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Solutions to game theory problems in baseball and american football. It includes tables and instructions for finding the best mix of pitches and guesses for batters and pitchers in baseball, as well as the optimal probabilities for defenses and offenses in american football.
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Pitcher throws Fastball Curve Batter guesses Fastball .400. Curve .100.
(a) Find the best mix of pitches for the pitcher. (b) If the pitcher uses the mix of pitches that you found in part (a), what is the batter’s expected batting average? (c) Find the best mix of guesses for the batter.
Defense Run Pass Offense Run .5. Pass .7.
(a) With what probabilities should the defensive team employ each of its defenses? (b) If the defense uses the probabilities you found in part (a), what is the probability that the offense will make a first down? (c) With what probabilities should the offensive team employ each of its offenses?