
ECE 534 RANDOM PROCESSES FALL 2004
PROBLEM SET 1 Due September 8
Please visit the course website soon: courses.ece.uiuc.edu/ece534/
1. Review of Basic Probability
Assigned reading: Chapter one, “Getting started,” of the course notes, including the problems
at the end of the chapter. It would also be good to review some of the final exams from the last
six semesters of ECE413. The past ECE413 homeworks, exams, and their solutions are available
on the ECE 413 website.
Problems to be handed in:
1. Independent vs. mutually exclusive
(a) Suppose that an event Eis independent of itself. Show that either P[E] = 0 or P[E] = 1.
(b) Events Aand Bhave probabilities P[A]=0.3 and P[B]=0.4. What is P[A∪B] if Aand B
are independent? What is P[A∪B] if Aand Bare mutually exclusive?
(c) Now suppose that P[A]=0.6 and P[B]=0.8. In this case, could the events Aand Bbe
independent? Could they be mutually exclusive?
2. Conditional probability of failed device given failed attempts
A particular webserver may be working or not working. If the webserver is not working, any attempt
to access it fails. Even if the webserver is working, an attempt to access it can fail due to network
congestion beyond the control of the webserver. Suppose that the a priori probability that the server
is working is 0.8. Suppose that if the server is working, then each access attempt is successful with
probability 0.9, independently of other access attempts. Find the following quantities.
(a) P[ first access attempt fails]
(b) P[server is working |first access attempt fails ]
(c) P[second access attempt fails |first access attempt fails ]
(d) P[server is working |first and second access attempts fail ].
3. Conditional lifetimes and the memoryless property of the geometric distribution
(a) Let Xrepresent the lifetime, rounded up to an integer number of years, of a certain car battery.
Suppose that the pmf of Xis given by pX(k) = 0.2 if 3 ≤k≤7 and pX(k) = 0 otherwise. (i)
Find the probability, P[X > 3], that a three year old battery is still working. (ii) Given that the
battery is still working after five years, what is the conditional probability that the battery will
still be working three years later? (i.e. what is P[X > 8|X > 5]?)
(b) A certain Illini basketball player shoots the ball repeatedly from half court during practice.
Each shot is a success with probability pand a miss with probability 1 −p, independently of the
outcomes of previous shots. Let Ydenote the number of shots required for the first success. (i)
Express the probability that she needs more than three shots for a success, P[Y > 3], in terms of
p. (ii) Given that she already missed the first five shots, what is the conditional probability that
she will need more than three additional shots for a success? (i.e. what is P[Y > 8|Y > 5])?
(iii) What type of probability distribution does Yhave?
4. CDFs and characteristic function of a mixed type random variable
Let X= (U−0.5)+, where Uis uniformly distributed over the interval [0,1]. That is, X=U−0.5
if U−0.5≥0, and X= 0 if U−0.5<0.
(a) Find and carefully sketch the CDF FX. In particular, what is FX(0)?
(b) Find the characteristic function ΦX(u) for real values of u.
1