Exam 1 with Answer Key - Mathematical Statistics I | STAT 510, Exams of Mathematical Statistics

Material Type: Exam; Class: Mathematical Statistics I; Subject: Statistics; University: University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign; Term: Fall 2006;

Typology: Exams

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 03/10/2009

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NAME
STAT 510 Exam #1: Answers
Friday, October 13, 2006
Closed book & Notes.
1. Suppose (X1,X
2) has space30 points
X={(x1,x
2)|x1>0,x
2>0andx1+x2<1}
and pdf fX(x1,x
2)=2.
(a) Sketch the space X.
0.0 0.4 0.8
0.0 0.4 0.8
x1
x2
(b) Let Y1=X1and Y2=X2. Find and sketch the space Yof (Y1,Y
2).
Answer: Since X1goes from 0 to 1, Y1goes from 0 to 1, as does Y2. But there is the extra
constraint that X1+X2<1, hence
Y={(y1,y
2)|y1>0,y
2>0,y2
1+y2
2<1}.
This space is a quarter-disk:
1
pf3
pf4
pf5

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NAME

STAT 510 Exam #1: Answers

Friday, October 13, 2006

Closed book & Notes.

30 points 1. Suppose (X 1 , X 2 ) has space

X = {(x 1 , x 2 ) | x 1 > 0 , x 2 > 0 and x 1 + x 2 < 1 }

and pdf fX (x 1 , x 2 ) = 2. (a) Sketch the space X.

x

x

(b) Let Y 1 =

X 1 and Y 2 =

X 2. Find and sketch the space Y of (Y 1 , Y 2 ). Answer: Since X 1 goes from 0 to 1, Y 1 goes from 0 to 1, as does Y 2. But there is the extra constraint that X 1 + X 2 < 1, hence

Y = {(y 1 , y 2 ) | y 1 > 0 , y 2 > 0 , y 12 + y 22 < 1 }.

This space is a quarter-disk:

y

y

(c) Find the pdf of (Y 1 , Y 2 ).

Answer: The inverse function is x 1 = y^21 and x 2 = y 22 , so that the Jacobian is

Jg− 1 (y 1 , y 2 ) =

∣∣ ∣∣ ∣

2 y 1 0 0 2 y 2

∣∣ ∣∣ ∣ = 4y^1 y^2.

The pdf of (X 1 , X 2 ) is just 2, hence

fY (y 1 , y 2 ) = 8y 1 y 2.

(d) Are Y 1 and Y 2 independent? Why or why not?

Answer: No, the space in not a rectangle.

(e) What is the marginal space Y 1 of^ Y 1?

Answer: (0,1)

(f) What is the conditional space of Y 2 given Y 1 = y 1 for y 1 ∈ Y 1?

Answer: 0 < y^22 < 1 − y^21 , hence the conditional space is (0,

√ 1 − y 12 ).

(g) Find the marginal pdf of Y 1.

Answer: Integrate out y 2 :

fY 1 (y 1 ) =

∫ √ 1 −y (^21)

0

8 y 1 y 2 dy 2 = 8y 1

y 22 2

∣∣ ∣∣ ∣

1 −y^21

0

= 4y 1 (1 − y^21 ).

Answer: Convolutions yield:

fY (0) = fX 1 (0)fX 2 (0) =

×

fY (1) = fX 1 (0)fX 2 (1) + fX 1 (1)fX 2 (0) =

×

×

fY (2) = fX 1 (1)fX 2 (1) + fX 1 (2)fX 2 (0) =

×

×

fY (3) = fX 1 (2)fX 2 (1) =

×

25 points 3. Suppose X has the Gumbel(θ) distribution, which means that X has space R and distri- bution function FX (x) = e−θe

−x . Let Y = e−X^. (a) What is the space of Y? Answer: Y = (0, ∞).

(b) Find the pdf of Y. Answer: Using distribution functions,

FY (y) = P [Y ≤ y] = P [e−X^ ≤ y] = P [X ≥ − log(y)] = 1 − FX (− log(y)) = 1 − e−θy^ ,

hence fY (y) = F (^) Y′ (y) = θe−θy, which is the Exponential(θ) density. (You could also use Jacobians, being sure to first find the pdf of X.)

(c) Now suppose X 1 ,... , Xn are iid Gumbel(θ) random variables. Show that the distribu- tion of the maximum, X(n), is Gumbel, and give the parameter. [Hint: Find the distribution function of X(n). You can use the fact from the homework that the distribution function of the maximum is the distribution function of X to the nth^ power.] Answer: For any x, FX(n) (x) = (FX (x))n^ = e−nθe

−x , which is the distribution function of a Gumbel(nθ).

20 points 4. Recall that the Dirichlet(α 1 ,... , αK ) distribution is the distribution of

( X

1 X 1 + · · · + XK

XK− 1

X 1 + · · · + XK

) ,

where the Xi’s are independent, Xi ∼ Gamma(αi, 1). Suppose that (Y 1 , Y 2 , Y 3 )^ ∼^ Dirichlet(1,^2 ,^1 ,^ 3). (a) What is the distribution of Y 1 Y 1 + Y 2

Answer: Write the Yi’s in terms of the Gamma Xi’s:

Y 1 Y 1 + Y 2

X 1 /(X 1 + · · · + X 4 )

(X 1 + X 2 )/(X 1 + · · · + X 4 )

X 1

X 1 + X 2

which is Beta(α 1 , α 2 ) = Beta(1, 2) ≡ Dirichlet(1, 2).

(b) What is the distribution of

Y 1 + Y 2 Y 1 + Y 2 + Y 3

Answer: Similarly, this is Beta(α 1 + α 2 , α 3 ) = Beta(3, 1).

(c) What is the distribution of ( Y 1 Y 1 + Y 2 + Y 3

Y 2

Y 1 + Y 2 + Y 3

) ?

Answer: And this is Dirichlet(1, 2 , 1).