MA 103Q Game Theory Problems: Baseball and American Football, Assignments of Applied Mathematics

Solutions to game theory problems in baseball and american football. It includes tables and instructions for finding the best mix of pitches and guesses for batters and pitchers in baseball, as well as the optimal probabilities for defenses and offenses in american football.

Typology: Assignments

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 03/10/2009

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MA 103Q Game Theory Problems 1
S. Schecter
February 25, 2004
1. In the following game of batter-versus-pitcher in baseball, the batter’s
batting averages are shown in the table.
Pitcher throws
Fastball Curve
Batter guesses Fastball .400 .200
Curve .100 .500
(a) Find the best mix of pitches for the pitcher.
(b) If the pitcher uses the mix of pitches that you found in part (a),
what is the batter’s expected batting average?
(c) Find the best mix of guesses for the batter.
2. When it is third down and short yardage to go for a first down in
American football, the quarterback can decide to run the ball or pass
it. Similarly, the other team can use its run defense or its pass defense.
This can be modeled as a 2 ×2 matrix game, where the payoffs are the
probabilities of making a first down. We’ll use the following table of
probabilities:
Defense
Run Pass
Offense Run .5 .8
Pass .7 .2
(a) With what probabilities should the defensive team employ each of
its defenses?
(b) If the defense uses the probabilities you found in part (a), what is
the probability that the offense will make a first down?
(c) With what probabilities should the offensive team employ each of
its offenses?
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MA 103Q Game Theory Problems 1

S. Schecter

February 25, 2004

  1. In the following game of batter-versus-pitcher in baseball, the batter’s batting averages are shown in the table.

Pitcher throws Fastball Curve Batter guesses Fastball .400. Curve .100.

(a) Find the best mix of pitches for the pitcher. (b) If the pitcher uses the mix of pitches that you found in part (a), what is the batter’s expected batting average? (c) Find the best mix of guesses for the batter.

  1. When it is third down and short yardage to go for a first down in American football, the quarterback can decide to run the ball or pass it. Similarly, the other team can use its run defense or its pass defense. This can be modeled as a 2 × 2 matrix game, where the payoffs are the probabilities of making a first down. We’ll use the following table of probabilities:

Defense Run Pass Offense Run .5. Pass .7.

(a) With what probabilities should the defensive team employ each of its defenses? (b) If the defense uses the probabilities you found in part (a), what is the probability that the offense will make a first down? (c) With what probabilities should the offensive team employ each of its offenses?