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As a systematic procedure for avoiding bias in assignment to conditions or groups, if we can avoid said bias, then we can assert that any ...
Typology: Study notes
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As a strict technical definition, an experiment is a study or research design in which we MANIPULATE variables.
This also implies that experimental designs are characterized by RANDOM ASSIGNMENT to groups, treatments, and/or conditions.
That is, the researcher has high levels of control over the WHO, WHAT, WHEN, WHERE and HOW of the study.
MANIPULATION and RANDOM ASSIGNMENT are the defining characteristics of experimental designs.
! Ideally, all research designs and studies should use random sampling.
! In addition, experimental research designs call for random assignment to groups.
! The use of random sampling and random assignment gives the strongest case for causal inferences and generalizability.
NATURALLY OCCURRING GROUPS
A. Advantages
B. Disadvantages
A. Advantages
B. Disadvantages
! An advantage that experimental designs have over other research designs is that they permit us to make causal inferences.
! Causation implies the ability to make statements about the absence or presence of cause-effect relationships.
! A causal inference is a much stronger statement than a simply and association between variables.
! While there are several methods —some of which are discussed in the text—to experimentally identify causality, in conjunction with manipulation (and use of random assignment), there are three additional conditions that must be met to infer cause.
(a) Contiguity —between the presumed cause and effect. (b) Temporal precedence —the cause has to precede the effect in time. (c) Constant conjunction —the cause has to be present whenever the effect is obtained.
! The ability to make causal inferences is dependent on how well or the extent to which alternative causes or explanations are ruled out.
! Cause—is a necessary and sufficient condition.
! An event that only causes an effect sometimes is NOT a cause.
! The assessment of causation technically demands the use of manipulation.
! Caveats to determining causality:
(a) Concerning cause-effect relationships, it cannot be said that they are true. We can only say that they have NOT been falsified.
(b) The use of correlational methods to infer casual relationships should be avoided.
(c) Although one might find that r =/ 0 or that the regression equation is significant, this does NOT prove or indicate a causal relationship (i.e., that X caused Y to change]. At best we can only say that there is a relationship between X and Y.
Thus, from the perspective of a methodological purist, one cannot make causal inferences on the basis of correlational data or designs.
Summary of Causation
With the scientific method, a number of conditions must be met to make strong causal claims (weaker conclusions of causality can be made when less than all these conditions are present).
O The cause X must precede the consequence Y in time. Thus, X is manipulated (or measured) and then Y is measured. [temporal precedence and constant conjunction]
O Statistical covariation between X and Y must be present. [constant conjunction and contiguity] This covariation must be statistically significant , and thus unlikely to be due to random chance fluctuation alone. Stated differently, random chance should be ruled out as a plausible alternative cause of the observed covariation between X and Y.
O Alternative causes of Y must be controlled, either via random assignment to groups (perhaps with a preceding matching procedure for the most plausible alternative cause) or via statistical controls.
2×2 factorial design P IVA = 2 levels P IVB = 2 levels
2×2×2 factorial design P IVA = 2 levels P IVB = 2 levels P IVC = 2 levels
2×3 factorial design P IVA = 2 levels P IVB = 3 levels
P It has been alleged that SUV A has a very high propensity to rollover and thus is patently unsafe. The manufacturer of SUV A argues that the problem is not with its vehicle but instead the tires that are mounted on the vehicle, specifically, TIRE A.
R How would one determine whether the problem is with the tires or the vehicle?
R An experimental design investigating this issue would be a basic 2×2 factorial design.
Tire A
Tire B
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
A1 A2 A
B B
A and B main effect significant (d)
B
B
0
10
20
30
40
50
A1 A2 A
B
B
B
B
A main effect and interaction significant (e)
0
10
20
30
40
50
A1 A2 A
B
B
B
B
B main effect and interaction significant (f)
Hypothetical Data Illustrating Different Kinds of Main and Interaction Effects (continued)
A1 A2 A3 Mean
B1 10 20 30 20
B2 40 50 60 50
Mean 25 35 45
A1 A2 A3 Mean
B1 20 30 40 30
B2 30 30 30 30
Mean 25 30 35
A1 A2 A3 Mean
B1 10 20 30 20
B2 50 40 30 40
Mean 30 30 30
20
30
40
50
60
70
A1 A2 A
B
B
B
B
A and B main effect and interaction significant (g)
Hypothetical Data Illustrating Different Kinds of Main and Interaction Effects (continued)
A1 A2 A3 Mean
B1 30 50 70 50
B2 20 30 40 30
Mean 25 40 55
A. Advantages :
B. Disadvantages :