Face Value - Probability - Exam, Exams of Probability and Statistics

This is the Exam of Probability which includes Maximum, Hazard Rate Function, Continuous Random Variable, Density Function, Definition, Compute, Geometric, Geometric Random Variable etc. Key important points are: Face Value, Impossible Event, Certain Event, Heads or Tails, Up Faces, Seven Appears, Probability, Odds Against, Rolling, Math and English

Typology: Exams

2012/2013

Uploaded on 02/21/2013

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Final Exam Review Package 2
Basic Probability Concepts
(Questions #33 - 44 are a reminder of some key and basic probability concepts, but there
will not be any fill in the blank questions on your exam!)
32. P (certain event) = _________
33. P (impossible event) = __________
34. P (E) can never be larger than _________ or never smaller than ______.
35. If a single die is rolled, and the number on the up face is observed, then n (S) = ____
36. If two dice are rolled, and the numbers on the up faces are observed, then n (S) =___
37. If a coin is tossed, and the up face is noted as heads or tails, then n (S) = _____
38. If three coins are tossed, and the up faces are noted as heads or tails, then n (S) = ___
39. If a card is drawn from a deck of playing cards, and the face value and suit are noted,
then n (S)= _
40. If E is the event that a sum of seven appears on the up faces when two dice are rolled,
then n(E) = ___
41. If P (E) = 0.4, then P (not E) = _______
42. If P (E) = 0.3, P (F) = 0.2, and P (E and F) = 0.1, then P (E or F) = _________
43. If P (E) = 0.4, P (F) = 0.3, and E and F are independent events, then P (E and F) = ___
44. If P (E) = 0.3, then the odds in favor of event E are ________
45. Using a regular deck of 52 playing cards, what is the probability of each of the following:
a) Drawing an ace b) Drawing a card that has a value less than eight
46. Rolling a pair of dice, find each of the following:
a) The probability of rolling a seven or an eleven.
b) The odds against rolling a seven or an eleven
47. In school where all students take Math and English, 80% of the students pass Math, 93% of the
students pass English, and 4% of the students fail both. What percentages of students fail either
Math of English or both?
48. A box contains 8 red balls and 5 blue balls. You randomly select three balls at the same time.
What is the probability that exactly two of the balls will be red?
49. Find the odds in favor of rolling three consecutive totals of five with two dice.
Probability Models - The Last Unit (approximately 25% of the night school 2011 final exam)
50. A drawer contains 10 black socks and 10 white socks. If you pull out 4 socks, what is the
probability of picking out two matching pairs?
51. There are 16 candies left in my bag of jelly beans; 1 red 3 green,7 brown (ugh..sounds
disgusting!) and 5 yellow. Before giving 12 to my superior Data Management class, I take four
for myself. What is the probability I have chosen one of each colour?
52. Four cards are selected at once from a deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that you get one
from each suit?
53. A committee is to be formed to study the Canadian Immigration policy. The committee is to be
chosen from 11 recent immigrants, and 8 second-generation citizens. If the committee is to
consist of 7 people, determine the probability that there are exactly 3 recent immigrants on the
committee
54. A particular disease is fatal to sheep 20% of the time. If a flock of 12 contract the disease,
determine: a) the probability that 4 will die
b) the probability that no more than 2 will die
c) the number that you can expect will die
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Final Exam Review Package 2

Basic Probability Concepts (Questions #33 - 44 are a reminder of some key and basic probability concepts, but there will not be any fill in the blank questions on your exam!)

  1. P (certain event) = _________
  2. P (impossible event) = __________
  3. P (E) can never be larger than _________ or never smaller than ______.
  4. If a single die is rolled, and the number on the up face is observed, then n (S) = ____
  5. If two dice are rolled, and the numbers on the up faces are observed, then n (S) =___
  6. If a coin is tossed, and the up face is noted as heads or tails, then n (S) = _____
  7. If three coins are tossed, and the up faces are noted as heads or tails, then n (S) = ___
  8. If a card is drawn from a deck of playing cards, and the face value and suit are noted, then n (S)= _
  9. If E is the event that a sum of seven appears on the up faces when two dice are rolled, then n(E) = ___
  10. If P (E) = 0.4, then P (not E) = _______
  11. If P (E) = 0.3, P (F) = 0.2, and P (E and F) = 0.1, then P (E or F) = _________
  12. If P (E) = 0.4, P (F) = 0.3, and E and F are independent events, then P (E and F) = ___
  13. If P (E) = 0.3, then the odds in favor of event E are ________
  14. Using a regular deck of 52 playing cards, what is the probability of each of the following: a) Drawing an ace b) Drawing a card that has a value less than eight
  15. Rolling a pair of dice, find each of the following: a) The probability of rolling a seven or an eleven. b) The odds against rolling a seven or an eleven
  16. In school where all students take Math and English, 80% of the students pass Math, 93% of the students pass English, and 4% of the students fail both. What percentages of students fail either Math of English or both?
  17. A box contains 8 red balls and 5 blue balls. You randomly select three balls at the same time. What is the probability that exactly two of the balls will be red?
  18. Find the odds in favor of rolling three consecutive totals of five with two dice.

Probability Models - The Last Unit (approximately 25% of the night school 2011 final exam)

  1. A drawer contains 10 black socks and 10 white socks. If you pull out 4 socks, what is the probability of picking out two matching pairs?
  2. There are 16 candies left in my bag of jelly beans; 1 red 3 green,7 brown (ugh..sounds disgusting!) and 5 yellow. Before giving 12 to my superior Data Management class, I take four for myself. What is the probability I have chosen one of each colour?
  3. Four cards are selected at once from a deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that you get one from each suit?
  4. A committee is to be formed to study the Canadian Immigration policy. The committee is to be chosen from 11 recent immigrants, and 8 second-generation citizens. If the committee is to consist of 7 people, determine the probability that there are exactly 3 recent immigrants on the committee
  5. A particular disease is fatal to sheep 20% of the time. If a flock of 12 contract the disease, determine: a) the probability that 4 will die b) the probability that no more than 2 will die c) the number that you can expect will die
  1. A vacuum sales person estimates that they are able to make a sale 40% of the time. If they make 8 presentations, a) how may sales should they make? b) which is greater? The probability that she make 3 sales, or the probability that she sells to everyone?
  2. A five card hand is dealt. What is the probability that you are dealt: a) 2 Aces b) 2Aces, 2Kings, 1 Jack c) All Hearts d) 4 Hearts (You may leave your answers in un-simplified form)
  3. Using the tables provided, calculate each of the following: a) P(Z$0.83) if Z~N(0,1) b) P(X#15.6) if X~N(12.4, 2.5 ) c) P(-6<X<9) if X~N(3, 16)
  4. The Gallup Poll is a monthly survey of a sample of 1100 Canadian Adults. One purpose of the poll is to determine the popularity of various political parties. If 35% of the adults surveyed support “Party A”, what is the probability that at least 400 people in the sample will support “Party A”

Mixed Probability

  1. What is the probability that you roll a multiple of 3: a) on a single die b) on two dice c) on two dice 4 times in a row
  2. What is the probability that you draw an Ace or a Face from a deck of cards?
  3. A book shelf contains an equal number of books in the areas of Math, Philosophy, Fiction, Biography, and History. If a book is chosen at random: a) What is the probability that is about your favourite subject....ie....MATH!! b) What are the odds against it being a math book? c) What is the probability that the book is neither a Fiction novel or a Biography?
  4. The local track has 4 lanes. If the lanes are randomly assigned to 4 runners, what is the probability that a) Emily is assigned to the outside lane? b) Emily will be running next to Miss Morrison...I can run...
  5. A game consists of tossing a coin, cutting a deck of cards, and rolling a die. a) What is the probability that you get a head, an ace, and an even number b) What are the odds in favour of getting a head, a heart, and a perfect square?
  6. Given the odds against A are 5:6, what is the probability of A?
  7. Given P(A) = , odds in favour of B are 1:5, and A and B are independent events

a) Find the probability that A and B will occur. b) Find the probability that A or B will occur

  1. A bag of marbles contains 12 “solid colours” and 18 “cats-eyes”. If you reach into the bag and withdraw 5 marbles, what is the probability that you will select: A. Exactly one “solid colour”? B. No “cats-eyes”? C. At least two “cats-eyes”?
  2. A manufacturing company produces plastic parts with a defect rate of 3%. For quality control, a sample of 50 parts is examined. A. What is the probability that four parts will be defective? B. What is the probability that at least two parts will be defective? C. For a sample of 200 parts, how many defective parts could you expect to find?
  1. The game of BINGO has 15 numbers associated in each letter of the word BINGO. For example, the numbers 1 through 15 are associated with the letter B. If your Bingo card has 5 different numbers under the letter; what is the probability that : a) On the first draw, one of your numbers under the B is drawn? b) On the second draw, one of your numbers under the B is drawn given on the first draw one of your numbers under the B was drawn.
  2. A drawer contains 5 red socks and 10 blue socks. If three socks are selected at random, what is the probability of choosing: a) A pair of red socks b) A pair of blue socks c) A matched pair of socks
  3. Cattle contracting a certain disease do not survive 20% of the time. If a herd of 15 cattle contract this disease, what is the probability that a) exactly 4 die b) at least 2 die c) how many could be expected to die?
  4. You roll a die and observe the face value. If you roll a 1 or a 6 you will win $5, otherwise you lose $2.25. If you play this game a lot, what can you expect to win or lose? (Night 2011 skip)
  5. In a certain region of Canada it is estimated that it rains on 70% of the days in a year. In a month of 30 days, what is the probability of rain on more than 20 days in the month?
  6. In a class of 30 students 9 are cigarette smokers. A research worker selects a random sample of 10 students for a research project. Find the probability that 7 students in the group are cigarette smokers.
  7. From a population that contains 60% Whig voters and 40% Tory voters a sample of 20 people is selected randomly. a. Find the probability that 10 people in the sample will support the Whigs. b. How many Whig supporters would you expect to find in the sample?
  8. Find the probability of dealing each of the following 5 card poker hands from a well shuffled deck of cards a Full House of 3 Aces and 2 Kings
  9. How many distinct five-letter “words” can be made by using the letters in the word HAMILTON if: a. There are no restrictions? b. The letter T may not be used? c. The letter T must be used?
  10. For the word MILLIONAIRE, a. How many different “words” can be made using all the letters? b. What is the probability that the word will begin with the letter L?
  11. A committee of five it to be selected from nine boys and seven girls. In how many ways can the committee be formed if: a. There must be exactly two boys on the committee? b. The committee must be all male or all female? c. There must be at least three girls on the committee? d. What is the probability that there will be two boys on the committee?
  12. a. Find the number of different five-card hands that could be dealt from a regular deck of 52 cards. b. How many of these five-card hands would contain three aces and two kings? c. What are the odds in favour of being dealt a five-card hand containing three aces and two kings?

Multiple Choice

  1. A TV station wants to estimate the popular support for each of the candidates in an upcoming election. Which procedure would NOT be appropriate for obtaining a statistically unbiased sample? a. interviewing the presidents of labour unions about their members’ opinions b. inviting all viewers to participate in a mail-in poll c. calling a random sample selected from a list of eligible voters d. setting up a booth in the local shopping mall and interviewing every tenth person that passes by
  2. Which set of data would probably show a strong negative linear correlation? a. resale values of computers and their ages b. heights volleyball players can jump and the strength of their leg muscles c. numbers of people at a water park and the air temperature d. scores on a mathematics test and the number of hours spent studying for it
  3. John owns a small Internet company and offers his clients three different formats for the name part of their e-mail address and seven different domains for the second part of the address. In how many ways can a person set up an e-mail address through John’s company? A) 10 B) 21 C) 4 D) 12
  4. How many different combination of trees could you buy if your local garden centre has only four cedar trees and three apple trees in stock? A) 19 B) 11 C) 7 D) 12
  5. How many different sums of money can you make with a penny, a nickel, a dime, and a quarter? A) 7 B) 11 C) 12 D) 15
  6. Select the statement that BEST represents when the regression equation should be used. a. When the correlation coefficient is 0 c. When the correlation coefficient is greater than 1 b. When the correlation coefficient is near 1 or –1 d. When the correlation coefficient is less than –
  7. The following are correlation coefficients produced using linear regression models. Which coefficient gives the most confidence in making a prediction based on the model? a. –0.75 b. 0.92 c. –0.91 d. –0.

8 The linear regression equation of a line of best fit is y = –2.45 x + 8.96 and the correlation coefficient is r = –0.61. Select the statement that BEST describes the situation. a. The slope of the line is –0.61. b. The line fits the data exactly. c. The line is an approximately linear d. The correlation between the line and the pattern sloping up to the right data is not very strong.

  1. At the cafeteria, Jeff has a choice of three soups, four types of sandwich, and two desserts. In how many ways can Jeff choose his lunch if he has soup, a sandwich, and dessert? a. 9 b. 18 c. 24 d. 12
  2. The final score of a hockey game is 4 to 3. How many different scores could there have been at the end of the first period? a. 12 b. 20 c. 7 d. 5
  3. Which word has the most permutations of its letters? a) breeze b) dares c) divide d) relate
  4. How many ways can five blue pennants, four green pennants, and three red pennants be strung on a line? a. 60 b. 720 c. 27 720 d. 3 326 400

ANSWERS

Basic Probability Concepts

32. 1 (100% ) 33. 0 34. 1,0 35. 6 36. 36 37. 2 38. 8 39. 52 40. 6 41. 0.6 42. 0.4 43. 0.12 44. 3:7 45. a) b) 46. a) b) 7:2 47. 0. 48. 0.4895 49. 1:

Probability M odels

50. 0.505 51. 0.0577 52. 0.105 53.a) 0.229 54. a) 0.133 b) 0.558 c) 2. 55. a) 3.2 b) p(3) = 0.28, p(8) = 0.00065536 p(3) is greater 56. a) b) c) d)

57.a) 0.2033 b) 0.8997 c) 0.921 58. 0.

M ixed Probability

59. a) b) c) 60. 61. a) b) 4:1 c) 62.a) b) 63.a) b) 1:23 **6

  1. a) b) 66. a)** 0.25767 b) 0.0055576 c) 0.

67 a) 0.04594 b) 0.44472 c) 6 68a) 0.0032 b) 0.

69. a)0 or 0.001 b)0.7389 c)0.9999 d) 0 or 0.

Mixed

70. 544 320 71a) 40320 b) 3360 72. 56 73. 210 74. 40320 75a) 7 203 76. 2 880 77. 168 168 78. 35 79. 359 80. 19999 81a) 1540 b) 350 82a) 5/12 b) 1/2 83a) 1/15 b) 2/ 84a) 0.2418 b) 0.7282 c) 1 85a) 18.76% b) 83% c) 3 86. $0.17 / gam e 87. 0.5793 88. 0.001593608 89a) 0.12 b) 12 90. 0. 91a) 6720 b) 2520 c) 4200 92a) 3 326 400 b) 0.181818... 93. a) 1260 b) 147 c) 1596 d) 0.288 94 a) 2 598 960 b) 24 c) 1:

Multiple Choice

1. A 2. A 3. B 4. A 5.D 6. B

7.B 8. D 9. C 10. B 11. D 12. C

13. B 14. C 15. A 16. D 17. A 18. C 19. A