Sampling Distributions: Understanding the Probability Distribution of Sample Statistics, Study notes of Data Analysis & Statistical Methods

An introduction to sampling distributions, explaining the concept of sample statistics, parameters, and the probability distribution of sample statistics. It also covers the importance of knowing the properties of sampling distributions and how they can help determine the accuracy of estimates. Examples and simulations to illustrate the concepts.

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Pre 2010

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10/2/2007
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Chapter 6
Sampling Distributions
The Concept of Sampling
Distributions
Parameter numerical descriptive measure
of a population. It is usually unknown
Sample Statistic - numerical descriptive
2
measure of a sample. It is usually known
Sampling distribution the probability
distribution of a sample statistic, calculated
from a very large number of samples of size
n
The Concept of Sampling
Distributions
19, 19, 20, 21, 20, 25, 22, 18, 18, 17
We can take 45 samples of size 2 from this
group of 10 observations
3
μ= 19.9
If we take one random sample and get (19,
20),
Another random sample may yield (22, 25),
with
5.19=x
5.23=x
The Concept of Sampling
Distributions
Taking all possible samples of size 2, we
can graph them and come up with a
sampling distribution of the sample statistic
Sampling distributions can be derived for
x
4
Sampling
distributions
can
be
derived
for
any statistic
Knowing the properties of the underlying
sampling distributions allows us to judge
how accurate the statistics are as estimates
of parameters
The Concept of Sampling
Distributions
Decisions about which sample statistic to
use must take into account the sampling
distribution of the statistics you will be
hif
5
c
h
oos
i
ng
f
rom.
The Concept of Sampling
Distributions
Given the probability distribution
X069
()
1/3
1/3
1/3
6
Find the sampling distribution of mean and
median of x
p
(
x
)
1/3
1/3
1/3
pf3

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Chapter 6

Sampling Distributions

The Concept of Sampling

Distributions

Parameter – numerical descriptive measure

of a population. It is usually unknown

Sample Statistic - numerical descriptive

measure of a sample. It is usually known

Sampling distribution – the probability

distribution of a sample statistic, calculated

from a very large number of samples of size

n

The Concept of Sampling

Distributions

We can take 45 samples of size 2 from this

group of 10 observations

If we take one random sample and get (19,

Another random sample may yield (22, 25),

with

x = 19. 5

x = 23. 5

The Concept of Sampling

Distributions

Taking all possible samples of size 2, we

can graph them and come up with a

sampling distribution of the sample statistic

Sampling distributions can be derived for

x

Sampling distributions can be derived for

any statistic

Knowing the properties of the underlying

sampling distributions allows us to judge

how accurate the statistics are as estimates

of parameters

The Concept of Sampling

Distributions

Decisions about which sample statistic to

use must take into account the sampling

distribution of the statistics you will be

h i f

choosing from.

The Concept of Sampling

Distributions

Given the probability distribution

X 0 6 9

Find the sampling distribution of mean and

median of x

p(x) 1/3 1/3 1/

Possible Samples x m Probability

0,0,0 0 0 1/ 0,0,6 2 0 1/ 0,0,9 3 0 1/ 0,6,0 2 0 1/ 0,6,6 4 6 1/ 0,6,9 5 6 1/ 0,9,0 3 0 1/ 0,9,6 5 6 1/ 0,9,9 6 9 1/ 6,0,0 2 0 1/ 6,0,6 4 6 1/ 6,0,9 5 6 1/ 6,6,0 4 6 1/ 6 6 6 6 6 1/

x P(x)

Sampling distribution

of x

m P(m)

Sampling distribution

of m

The Concept of Sampling

Distributions

Simulating a Sampling Distribution

Use a software package to generate samples of size n = 11

from a population with a known μ =.

Calculate the mean and median for each sample

p

Generate histograms for the means and medians of the

samples

Note the greater clustering of

the values of around μ

These histograms are

approximations of the sampling

distributions of and m

x

x

Properties of Sampling Distributions:

Unbiasedness and Minimum Variance

Point Estimator – formula or rule for using sample

data to calculate an estimate of a population

parameter

Point estimators have sampling distributions

Point estimators have sampling distributions

These sampling distributions tell us how accurate

an estimate the point estimator is likely to be

Sampling distributions can also indicate whether

an estimator is likely to under/over estimate a

parameter

Properties of Sampling Distributions:

Unbiasedness and Minimum Variance

Two point estimators, A and B, of parameter θ

After generating the sampling distributions of A and B, we

can see that

A is an unbiased estimator of θ

B is a biased estimator of θ, with a bias toward

overstatement

Properties of Sampling Distributions:

Unbiasedness and Minimum Variance

What if A and B are both unbiased estimators of θ?

Look at the sampling distributions and compare their

standard deviations

A has a smaller standard

deviation than B

Which would you use as

your estimator?

The Sampling Distribution of X and

the Central Limit Theorem

Assume 1000 samples of size n taken from a population,

with calculated for each sample. What are the Properties

of the Sampling Distribution of?

Mean of sampling distribution equals mean of sampled

x

x

( )

population

Standard deviation of sampling distribution equals

Standard deviation of sampled population

Square root of sample size

or,

is referred to as the standard error of the mean

u = E ( x )= μ x

n

x

σ = σ

x

σ