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A midterm exam for the university of california, berkeley, eecs 126 course in probability and statistics. It includes questions on joint probability density functions, system reliability, and estimating population mean. Questions cover topics such as finding probabilities, expectations, and minimum mean square error estimators.
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Name: _________________________ Student ID No: ______________
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA College of Engineering Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences
Professor Ren Fall 1997
November 17, 1997, Monday 7-9 p.m.
[42 pts.] 1. Given the joint probability density of two RVs and
a) Find the value of , and the cdf. (6 pts.) b) Find. (6 pts.) c) Find the probability that. (6 pts.) d) Find. (6 pts.) e) Find the minimum mean square error estimator of given. Compute the resulting mean square error. (6 pts.) f) Find the linear minimum mean square error estimator of given. Compute the resulting mean square error. (6 pts.) g) Are and independent? Uncorrelated? Orthogonal? Explain your answer. (6 pts.)
[35 pts.] 2. An electronic system has components. Let the lifetime of each component be , in hours. Assume that , are mutually independent, and have identical density. Let the lifetime of the system be.
a) Suppose the system works only if all components work. Find the pdf and expectation of. (10 pts.) b) Suppose we already know that the system has already lasted 10 hours. Find the condi- tional pdf and expectation of. (12 pts.) c) To increase reliability, we use redundancy by increasing the number of components from to. Suppose the system works so long as there are at least components working. Find the cdf of. (13 pts.)
f (^) XY ( x y , ) k x (^^ + y )^0 ≤^ x^ ≤1 0,^ ≤^ y^ ≤^1 ^0 otherwise
k FXY ( x y , ) FX ( x ) , FY ( y ) , f (^) X ( x ) , f (^) Y ( y ) X – Y ≤ 1 ⁄ 2 f (^) X Y ( x y ) X Y
X Y
X Y
n Xi , i = 1 2, , … , n Xi , i = 1 2, , … , n f (^) Xi ( x ) = e –^ x , x ≥ 0 Y
n Y
n 2 n n Y
2 of 2
[23 pts.] 3. Let be a sequence of i.i.d. RVs with mean and unit variance. Suppose is
unknown. a) Propose a scheme to estimate from. (5 pts.)
b) Suppose your estimate of based on is denoted as. Using Central Limit Theorem, find a range of that would guarantee the quality of the estimate in the follow- ing sense:
. (18 pts.)
X 1 , X 2 , … μ μ
μ X 1 , … , Xn
μ X 1 , … , Xn μˆ (^) n n
P ( μˆ^ n – μ ≤0.1) ≥0.