Practice Problems for Midterm Exam - Applied Spatial Statistics | ST 733, Exams of Statistics

Material Type: Exam; Class: Applied Spatial Statistics; Subject: Statistics; University: North Carolina State University; Term: Spring 2005;

Typology: Exams

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 03/18/2009

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ST 733 Practice Problems for Midterm Exam
Spring 2005
Midterm Exam on March 15, 2005
1. Suppose {Z(s); s D} is a spatial process defined on some domain Dsuch that
E[Z2(s)] <for all s D. Let the mean and covariance functions be defined
as,
µ(s) = E[Z(s)] and C(s, h) = Cov[Z(s), Z (s+h)],
respectively.
(a) What conditions on µ(s) and C(s, s +h) are needed such that the spatial
process is 2nd order stationary, i.e., weakly stationary?
(b) Let γ(s, h) = 1
2V ar[Z(s)Z(s+h)]2denotes the semivariance function of
the spatial process. Write γ(s, h) as a function of C(s, h). Can you write
C(s, h) as a function of γ(s, h)?
(c) What conditions on µ(s) and C(s, s +h) are needed such that the spatial
process is intrinsic stationary?
(d) Show that weak stationarity implies intrinsic stationarity. Does intrinsic
stationarity imply weak stationarity?
(e) What conditions on C(s, s +h) are needed such that the spatial process is
weakly stationary and isotropic?
(f) What conditions on γ(s, s +h) are needed such that the spatial process is
intrinsic stationary and isotropic?
2. Let Z1=Z(s1), Z2=Z(s2), . . . , Zn=Z(sn) be a sample from a weakly
stationary spatial process {Z(s); s D} having covariance function C(h) =
Cov[Z(s), Z (s+h)],s, s +h D.
(a) Show that the semivariance function, γ(h) = 1
2V ar[Z(s)Z(s+h)]2,s, s+
h D is given by γ(h) = C(0) C(h).
(b) Obtain an unbiased estimate of the semivariance function γ(h).
(c) Obtain an unbiased estimate of the covariance function C(h) given that
and unbiased estimate ˆ
C(0) of C(0).
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ST 733 Practice Problems for Midterm Exam

Spring 2005

Midterm Exam on March 15, 2005

  1. Suppose {Z(s); s ∈ D} is a spatial process defined on some domain D such that E[Z^2 (s)] < ∞ for all s ∈ D. Let the mean and covariance functions be defined as, μ(s) = E[Z(s)] and C(s, h) = Cov[Z(s), Z(s + h)], respectively.

(a) What conditions on μ(s) and C(s, s + h) are needed such that the spatial process is 2nd order stationary, i.e., weakly stationary? (b) Let γ(s, h) = 12 V ar[Z(s) − Z(s + h)]^2 denotes the semivariance function of the spatial process. Write γ(s, h) as a function of C(s, h). Can you write C(s, h) as a function of γ(s, h)? (c) What conditions on μ(s) and C(s, s + h) are needed such that the spatial process is intrinsic stationary? (d) Show that weak stationarity implies intrinsic stationarity. Does intrinsic stationarity imply weak stationarity? (e) What conditions on C(s, s + h) are needed such that the spatial process is weakly stationary and isotropic? (f) What conditions on γ(s, s + h) are needed such that the spatial process is intrinsic stationary and isotropic?

  1. Let Z 1 = Z(s 1 ), Z 2 = Z(s 2 ),... , Zn = Z(sn) be a sample from a weakly stationary spatial process {Z(s); s ∈ D} having covariance function C(h) = Cov[Z(s), Z(s + h)], ∀s, s + h ∈ D.

(a) Show that the semivariance function, γ(h) = 12 V ar[Z(s)−Z(s+h)]^2 , ∀s, s+ h ∈ D is given by γ(h) = C(0) − C(h). (b) Obtain an unbiased estimate of the semivariance function γ(h). (c) Obtain an unbiased estimate of the covariance function C(h) given that and unbiased estimate Cˆ(0) of C(0).

  1. Let Z 1 = Z(s 1 ), Z 2 = Z(s 2 ),... , Zn = Z(sn) be a sample from a intrinsic stationary spatial process {Z(s); s ∈ D} having semivariance function γ(h) = 1 2 V ar[Z(s)^ −^ Z(s^ +^ h)]

(^2) , ∀s, s + h ∈ D. A general cross-product statistic to test spatial autocorrelation is given by r =

∑n i=

∑n j=1 Wij^ Yij where Wij measures physical proximity of the sites si and sj , and Yij measures the closeness of the values Zi and Zj.

(a) Give a choice of Wij and Yij that would make r the sample lag-one omni- directional semivariogram. (b) Suppose Vi = I(Zi > z 0 ), where z 0 is some known threshold value. Assume that Vi = 1 represents a black(B) square and Vi = 0 represents a white (W) square. Give a choice of Wij and Yij that would make r the number of BW joins (c) In the context of (b), give a choice of Wij and Yij that would make r the number of BB joins. (d) In the context of (b), give a choice of Wij and Yij that would make r the number of WW joins. (e) Suppose the sites s 1 , s 2 ,... , sn are on a square lattice with m nodes, i.e., n = m^2. Define Wij such that the neighbors follow a i. “rook’s” definition, ii. “bishops’s” definition, and iii. “queen’s” definition. (f) In the context of part (e), suppose there are b black squares and we want to test the spatial autocorrelation using the BW statistic. Based on a normal approximation, obtain the p-value when i. m = 8, b = 6, ii. m = 10, b = 90 and iii. m = 15, b = 115 Based on a 5% level test would you reject the null hypothesis of no spatial autocorrelation in i., ii. and iii. above? In case(s) you reject the null hypothesis, decide if the autocorrelation is positive or negative.

  1. Decide if the following statements are true (T) or false (F)

(a) A positive value of the z statistic corresponding to Moran’s I indicates negative correlation. (b) E[(n − 1)I] = −1, where I represents Moran’s I statistic based on n ob- servations.

  1. Describe the following methods of prediction at an unsampled point and show that these methods provide unbiased estimates:

(a) Polygonal declustering and (b) Inverse distance method

  1. Given a set of validation values, describe some methods to evaluate the perfor- mance of predictive values based on a given covariance model.
  2. Consider the estimated variogram model given in problem 5 above. Suppose that you want to predict the value of the response a new point which is at a distance of 2 from each of the three points that you want to use for your prediction. Assume that the pairwise distances of these three points are all equal to 4.

(a) Obtain the kriging estimate of response along with a 95% prediction inter- val. (b) Obtain the kriging estimate of response along with a 95% prediction inter- val if the variogram estimate is given by γˆ(h) = 1 + 0.8(1 − e−^0.^2 h) if h > 0 and ˆγ(0) = 0.

  1. Decribe the diffrence between ordinary kriging (OK) and simple kriging (SK).
  2. Consider two estimates of covariance functions given by, Cˆ 1 (h) = 4ˆρ(h) and Cˆ 2 (h) = 2ˆρ(h) where ˆρ(h) is an estimate of the correlation function. Show that the ordinary kriging weights are same for both covariance function estimates.

NC State University Sujit Ghosh