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Confounding and interaction effects in regression analysis. Confounding occurs when the addition of an extra variable significantly alters existing coefficients, while interaction effects represent the unique impact of a combination of variables. How to test for interaction effects using sas proc glm and reg, and how to identify confounding variables by comparing full and reduced regression models. Precision evaluation is also covered, which involves assessing the interval around the regression coefficient to determine the best model.
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Ch. 11. Confounding and Interaction in Regression
I. Introduction A. Confounding
II. Interaction Effect A. For a given number of X variables (p), we can have a maximum of (2p^ - 1) - p interaction effects if the number is smaller than n - 1 where n is sample size. B. If we have four(4) X variables (X1-X4), we may have 11 interaction effects assuming we have over 16 subjects. Fist order: X1X2, X1X3, X1X4, X2X3, X2X4, X3X Second order: X1X2X3, X1X2X4, X2X3X Third order: X1X2X3X C. In practice, it is very difficult to interpret any interaction effects beyond the second order. D. Using human judgment we typically select some of the interaction effects for testing. E. For model testing, use PROC GLM and test for X1X2 or any other product form. F. For model development, use PROC REG and create a new variable for the product form (e.g., create X12=X1X and use X12 for X1*X2).
G. We test the highest order interaction effect first, if it is significant, we are in trouble. If it is NOT significant, then, go ahead to test the next highest
order, and so on. H. More details will be discussed in 6290.
III. Confounding Effect A. Assume all suspicious X variables for confounding are NOT involved in the interaction effect. B. Procedure
IV. Precision Evaluation A. When we have several sets of suspicious X variables and all of them give us different b 1 s for X1, we need to consider another criterion for the best model. B. The precision can be evaluated by checking the interval (95% CI) about b 1. C. The model which gives us the smallest interval will be selected. D. Formula for CI about b 1.
95% CI = b 1 ± tα/2 (SE),
where, tα/2 = t-critical value with df of df(error).