Probability Theory: Expected Value & Moment Function for Discrete Variables - Prof. Dilip , Assignments of Statistics

Solutions to homework 3 for the university of illinois, urbana–champaign ece 313 course, focusing on the expected value and moment generating function for discrete random variables. It covers topics such as the definition of expected value, the relationship between expected value and moment generating functions, and the use of lotus's formula to calculate expected values.

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Pre 2010

Uploaded on 03/11/2009

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University of Illinois, Urbana–Champaign Fall 2007
ECE 313: Solutions to Homework 3
15. Nis a discrete random variable.
E[N] =
X
n=1
nPr(N=n)
= Pr(N= 1) + Pr(N= 2) + Pr(N= 2) + ···+ Pr(N=n) + · · · + Pr(N=n)
|{z }
n
+···
=
X
n=1
Pr(N=n) +
X
n=2
Pr(N=n) + ···+
X
n=i
Pr(N=n) + ···
= Pr(N1) + Pr(N2) + ···+ Pr(Ni) + ···
=
X
n=1
Pr(Nn)
X
n=0
nPr(N > n) = Pr(N= 2) + Pr(N= 3) + Pr(N= 4) + ···+ Pr(N=n) + · · ·
+ 2 Pr(N= 3) + 2 Pr(N= 4) + ···+ 2 Pr(N=n) + ···
+ 3 Pr(N= 4) + ··· + 3 Pr(N=n) + ···
···
+ (n2) Pr(N=n1) + (n2) Pr(N=n) + ···
+ (n1) Pr(N=n) + ···
= Pr(N= 2) + 3 Pr(N= 3) + ··· +n(n1)
2Pr(N=n) + ···
=
X
n=2
1
2(n2Pr(N=n)nPr(N=n)) + Pr(N= 1) Pr(N= 1)
=1
2(
X
n=1
n2Pr(N=n)
X
n=1
nPr(N=n))
Using LOTUS, we have E[N2] = P
n=1 n2Pr(N=n), then
=1
2(E[N2]E[N])
16. (a) Let pYbe the pmf of Y. Since gis a one-to-one function, for any xthere exists a unique
y=g(x) such that pX(x) = pY(y). This is true because the same probability measure
is defined on the function pro jection of X. Let the random variable Y=g(X) be the
projection space of Xvia function g. We have,
E[g(X)] = E[Y] = X
y
ypY(y)
=X
g(x)
g(x)pY(g(x))
pf3

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University of Illinois, Urbana–Champaign Fall 2007 ECE 313: Solutions to Homework 3

  1. N is a discrete random variable.

E[N ] =

∑^ ∞

n=

n Pr(N = n)

= Pr(N = 1) + Pr(N = 2) + Pr(N = 2) + · · · + Pr(N = n) + · · · + Pr(N = n) ︸ ︷︷ ︸ n

∑^ ∞

n=

Pr(N = n) +

∑^ ∞

n=

Pr(N = n) + · · · +

∑^ ∞

n=i

Pr(N = n) + · · ·

= Pr(N ≥ 1) + Pr(N ≥ 2) + · · · + Pr(N ≥ i) + · · ·

∑^ ∞

n=

Pr(N ≥ n)

∑^ ∞

n=

n Pr(N > n) = Pr(N = 2) + Pr(N = 3) + Pr(N = 4) + · · · + Pr(N = n) + · · ·

  • 2 Pr(N = 3) + 2 Pr(N = 4) + · · · + 2 Pr(N = n) + · · ·
  • 3 Pr(N = 4) + · · · + 3 Pr(N = n) + · · · · · ·
  • (n − 2) Pr(N = n − 1) + (n − 2) Pr(N = n) + · · ·
  • (n − 1) Pr(N = n) + · · ·

= Pr(N = 2) + 3 Pr(N = 3) + · · · +

n(n − 1) 2

Pr(N = n) + · · ·

∑^ ∞

n=

(n^2 Pr(N = n) − n Pr(N = n)) + Pr(N = 1) − Pr(N = 1)

∑^ ∞

n=

n^2 Pr(N = n) −

∑^ ∞

n=

n Pr(N = n))

Using LOTUS, we have E[N 2 ] =

n=1 n

(^2) Pr(N = n), then

(E[N 2 ] − E[N ])

  1. (a) Let pY be the pmf of Y. Since g is a one-to-one function, for any x there exists a unique y = g(x) such that pX (x) = pY (y). This is true because the same probability measure is defined on the function projection of X. Let the random variable Y = g(X) be the projection space of X via function g. We have,

E[g(X)] = E[Y ] =

y

ypY (y)

g(x)

g(x)pY (g(x))

Since pY (g(x)) = pX (x) for all x, we have

x

g(x)pX (x)

(b) If g is a many-to-one function, for all x 1 , x 2 , · · · , xn such that y = g(x 1 ) = g(x 2 ) = · · · = g(xn), we have pY (y) =

xi pX^ (xi). The probability mass for these^ y’s that have many to one mappings is the sum of the mass of all inverse imagines. Therefore,

E[g(X)] = E[Y ] =

y

ypY (y)

y

xi,y=g(xi)

g(xi)pX (xi )

x

g(x)pX (x)

  1. Using LOTUS (the result from 16), we get

E[Y ] = E[

X − μ σ

] =

E[X] − μ σ

We know that var(X) = E[X^2 ] − (E[X])^2. So E[X^2 ] = σ^2 + μ^2. By using this, we have

E[Y 2 ] = E[

σ^2

(X^2 − 2 Xμ + μ^2 )] =

σ^2

(E[X^2 ] − 2 E[X]μ + μ^2 ) = 1

  1. (a) At each round, let R be the event that red shows. The sample space for a game of maximum three tries is shown in the first row of the following table. For each outcome, we compute net earning and the probability. Ω R Rc, R, R Rc, Rc, Rc^ Rc, Rc, R Rc, R, Rc X $1 $1 -$3 -$1 -$ Pr[X] (^1838203818381838203820382038203820381838203818382038) For the winning probability, we sum the outcomes that X > 0. Pr(X > 0) = 1838 + 20 38

18 38

18 38 = 0.5918. (b) You have more than 50% chance to win the game. However the answer from (c) shows that you lose 11 cents on average when you play the game. (c) E[X] = 1838 + 203818381838 − 3 382020382038 − 203820381838 − 203818382038 = − 36139 = − 0. 1080

  1. (a) Show that 0 ≤ pX (k) ≤ 1. We noticed that pX (k) is a monotonously increasing function with k and pX (k) is always greater than 0. When k = n, pX (n) = (^) n+1^2. As n ≥ 1, the largest value pX (n) ≤ 1. Then we need to show that the probability mass is summed up to 1.

∑n k=1 pX^ (k) =^

2 n(n+1)

n(n+1) 2 = 1. Therefore,^ pX^ is a valid pmf. (b) The range of Y is all the inverse of integers from [1, n]. The pmf of Y is

pY (k) = Pr(Y = k) = Pr(1/X = k) = Pr(X = 1/k) =

kn(n + 1)

with k = 1/i where 1 ≤ i ≤ n is an integer. (c) E[Y ] =

k kpY^ (k) =^

2 n+1. Or by LOTUS,^ E[Y^ ] =^

k

1 k pX^ (k) leads to the same answer.