtraction and multiplication/division. The document also includes a simple calculation model example to help derive the equation for multiplication and division cases.
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Calculation techniques in combining uncertainties
From the face expressions of participants attending my measurement uncertainty
courses, I could tell that some of them had yet to grasp the important point of calculating
the combined uncertainty from a series of uncertainty components. I hope the following
notes can bring more clarity to this issue.
When we are presented with few standard uncertainties u ( x i
), expressed in standard
deviations from an uncertainty contributing component, we need to find out what the
combined standard uncertainty of this component is. The best approach to begin with is
to remember a basic definition that โthe squared standard deviation is a varianceโ.
So, the combined standard uncertainty can first be evaluated by its total or combined
variance which is, of course, the sum of various variances from the uncertainty
component. This is referred to as the Law of Propagation of Uncertainty.
Mathematically, we can express it as in equation [1], assuming that each uncertainty
contribution is independent:
2
๐
2
๐
2
where ๐
๐
๐๐ฆ
๐๐ฅ
๐
) is the sensitive coefficient of x
i
.
This equation leads us to two simple situations:
i
is simply added to or subtracted from all the others to obtain the
result y , the contribution to the uncertainty in y is simply the uncertainty u ( x
i
) in
x
i
. For example,
given y = x 1
+ x 2
with uncertainties u ( x 1
) and u ( x 2
), then
u ( y )
2
= u ( x 1
2
)
2
, or, ๐ข(๐ฆ) = โ๐ข(๐ฅ
1
)
2
2
)
2
[2]
2
contribution to the relative uncertainty in y , u(y)/y , is the relative uncertainty
u(x
i
)/x
i
in x
i
. For example,
given ๐ฆ =
๐ฅ
1
๐ฅ
2
, then
๐ข(๐ฆ)
๐ฆ
2
๐ข(๐ฅ
1
)
๐ฅ
1
2
๐ข(๐ฅ
2
)
๐ฅ
2
2
or
๐ข(๐ฅ
1
)
๐ฅ
1
2
๐ข(๐ฅ
2
)
๐ฅ
2
2
[3]
The question now is how do we derive the equation [3] from the equation [1]. This can
be answered by looking at a simple calculation model example as shown below.
We know the density of a substance is ๐ =
๐
๐
[4]
where m is the mass of substance and V , its volume. Therefore, the combined
uncertainty is ๐ข(๐)
2
๐๐
๐๐
2
๐
2
๐๐
๐๐
2
๐
2
[5]
Now, by differentiating the equation [4], we have:
๐๐
๐๐
1
๐
and
๐๐
๐๐
โ๐
๐
2
So, equation [5] becomes ๐ข(๐)
2
1
๐
2
๐
2
โ๐
๐
2
2
๐
2
[5a]
When equation [5a] is divided by equation [4] on both sides of the equation, we should
get: (
๐ข(๐)
๐
2
๐ข
๐
๐
2
๐ข
๐
๐
2
or,
๐ข
( ๐
) = ๐ ร
โ
(
๐ข
๐
๐
)
2
๐ข
๐
๐
)
2
It is therefore correct that for a case of multiplication and division, we have to work on
the relative standard uncertainty or coefficient of variation, CV.