Requirements for a Continuous Probability Distribution | STAT 100A, Study notes of Statistics

Material Type: Notes; Professor: Smith; Class: INTRO TO STATISTICS; Subject: Statistics; University: University of California-Riverside; Term: Spring 2010;

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Pre 2010

Uploaded on 05/11/2010

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107
STAT 100A
Chapter 6: The Normal Probability Distribution
Section 6.1: Probability Distributions for Continuous Random Variables
Continuous Probability Distributions
To find probabilities for continuous random
variables, we do not use probability distribution
tables, histograms, or functions (as we did for
discrete random variables). Instead, we use
probability density functions.
The area under the graph of a density function over
some interval represents the probability of observing
a value of the random variable in that interval.
108
1. The area under the graph of the pdf over all possible
values of the random variable must equal one.
2. The graph of the pdf must be greater than or equal to
zero for all possible values of the random variable.
That is, the graph of the pdf must lie on or above the
horizontal axis for all possible values of the random
variable.
Uniform Probability Distribution
Requirements for a Continuous
Probability Distribution
109
Example: Suppose the reaction time X (in minutes) of a
certain chemical process follows a Uniform Probability
Distribution with 5 X 10.
a) Draw the graph of the density curve.
b) What is the probability that the reaction time is between
6 and 8 minutes?
c) What is the probability that the reaction time is less than
6 minutes?
110
STAT 100A
Section 6.2: The Normal Probability Distribution
The Normal Distribution
Properties of the Normal Density Curve
1. It is bell-shaped.
2. It is symmetric about its mean.
3. The area under the curve is one.
4. It has inflection points one standard deviation
from the mean in each direction.
5. The Empirical Rule:
1) approx. 68% of the area under the normal
curve is within one standard deviation of the
mean.
2) approx. 95% of the area under the normal
curve is within two standard deviations of
the mean.
3) approx. 99.7% of the area under the normal
curve is within three standard deviations of
the mean.
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107

STAT 100A Chapter 6: The Normal Probability Distribution Section 6.1: Probability Distributions for Continuous Random Variables

Continuous Probability Distributions

To find probabilities for continuous random variables, we do not use probability distribution tables, histograms, or functions (as we did for discrete random variables). Instead, we use probability density functions.

The area under the graph of a density function over some interval represents the probability of observing a value of the random variable in that interval.

108

  1. The area under the graph of the pdf over all possible values of the random variable must equal one.
  2. The graph of the pdf must be greater than or equal to zero for all possible values of the random variable. That is, the graph of the pdf must lie on or above the horizontal axis for all possible values of the random variable.

Uniform Probability Distribution

Requirements for a Continuous Probability Distribution

Example: Suppose the reaction time X (in minutes) of a certain chemical process follows a Uniform Probability Distribution with 5 ≤ X ≤ 10.

a) Draw the graph of the density curve. b) What is the probability that the reaction time is between 6 and 8 minutes? c) What is the probability that the reaction time is less than 6 minutes?

STAT 100A Section 6.2: The Normal Probability Distribution

The Normal Distribution

Properties of the Normal Density Curve

  1. It is bell-shaped.
  2. It is symmetric about its mean.
  3. The area under the curve is one.
  4. It has inflection points one standard deviation from the mean in each direction.
  5. The Empirical Rule:
    1. approx. 68% of the area under the normal curve is within one standard deviation of the mean.
    2. approx. 95% of the area under the normal curve is within two standard deviations of the mean.
    3. approx. 99.7% of the area under the normal curve is within three standard deviations of the mean.

111

Example: ACT English scores are known to be normally distributed with a mean of 20.5 and a standard deviation of 5.5 based upon data obtained from ACT Research.

a) Draw a normal curve with the parameters labeled. b) Shade the region that represents the proportion of test takers who scored more than 27.

112

STAT 100A Section 6.3: Tabulated Area of the Normal Probability Distribution

We use the random variable Z to represent a standard normal random variable. Z ~ N(0,1)

Example: Determine the area under the standard normal curve that lies to the left of

a) z = -1. b) z = 0.

Finding Area under the Standard Normal Curve

Example: Determine the area under the standard normal curve that lies to the right of

a) z = -0. b) z = 2.

Example: Determine the area under the standard normal curve that lies between

a) z = -2.04 and z = 2. b) z = -0.55 and z = 0 c) z = -1.04 and z = 2.

119

Example: In 2000, as reported by ACT Research Service, the mean ACT Math score was 20.7. If ACT Math scores are normally distributed with a standard deviation of 5, answer the following questions.

a) What is the probability that a randomly selected student has an ACT Math score of at least 25?

b) What is the probability that a randomly selected student has an ACT Math score less than 18?

120

c) What is the probability that a randomly selected student has an ACT Math score between 24 and 27?

Finding x-scores for Given Areas

Example: For X~N(10,2), find P 14.

Example: Since 1900, the magnitude of earthquakes that measure 0.1 or higher on the Richter Scale in California is distributed approximately normally, with a mean of 6.2 and a standard deviation of 0.5, according to data obtained from the United States Geological Survey.

a) Determine the 40 th^ percentile of the magnitude of earthquakes in California. b) Determine the magnitude of earthquakes that make up the middle 85% of magnitudes.