Solved Homework 12 - Probability with Engineering Application | ECE 313, Assignments of Statistics

Material Type: Assignment; Class: Probability with Engrg Applic; Subject: Electrical and Computer Engr; University: University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign; Term: Fall 2007;

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University of Illinois, Urbana–Champaign Fall 2007
ECE 313: Solutions to Homework 12
72. The joint probability density function is illustrated in the following figure.
0
Y
X
1
1
f=1/2
f=3/2
(a) For 0 x1, integrating the density function along the y-axis, we have
fX(x) = Z1x
0
1
2+Z1
1x
3
2=1
2+x
Otherwise, fX(x) = 0.
(b) The probability is computed by integrating the joint density function over following in-
dicated region S1, S2. Since the density is uniformly 1
2in S1and 3
2in S2, we just simply
multiply the area by the density.
0
Y
X
1
1
S1
S2
P(X+Y3/2) = 1
2S1+3
2S2=1
4+3
2
3
8=13
16
(c) In the same way, the area to integrate is the remaining part of the square cut by an
quarter arc.
0
Y
X
1
1
P(X2+Y21) = 3
2(1 π
4) = 0.3219
(d) First, we need to find the conditional probability density function for 0 y1. By
pf3
pf4
pf5

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University of Illinois, Urbana–Champaign Fall 2007

ECE 313: Solutions to Homework 12

  1. The joint probability density function is illustrated in the following figure.

0

Y

X

1

1

f=1/

f=3/

(a) For 0 ≤ x ≤ 1, integrating the density function along the y-axis, we have

fX (x) =

1 −x

0

1

1 −x

  • x

Otherwise, fX (x) = 0.

(b) The probability is computed by integrating the joint density function over following in-

dicated region S 1 , S 2. Since the density is uniformly

1 2 in S 1 and

3 2 in S 2 , we just simply

multiply the area by the density.

0

Y

X

1

1

S

S

P (X + Y ≤ 3 /2) =

S 1 +

S 2 =

(c) In the same way, the area to integrate is the remaining part of the square cut by an

quarter arc.

0

Y

X

1

1

P (X

2

  • Y

2 ≥ 1) =

π

(d) First, we need to find the conditional probability density function for 0 ≤ y ≤ 1. By

symmetry, the marginal pdf of fY (y) =

1 2

  • y, 0 ≤ y ≤ 1.

fX|Y =y(u|v) =

fX,Y (u, y)

fY (y)

1 2 1 2 +y^

0 ≤ u ≤ 1 − y 3 2 1 2 +y

1 − y < u ≤ 1

Then, the conditional expectation is computed by

E[X|Y = y] =

1 −y

0

u

1 + 2y

du +

1

1 −y

u

1 + 2y

du =

1 + 4y − 2 y 2

2 + 4y

for 0 ≤ y ≤ 1. Otherwise, E[X|Y = y] = 0.

  1. To obtain the CDF of Z = X 2 Y , we need to integrate the shaded area for any 0 < z < 1,

0

Y

X

1

1

x 2

z

z

FZ (z) =

z

0

1

0

2 xdydx +

1

√ z

∫ z x^2

0

2 xdydx = z − z ln z

Differentiate the CDF to get the pdf of Z,

fZ (z) = − ln z

for 0 < z < 1. Otherwise fZ (z) = 0.

  1. (a) E[Z] = 2E[X

2 ] − 2 E[Y

2 ] = 2(var(X) + (E[X])

2 − var(Y ) − (E[Y ])

2 ) = − 40

(b) cov(T, U ) = cov(2X + Y, 2 X − Y ) = E[(2X + Y )(2X − Y )] − E[2X + Y ]E[2X − Y ] =

4 E[X

2 ] − E[Y

2 ] − 4(E[X])

2

  • (E[Y ])

2 = 7

(c)

cov(X, Y ) = ρX,Y

var(X)var(Y ) = 0. 6

E[W ] = E[3X + Y + 2] = 3E[X] + E[Y ] + 2 = 9

var(W ) = var(3X + Y ) = 9var(X) + var(Y ) + 6cov(X, Y ) = 48. 6

(d) Linear combination of joint Gaussian r.v. is also a Gaussian r.v. So W is Gaussian with

mean 9 and variance 46.8. Pr(W > 0) = Pr(

W − 9 √

  1. 8

− 9 √

  1. 8
  1. (a)

var(X + Y ) = var(X) + var(Y ) + 2cov(X, Y ) = 36

var(X − Y ) = var(X) + var(Y ) − 2 cov(X, Y ) = 64

Solving for cov(X, Y ), we can get cov(X, Y ) = −7. With var(X) = 3var(Y ), further we

have var(X) = 37. 5 , var(Y ) = 12.5.

ρX,Y =

cov(X, Y ) √ var(X)var(Y )

The probability density function at X, Y space is scaled down by the absolute value

of the Jacobian determinant at the new space U, V.

fU,V (u, v) =

u (v+1)^2

u, v ∈ S 1

0 o/w

ii. We have x = u, y =

u v

. The Jacobian determinant is,

∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣

∂u ∂x

∂u ∂y ∂v ∂x

∂v ∂y

y

− 1 −xy

− 2

= −xy

− 2 = −

v 2

u

The pdf becomes,

fU,V (u, v) =

u v^2

u, v ∈ S 2

0 o/w

iii. We have x = uv, y = u − uv. The Jacobian determinant is,

∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣

∂u ∂x

∂u ∂y ∂v ∂x

∂v ∂y

y (x+y)^2

−x (x+y)^2

x + y

u

The pdf becomes,

fU,V (u, v) =

u u, v ∈ S 3

0 o/w

(b) The marginal pdf of U = X + Y from (i) can be found by integrating along the v-axis.

fU (u) =

0

u (v+1)^2 dv = u 0 ≤ u < 1

∫ 1 u− 1 u− 1

u (v+1)^2 dv = 2 − u 1 ≤ u ≤ 2

0 o/w

(c) In the same way, the marginal pdf of U from (iii) is

fU (u) =

1 0

udv = u 0 ≤ u < 1 ∫ (^1) /u

1 − 1 /u udv = 2 − u 1 ≤ u ≤ 2

0 o/w

We found the same answer as (b) regardless of the transformation of V.

  1. Since X, Y, Z are iid exponential r.v. of λ = 1, the joint pdf is

fX,Y,Z (x, y, z) =

e

−(x+y+z) 0 ≤ x, y, z

0 o/w

And X =

U +V −W 2

, Y =

W +U −V 2

, Z =

V +W −U 2

. Using Jacobian transform of three r.v.s, we

have the scalar (^) ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∂u ∂x

∂u ∂y

∂u ∂z ∂v ∂x

∂v ∂y

∂v ∂z ∂w ∂x

∂w ∂y

∂w ∂z

Therefore, the new pdf at U, V, W space is

fU,V,W (u, v, w) =

1 2

e −(u+v+w)/ 2 |u − v| ≤ w ≤ u + v, 0 ≤ u, v, w

0 o/w

  1. We know the best mean square estimator for X

3 given Y is g(Y ) = E[X

3 |Y ]. To find it, we

first find the conditional pdf of X given Y = y, which is fX|Y (x|y) =

e −(x/y)

y for x and y both

positive. Then, we have E[X 3 |Y ] =

∞ 0

x 3 e

−(x/y)

y

dx = 6y 3 for y is positive.

  1. (a)

f (a, b, c) = E[(X − a − bY − cZ)

2 ] =

E[X

2 ] − bE[XY ] − cE[XZ] − aE[X] + b

2 E[Y

2 ] − bE[XY ] + cbE[Y Z] + abE[Y ]

− cE[XZ] + cbE[ZY ] + c

2 E[Z

2 ] + baE[Z] − aE[X] + bcE[Y ] + acE[Z] + a

2

To find the minimum, we take partial differential on all three variables and make them

equal zero. Then we have three equations with three unknown.

∂f

∂a

= 0 E[X] = a + bE[Y ] + cE[Z]

∂f

∂b

= 0 E[XZ] = aE[Z] + bE[Y Z] + cE[Z

2 ]

∂f

∂c

= 0 E[XY ] = aE[Y ] + bE[Y

2 ] + cE[Y Z]

Solving for a ∗ , b ∗ , c ∗ , we have

a

∗ = E[X] − b

∗ E[Y ] − c

∗ E[Z]

b

cov(Y, Z)cov(X, Z) − cov(X, Y )var(Z)

(cov(Y, Z))^2 − varY varZ

c

cov(Y, Z)cov(X, Y ) − cov(X, Z)var(Y )

(cov(Y, Z)) 2 − varY varZ

Alternative solution: The orthogonal principle says, if the mean square error for some

a

∗ , b

∗ , c

∗ from r.v. X to the linear r.v. vector space a + bY + cZ spanned by r.v. 1, Y, Z is

minimized, the error vector from X to a ∗

  • b ∗ Y + c ∗ Z must be orthogonal to the space,

thus all basis of the space. Therefore, X − a

∗ − b

∗ Y − c

∗ Z is orthogonal to 1, Y, Z. In

this sense, the following equations are hold.

E[X − a

∗ − b

∗ Y − c

∗ Z] = 0 (1)

E[(X − a

∗ − b

∗ Y − c

∗ Z)Y ] = 0 (2)

E[(X − a

∗ − b

∗ Y − c

∗ Z)Z] = 0 (3)

Immediately, using (1), we get

a

∗ = E[X] − b

∗ E[Y ] − c

∗ E[Z] (4)

Using (1) and cov(X, Y ) = E[XY ] − E[X]E[Y ], (2) and (3) becomes

cov(X − a

∗ − b

∗ Y − c

∗ Z, Y ) = cov(X − b ∗ Y − c

∗ Z, Y ) = 0 (5)

cov(X − a

∗ − b

∗ Y − c

∗ Z, Z) = cov(X − b ∗ Y − c

∗ Z, Z) = 0 (6)

Further, (5) (6) can be simplified by the linearity of covariance.

cov(X, Y ) − b

∗ var(Y ) − c

∗ cov(Z, Y ) = 0 (7)

cov(X, Z) − b

∗ cov(Y, Z) − c

∗ var(Z) = 0 (8)