Guide for Choosing Statistical Tests: Discrete & Continuous Dependent Variables, Study notes of Statistics

An overview of the distinction between discrete and continuous dependent variables in statistics, and how this classification influences the choice of statistical tests. The role of normal and binomial distributions in statistical analysis, and the suitability of different tests for ordinal and interval/ratio scales. It also touches upon the controversy surrounding the classification of measurements and the use of ordinal variables in normal distribution statistical tests.

Typology: Study notes

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Psy 521/621 Univariate Quantitative Methods, Fall 2020 1
Levels of Measurement and Choosing the Correct Statistical Test
Most textbooks distinguish among nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio scales based on a classification
system developed by Stevens (1946). Choice of the statistical analyses in the social sciences typically
rests on a more general or cruder classification of measures into what I will call “continuous” and
“discrete.” Continuous refers to a variable with many possible values. By "discrete" I mean few
categories. I, as well as others, often use the terms dichotomous,” “binary,” “categorical,or qualitative
synonymously with “discrete.” 1 This general characterization of a dependent (response) variable as
discrete or continuous relates to two general classes of commonly employed statistical teststhose
based on the normal distribution and those based on the binomial distribution (or its relatives, the
multinomial and Poisson distributions). Normal theory plays an important role in statistical tests with
continuous dependent variables, such as t-tests, ANOVA, correlation, and regression, and binomial
theory plays an important role in statistical tests with discrete dependent variables, such as chi-square
and logistic regression.2
Ordinal scales with few categories (2,3, or possibly 4) and nominal measures are often classified as
discrete and are analyzed using binomial class of statistical tests, whereas ordinal scales with many
categories (5 or more), interval, and ratio, are usually analyzed with the normal theory class of statistical
tests. Although the distinction is a somewhat fuzzy one, it is often a very useful distinction for choosing
the preferred statistical test, especially when you are starting out.
Type of Dependent
Variable (or Scale)
Level of
Measurement
General Class of
Statistic
Examples of Statistical
Procedures
Discrete
(binary and categorical)
nominal, ordinal
with 2, 3, or 4
levels
Binomial
(as well as multinomial and
Poisson)
chi-square, logistic regression
Continuous
ordinal with more
than 4 categories,
interval, ratio
normal
ANOVA, regression, correlation,
t-tests
Classifying the independent and the dependent variable as continuous or discrete will determine the type
of analyses that are likely to be appropriate in a given situation.
Dependent Variable
Discrete
Continuous
Independent
variable
Discrete
(binary and categorical)
Chi-square
Logistic Regression
Phi
Cramer's V
t-test
ANOVA
Regression
Point-biserial Correlation
Continuous
Logistic Regression
Point-biserial Correlation
Regression
Correlation
Controversies and Common Practice
There is a longstanding debate about how to classify measurements and whether levels of
measurement can be a successful guide to the choice of data analysis type (e.g., Borgatta & Bohrnstedt,
1980; Michell, 1986; Townsend & Ashby, 1984; see Hayes & Embretson, 2012; Scholten & Borsboom,
2009 for recent discussions of the controversy). 3 In my view, there are two relevant issues that should
1 Mathematicians will define discrete variables more generally in a way that will include many if not most of the variables that social scientists
view as “continuous” in common practice. For example, Hays (1994) gives “If a random variable can assume only a particular finite or a
countably infinite set of values, it is said to be a discrete random variable.” (p. 98)
2 As we will discover later, the Pearson chi-square test really uses a normal distribution as an approximation, but the binomial (or multinomial)
distribution is central to most statistics used with categorical dependent variables. I have placed chi-square with the binomial theory class of
statistics, therefore, because the normal distribution is really just used as an efficient substitute for the binomial distribution.
3 My intention is not to try to resolve the debate, but to offer a general simple heuristic as a starting place for deciding which type of analysis is
used in common practice in the social sciences for general types of dependent variables. In reality, there are a number of other factors that
pf3

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Psy 521/621 Univariate Quantitative Methods, Fall 2020 1

Levels of Measurement and Choosing the Correct Statistical Test

Most textbooks distinguish among nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio scales based on a classification

system developed by Stevens (1946). Choice of the statistical analyses in the social sciences typically

rests on a more general or cruder classification of measures into what I will call “continuous” and

“discrete.” Continuous refers to a variable with many possible values. By "discrete" I mean few

categories. I, as well as others, often use the terms “dichotomous,” “binary,” “categorical,” or “qualitative”

synonymously with “discrete.” 1 This general characterization of a dependent (response) variable as

discrete or continuous relates to two general classes of commonly employed statistical tests—those

based on the normal distribution and those based on the binomial distribution (or its relatives, the

multinomial and Poisson distributions). Normal theory plays an important role in statistical tests with

continuous dependent variables, such as t-tests, ANOVA, correlation, and regression, and binomial

theory plays an important role in statistical tests with discrete dependent variables, such as chi-square

and logistic regression.^2

Ordinal scales with few categories (2,3, or possibly 4) and nominal measures are often classified as

discrete and are analyzed using binomial class of statistical tests, whereas ordinal scales with many

categories (5 or more), interval, and ratio, are usually analyzed with the normal theory class of statistical

tests. Although the distinction is a somewhat fuzzy one, it is often a very useful distinction for choosing

the preferred statistical test, especially when you are starting out.

Type of Dependent

Variable (or Scale)

Level of

Measurement

General Class of

Statistic

Examples of Statistical

Procedures

Discrete

(binary and categorical)

nominal, ordinal

with 2, 3, or 4

levels

Binomial

(as well as multinomial and Poisson)

chi-square, logistic regression

Continuous ordinal with more

than 4 categories,

interval, ratio

normal ANOVA, regression, correlation,

t-tests

Classifying the independent and the dependent variable as continuous or discrete will determine the type

of analyses that are likely to be appropriate in a given situation.

Dependent Variable

Discrete Continuous

Independent

variable

Discrete

(binary and categorical)

Chi-square

Logistic Regression

Phi

Cramer's V

t-test

ANOVA

Regression

Point-biserial Correlation

Continuous

Logistic Regression

Point-biserial Correlation

Regression

Correlation

Controversies and Common Practice

There is a longstanding debate about how to classify measurements and whether levels of

measurement can be a successful guide to the choice of data analysis type (e.g., Borgatta & Bohrnstedt,

1980; Michell, 1986; Townsend & Ashby, 1984; see Hayes & Embretson, 2012; Scholten & Borsboom,

2009 for recent discussions of the controversy). 3 In my view, there are two relevant issues that should

(^1) Mathematicians will define discrete variables more generally in a way that will include many if not most of the variables that social scientists

view as “continuous” in common practice. For example, Hays (1994) gives “If a random variable can assume only a particular finite or a countably infinite set of values, it is said to be a discrete random variable.” (p. 98) (^2) As we will discover later, the Pearson chi-square test really uses a normal distribution as an approximation, but the binomial (or multinomial)

distribution is central to most statistics used with categorical dependent variables. I have placed chi-square with the binomial theory class of statistics, therefore, because the normal distribution is really just used as an efficient substitute for the binomial distribution. (^3) My intention is not to try to resolve the debate, but to offer a general simple heuristic as a starting place for deciding which type of analysis is

used in common practice in the social sciences for general types of dependent variables. In reality, there are a number of other factors that

Psy 521/621 Univariate Quantitative Methods, Fall 2020 2

be distinguished from one another. The first issue is a more philosophical concern about whether

psychological (or other social) phenomena can be reliably and validly represented by numeric ordinal

data. I happen to believe that there is a wealth of psychometric research that has already established this

to be the case (e.g., Bendig, 1954; Symonds, 1924; Matell & Jacoby, 1971), but I will leave this

controversy to those more qualified to consider deep epistemological dilemmas (which are, frankly, often

over my head).

The second issue is more of an empirical or statistical question about whether scales, such as

Likert-type scales, with some sufficient number of several ordinal response options will provide accurate

results when normal distribution statistical tests (e.g., t-tests, ANOVA, OLS regression) are used. There

seems to be fairly good evidence from simulation studies that suggests that if there are 5 or more

ordered categories there is relatively little harm in treating these ordinal variables as continuous (e.g.,

Johnson & Creech, 1983; Muthén & Kaplan, 1985; Zumbo & Zimmerman, 1993; Taylor, West, & Aiken,

2006). There appears to be added benefit to additional ordinal values up to some point (at least to 7- or

9-point scales). Note that this distinction applies to the dependent variable used in the analysis to the

response categories used in a survey whenever multiple items are combined (e.g., by computing the

mean or sum)—a composite measure that will have many values and will usually be considered

continuous. There are other concerns that are important, such as the distribution of the variable. Normal

distribution statistics, such as OLS regression and ANOVA, are remarkably robust to small or moderate

departures from normality if sample sizes are even moderate (e.g., N = 20-40; Myers, Well, & Lorch,

2010; Stonehouse & Forrester, 1998), more substantial departures can usually be addressed with robust

approaches (e.g., robust standard errors in regression or structural modeling, bootstrap estimates).

When sample sizes are small and distributions are highly nonnormal, nonparametric tests (e.g., Mann-

Whitney U test, Kruskal-Wallis ANOVA) may be optimal (see Sheskin, 2011, for an extensive list).

Ordinal Analyses

The contrast between discrete and continuous variables is an oversimplification. There really is a big

gray area when there are 3 or 4 ordinal categories. Although in practice, most researchers only tend to

use binomial and normal theory statistics, there is another class of statistical tests specifically designed

for ordinal scales that are becoming increasingly available in software packages. There are several

excellent references for ordinal statistical tests (Agresti, 1984, 2002; Cliff, 1996; Wickens, 1989). For

regression models, Long’s (1997) book is a very good, although technical, treatment. There is likely to

be some statistical power advantage to using ordinal statistics over binomial statistics, and there is likely

to be some accuracy gained in the statistical tests for using ordinal statistics over normal theory statistics

when there are few categories or for certain other data conditions.

Problems with Crude Categorization and Artificial Dichotomization

One needs to be careful about converting continuous variables into dichotomous or categorical variables.

One example is the practice of doing a “median split,” which puts those with scores above and below the

median into two categories, but other methods of artificial categorization can be just as problematic.

Generally, a great deal of useful information is discarded, but other statistical issues arise. Although

many papers have been published as far back as the 1940s on this topic, the practice of dichotomizing

continuous variables is still quite prevalent. A paper by MacCullum, Zhang, Preacher, and Rucker (2002)

is a superb overview of the problems and potentially serious consequences of this practice. DeCoster

and colleagues (2009) discuss a few of the exceptions in which fewer crude categories may be useful.

The same concerns apply, of course, to what measures we choose to employ for measuring underlying

variables that are truly continuous.

References and Further Readings

Agresti, A. (1984). Analysis of ordinal categorical data. NY: Wiley. Agresti, A. (2002.) Categorical Data Analysis, second edition. NY: Wiley.

must be considered in deciding on the most appropriate and statistically accurate analysis, including the distribution of the dependent variable, whether it is count data, and sample size among others. Think about the system I propose here as a kind of analysis triage or grand organizational scheme and trust that I will cover some of the caveats and other special considerations as we go along.