Resolution to Practice Problems - Introduction to Probability | MATH 5010, Assignments of Probability and Statistics

Material Type: Assignment; Class: Intro To Probability; Subject: Mathematics; University: University of Utah; Term: Summer 2008;

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Pre 2010

Uploaded on 08/30/2009

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Chapter 4 Problems
3. Let Xequal the number of dots. Then, f(x) = 1
6if x=1, . . . , 6; else,
f(x) = 0. Consequently,
EX =1×1
6+···+6×1
6=7
2
E(X2) = 12×1
6+···+62×1
6=91
6.
Therefore
Var X=91
67
22
=35
12 =2.916 ··· .
4. If Xis uniform on {1 , . . . , n}, then Var X= (n21)/12; see “Lecture 12.”
11. Because E({Xa}2) = Px(xa)2f(x)is assumed to converge nicely, we
can differentiate term by term to find that
d
da E{Xa}2=d
da X
x
(x22xa +a2)f(x)
=X
x
(−2x+2a)f(x)
=2aX
x
f(x) 2X
x
xf(x)
=2a2EX.
Set this equal to zero to find that a=EX. Also,
d2
da2E{Xa}2=X
x
2f(x) = 2,
which is positive. Positive second derivative means the minimum occurs
when the derivative is zero; that is, a=EX. But E({XEX}2) = Var X.
18. By Theorem 4 (p. 121),
E1
X=
X
k=1
1
kpqk1=p
q
X
k=1
1
kqk=p
q
X
k=1Zq
0
xk1dx
=p
qZq
0
X
k=1
xk1dx =p
qZq
0
1
1xdx
= p
qln(1q)=− p
1pln(p) = 1
p1ln(p) = ln p1
p1.
1
pf2

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Chapter 4 Problems

  1. Let X equal the number of dots. Then, f(x) = 16 if x = 1,... , 6; else, f(x) = 0. Consequently,

EX =

1 ×

6 ×

E(X^2 ) =

12 ×

62 ×

Therefore Var X =

  1. If X is uniform on {1 ,... , n}, then Var X = (n^2 − 1 )/ 12 ; see “Lecture 12.”
  2. Because E({X − a}^2 ) =

x(x^ −^ a)^2 f(x)^ is assumed to converge nicely, we can differentiate term by term to find that d da E^

{X − a}^2

d da

x

(x^2 − 2 xa + a^2 )f(x)

=

x

(− 2 x + 2 a)f(x)

= 2 a

x

f(x) − 2

x

xf(x)

= 2 a − 2 EX.

Set this equal to zero to find that a = EX. Also,

d^2 da^2

E

{X − a}^2

x

2 f(x) = 2,

which is positive. Positive second derivative means the minimum occurs when the derivative is zero; that is, a = EX. But E({X − EX}^2 ) = Var X.

  1. By Theorem 4 (p. 121),

E

X

∑^ ∞

k= 1

k pqk−^1 = p q

∑^ ∞

k= 1

k qk^ = p q

∑^ ∞

k= 1

∫ (^) q

0

xk−^1 dx

p q

∫ (^) q

0

∑^ ∞

k= 1

xk−^1 dx = p q

∫ (^) q

0

1 − x dx

p q ln( 1 − q) = − p 1 − p ln(p) =

p − 1 ln(p) = ln

p p−^11 ) .

  1. (a) “No tail in the first n tosses” means “all heads in the first n tosses.” Therefore, probab. = pn. (b) pn = ( 1 − p)n−^1 p. (c) E(number) =

n= 1 npn^ =^ p^

n= 1 n(^1 −^ p)n−^1 ,^ which is equal to

−p d dp

∑^ ∞

n= 0

( 1 − p)n^ = −p

p

p